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Computerized Adaptive Testing (CAT) has proven effective for efficient LLM evaluation on multiple-choice benchmarks, but modern LLM evaluation increasingly relies on generation tasks where outputs are scored continuously rather than marked…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Esma Balkır , Alice Pernthaller , Marco Basaldella , José Hernández-Orallo , Nigel Collier

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference and play a pivotal role in modern evidence-based medicine. However, the sample sizes they use are often too limited to draw significant causal conclusions for subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-26 Xi Lin , Jens Magelund Tarp , Robin J. Evans

In high-dimensional linear models, the sparsity assumption is typically made, stating that most of the parameters are equal to zero. Under the sparsity assumption, estimation and, recently, inference have been well studied. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

Among the various models designed for dependent count data, integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes enjoy great popularity. Typically, statistical inference for INAR models uses asymptotic theory that relies on rather stringent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Christian H. Weiß

{\bf Motivation:} Permutation-based gene set tests are standard approaches for testing relationshi ps between collections of related genes and an outcome of interest in high throughput expression analyses. Using $M$ random permutations, one…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-07 Jessica L. Larson , Art B. Owen

Various statistical tests have been developed for testing the equality of means in matched pairs with missing values. However, most existing methods are commonly based on certain distributional assumptions such as normality, 0-symmetry or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-02 Lubna Amro , Markus Pauly

In a well-calibrated risk prediction model, the average predicted probability is close to the true event rate for any given subgroup. Such models are reliable across heterogeneous populations and satisfy strong notions of algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Jean Feng , Alexej Gossmann , Romain Pirracchio , Nicholas Petrick , Gene Pennello , Berkman Sahiner

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

In industry, the reliability of rotating machinery is critical for production efficiency and safety. Current methods of Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) often rely on task-specific models, which face significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Yilin Wang , Yifei Yu , Kong Sun , Peixuan Lei , Yuxuan Zhang , Enrico Zio , Aiguo Xia , Yuanxiang Li

Simulation offers a simple and flexible way to estimate the power of a clinical trial when analytic formulae are not available. The computational burden of using simulation has, however, restricted its application to only the simplest of…

Mutation testing is a standard technique to evaluate the quality of a test suite. Due to its computationally intensive nature, many approaches have been proposed to make this technique feasible in real case scenarios. Among these…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-07-11 Ali Parsai , Alessandro Murgia , Serge Demeyer

Conventional multiple testing procedures often assume hypotheses for different features are exchangeable. However, in many scientific applications, additional covariate information regarding the patterns of signals and nulls are available.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-12 Xianyang Zhang , Jun Chen

The operating status of power systems is influenced by growing varieties of factors, resulting from the developing sizes and complexity of power systems; in this situation, the modelbased methods need be revisited. A data-driven method, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-07 Xinyi Xu , Xing He , Qian Ai , Robert C. Qiu

This paper deals with the issue of testing hypothesis in symmetric and log-symmetric linear regression models in small and moderate-sized samples. We focus on four tests, namely the Wald, likelihood ratio, score, and gradient tests. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-03 Francisco M. C. Medeiros , Silvia L. P. Ferrari

The statistical literature is known to be inconsistent in the use of the terms "permutation test" and "randomization test". Several authors succesfully argue that these terms should be used to refer to two distinct classes of tests and that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J. Goeman

We describe how to calculate standard errors for A/B tests that include clustered data, ratio metrics, and/or covariate adjustment. We may do this for power analysis/sample size calculations prior to running an experiment using historical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Tim Hesterberg , Ben Knight

Fault detection is crucial for ensuring the safety and reliability of modern industrial systems. However, a significant scientific challenge is the lack of rigorous risk control and reliable uncertainty quantification in existing diagnostic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Mingchen Mei , Yi Li , YiYao Qian , Zijun Jia

The presence of outlying observations may adversely affect statistical testing procedures that result in unstable test statistics and unreliable inferences depending on the distortion in parameter estimates. In spite of the fact that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-19 Beste Hamiye Beyaztas , Soutir Bandyopadhyay , Abhijit Mandal

Post-approval safety surveillance of medical products using observational healthcare data can help identify safety issues beyond those found in pre-approval trials. When testing sequentially as data accrue, maximum sequential probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-07 Martijn J. Schuemie , Fan Bu , Akihiko Nishimura , Marc A. Suchard

We introduce adaptive learn-then-test (aLTT), an efficient hyperparameter selection procedure that provides finite-sample statistical guarantees on the population risk of AI models. Unlike the existing learn-then-test (LTT) technique, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-03 Matteo Zecchin , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone