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Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

Surface roughness influences turbulent boundary layers (TBLs) primarily through the roughness function $\Delta U^+$ and the equivalent sand-grain roughness height \(k_s\). Direct determination of \(k_s\) typically requires detailed velocity…

Data assimilation is concerned with sequentially estimating a temporally-evolving state. This task, which arises in a wide range of scientific and engineering applications, is particularly challenging when the state is high-dimensional and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Yuming Chen , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) is an efficient approach to addressing uncertainties in subsurface groundwater models. The EnKF sequentially integrates field data into simulation models to obtain a better characterization of the model's…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-09 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Mohamad El Gharamti , Ibrahim Hoteit

The growth of computational resources in the past decades has expanded the application of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) from the traditional fields of aerodynamics and hydrodynamics to a number of new areas. Examples range from the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2017-01-25 Jian-Xun Wang , Heng Xiao

Accurate and timely prediction of crop growth is of great significance to ensure crop yields and researchers have developed several crop models for the prediction of crop growth. However, there are large difference between the simulation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Siqi Zhou , Ling Wang , Jie Liu , Jinshan Tang

High-order methods and hybrid turbulence models have independently shown promise as means of decreasing the computational cost of scale-resolving simulations. The objective of this work is to develop the combination of these methods and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-01-26 Tarik Dzanic , Sharath Girimaji , Freddie Witherden

Data assimilation plays a key role in large-scale atmospheric weather forecasting, where the state of the physical system is estimated from model outputs and observations, and is then used as initial condition to produce accurate future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Azam Moosavi , Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

The Ensemble Kalman Filters (EnKF) employ a Monte-Carlo approach to represent covariance information, and are affected by sampling errors in operational settings where the number of model realizations is much smaller than the model state…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Andrey A Popov , Adrian Sandu , Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Geir Evensen

We propose a data-driven, closure model for Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations that incorporates aleatoric, model uncertainty. The proposed closure consists of two parts. A parametric one, which utilizes previously proposed,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-04-16 Atul Agrawal , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

The Ensemble Kalman filter assumes the observations to be Gaussian random variables with a pre-specified mean and variance. In practice, observations may also have detection limits, for instance when a gauge has a minimum or maximum value.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-14 Abhishek Shah , Mohamad El Gharamti , Laurent Bertino

We solve a Bayesian inverse Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) problem that assimilates mean flow data by jointly reconstructing the mean flow field and learning its unknown RANS parameters. We devise an algorithm that learns the most…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-17 A. Kontogiannis , P. Nair , M. Loecher , D. B. Ennis , A. Marsden , M. P. Juniper

It has become commonplace to use complex computer models to predict outcomes in regions where data does not exist. Typically these models need to be calibrated and validated using some experimental data, which often consists of multiple…

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

Monitoring carbon dioxide (CO2) injected and stored in subsurface reservoirs is critical for avoiding failure scenarios and enables real-time optimization of CO2 injection rates. Sequential Bayesian data assimilation (DA) is a statistical…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-22 Grant Bruer , Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Edmond Chow , Felix Herrmann

Solving the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes equations (RANS) closed with an eddy viscosity computed through a turbulence model is still the leading approach for Computational Fluid Dynamics simulations. Unfortunately, universal models with…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-18 Marco Castelletti , Maurizio Quadrio

Hypersonic flow conditions pose exceptional challenges for Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) turbulence modeling. Critical phenomena include compressibility effects, shock/turbulent boundary layer interactions, turbulence-chemistry…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-30 Pratikkumar Raje , Eric Parish , Jean-Pierre Hickey , Paola Cinnella , Karthik Duraisamy

Essential features of the Multigrid Ensemble Kalman Filter (G. Moldovan, G. Lehnasch, L. Cordier, M. Meldi, A multigrid/ensemble Kalman filter strategy for assimilation of unsteady flows, Journal of Computational Physics 443-110481)…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-10-20 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillaume Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models are widely used for turbulent flow simulations due to their computational efficiency, but their accuracy strongly depends on the selected turbulence closure and may vary across the flow domain.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Piero Zappi , Anna Ivagnes , Niccolò Tonicello , Gianluigi Rozza