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The estimation of mutation probabilities and relative fitnesses in fluctuation analysis is based on the unrealistic hypothesis that the single-cell times to division are exponentially distributed. Using the classical Luria-Delbr\"{u}ck…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-05 Bernard Ycart

This paper shows how we can combine logical representations of actions and decision theory in such a manner that seems natural for both. In particular we assume an axiomatization of the domain in terms of situation calculus, using what is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 David L. Poole

We study the evolution of public cooperation on two interdependent networks that are connected by means of a utility function, which determines to what extent payoffs in one network influence the success of players in the other network. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-02-13 Zhen Wang , Attila Szolnoki , Matjaz Perc

This paper makes a small step towards a non-stochastic version of superhedging duality relations in the case of one traded security with a continuous price path. Namely, we prove the coincidence of game-theoretic and measure-theoretic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-10 Vladimir Vovk

This paper provides nonparametric identification results for random coefficient distributions in perturbed utility models. We cover discrete and continuous choice models. We establish identification using variation in mean quantities, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-03 Roy Allen , John Rehbeck

This paper formulates a model of utility for a continuous time framework that captures the decision-maker's concern with ambiguity about both the drift and volatility of the driving process. At a technical level, the analysis requires a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-22 Larry Epstein , Shaolin Ji

Probability intervals are an attractive tool for reasoning under uncertainty. Unlike belief functions, though, they lack a natural probability transformation to be used for decision making in a utility theory framework. In this paper we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-01-06 Fabio Cuzzolin

In most social choice settings, the participating agents express their preferences over the different alternatives in the form of linear orderings. While this clearly simplifies preference elicitation, it inevitably leads to poor…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Georgios Amanatidis , Georgios Birmpas , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Alexandros A. Voudouris

We study transformations of conventional (`classical') probabilities induced by context transitions. It is demonstrated that the transition from one complex of conditions to another induces a perturbation of the classical rule for the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrei Khrennikov

An approach is presented treating decision theory as a probabilistic theory based on quantum techniques. Accurate definitions are given and thorough analysis is accomplished for the quantum probabilities describing the choice between…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-06 V. I. Yukalov

We introduce a robust optimization model consisting in a family of perturbation functions giving rise to certain pairs of dual optimization problems in which the dual variable depends on the uncertainty parameter. The interest of our…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Nguyen Dinh , Miguel A. Goberna , Marco A. López , Michel Volle

We study the permutation complexity of finite-state stationary stochastic processes based on a duality between values and orderings between values. First, we establish a duality between the set of all words of a fixed length and the set of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2011-12-13 Taichi Haruna , Kohei Nakajima

The Contextuality-by-Default approach to determining and measuring the (non)contextuality of a system of random variables requires that every random variable in the system be represented by an equivalent set of dichotomous random variables.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Janne V. Kujala , Ehtibar N. Dzhafarov

We implement nonparametric revealed-preference tests of subjective expected utility theory and its generalizations. We find that a majority of subjects' choices are consistent with the maximization of some utility function. They respond to…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-04 Federico Echenique , Taisuke Imai , Kota Saito

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

The notion of distortion in social choice problems has been defined to measure the loss in efficiency -- typically measured by the utilitarian social welfare, the sum of utilities of the participating agents -- due to having access only to…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Elliot Anshelevich , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Nisarg Shah , Alexandros A. Voudouris

We introduce and study the permanence properties of the class of linear transfers between probability measures. This class contains all cost minimizing mass transports, but also martingale mass transports, the Schrodinger bridge associated…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-10-29 Malcolm Bowles , Nassif Ghoussoub

A model for decision making that generalizes Expected Utility Maximization is presented. This model, Expected Qualitative Utility Maximization, encompasses the Maximin criterion. It relaxes both the Independence and the Continuity…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Daniel Lehmann

The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-12 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette

The influence of additional information on the decision making of agents, who are interacting members of a society, is analyzed within the mathematical framework based on the use of quantum probabilities. The introduction of social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-14 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette