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A new Bayesian approach to linear system identification has been proposed in a series of recent papers. The main idea is to frame linear system identification as predictor estimation in an infinite dimensional space, with the aid of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Diego Romeres , Gianluigi Pillonetto , Alessandro Chiuso

Bayesian optimal design is a well-established approach to planning experiments. A distribution for the responses, i.e. a statistical model, is assumed which is dependent on unknown parameters. A utility function is then specified giving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Antony M. Overstall , Jacinta Holloway-Brown , James M. McGree

Computer models, aiming at simulating a complex real system, are often calibrated in the light of data to improve performance. Standard calibration methods assume that the optimal values of calibration parameters are invariant to the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-01 Georgios Karagiannis , Bledar A. Konomi , Guang Lin

Introduction: Computational modeling has rapidly advanced over the last decades, especially to predict molecular properties for chemistry, material science and drug design. Recently, machine learning techniques have emerged as a powerful…

The longitudinal analysis of patient response time course following doses of therapeutics is currently performed using Pharmacokinetic/Pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) methodologies, which requires significant human experience and expertise in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-24 James Lu , Brendan Bender , Jin Y. Jin , Yuanfang Guan

In the development of new cancer treatment, an essential step is to determine the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) via phase I clinical trials. Generally speaking, phase I trial designs can be classified as either model-based or algorithm-based…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-02 Huaqing Jin , Wenbin Du , Guosheng Yin

Bayesian experimental design is a technique that allows to efficiently select measurements to characterize a physical system by maximizing the expected information gain. Recent developments in deep neural networks and normalizing flows…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-27 Leopoldo Sarra , Florian Marquardt

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

In recent years, research unveiled more and more evidence for the so-called Bayesian Brain Paradigm, i.e. the human brain is interpreted as a probabilistic inference machine and Bayesian modelling approaches are hence used successfully. One…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

In this review, we assess the use of Bayesian methods in model predictive control (MPC), focusing on neural-network-based modeling, control design, and uncertainty quantification. We systematically analyze individual studies and how they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Asli Karacelik

Population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling methods can be statistically classified as either parametric or nonparametric (NP). Each classification can be divided into maximum likelihood (ML) or Bayesian (B) approaches. In this paper we…

Nonlinear regression models addressing both efficacy and toxicity outcomes are increasingly used in dose-finding trials, such as in pharmaceutical drug development. However, research on related experimental design problems for corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Holger Dette , Katrin Kettelhake , Kirsten Schorning , Weng Kee Wong , Frank Bretz

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

The problem of optimal dosage estimation arises in diverse scientific domains, from pharmacology and toxicology to aquaculture and environmental studies. Statistical modeling of nonlinear dose-response relationships is essential to quantify…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Aliaksandr Hubin , Åshild Krogdahl , Guro Løkka , Trond M. Kortner

The vast amount of biological knowledge accumulated over the years has allowed researchers to identify various biochemical interactions and define different families of pathways. There is an increased interest in identifying pathways and…

Applications · Statistics 2011-11-24 Francesco C. Stingo , Yian A. Chen , Mahlet G. Tadesse , Marina Vannucci

Probabilistic Cell Decomposition (PCD) is a probabilistic path planning method combining the concepts of approximate cell decomposition with probabilistic sampling. It has been shown that the use of lazy evaluation techniques and supervised…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-07-15 Frank Lingelbach

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is the process of systematically determining and characterizing the degree of confidence in computational model predictions. In the context of systems biology, especially with dynamic models, UQ is crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Alberto Portela , Julio R. Banga , Marcos Matabuena

A fully Bayesian approach is proposed for ultrahigh-dimensional nonparametric additive models in which the number of additive components may be larger than the sample size, though ideally the true model is believed to include only a small…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Zuofeng Shang , Ping Li

Identifying and calibrating quantitative dynamical models for physical quantum systems is important for a variety of applications. Here we present a closed-loop Bayesian learning algorithm for estimating multiple unknown parameters in a…