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Nonlinear dynamical systems exposed to changing forcing can exhibit catastrophic transitions between alternative and often markedly different states. The phenomenon of critical slowing down (CSD) can be used to anticipate such transitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Yu Huang , Sebastian Bathiany , Peter Ashwin , Niklas Boers

Nonlinear and non-stationary processes are prevalent in various natural and physical phenomena, where system dynamics can change qualitatively due to bifurcation phenomena. Traditional machine learning methods have advanced our ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-21 Keita Tokuda , Yuichi Katori

Event-based sensors offer significant advantages over traditional frame-based cameras, especially in scenarios involving rapid motion or challenging lighting conditions. However, event data frequently suffers from considerable noise,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Marcin Kowalczyk , Kamil Jeziorek , Tomasz Kryjak

Stochastic dynamical systems allow modelling of transitions induced by disturbances, in particular from an attracting equilibrium and crossing the stable manifold of a saddle. In the small-noise limit, the probability of such transitions is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-05 Jiayao Shao , Tobias Grafke , Robert S. MacKay

Can a neural network trained by the time series of system A be used to predict the evolution of system B? This problem, knowing as transfer learning in a broad sense, is of great importance in machine learning and data mining, yet has not…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Yali Guo , Han Zhang , Liang Wang , Huawei Fan , Xingang Wang

Bistable autonomous systems can be found inmany areas of science. When the intrinsic noise intensity is large, these systems exhibits stochastic transitions from onemetastable steady state to another. In electronic bistable memories, these…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-05-14 Léopold Van Brandt , Jean-Charles Delvenne

In this paper we demonstrate that reservoir computing can be used to learn the dynamics of the shallow-water equations. In particular, while most previous applications of reservoir computing have required training on a particular trajectory…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Xiaoqian Chen , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Ilya Timofeyev

Noise in data appears to be inevitable in most real-world machine learning applications and would cause severe overfitting problems. Not only can data features contain noise, but labels are also prone to be noisy due to human input. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Weipeng Huang , Qin Li , Yang Xiao , Cheng Qiao , Tie Cai , Junwei Liang , Neil J. Hurley , Guangyuan Piao

Model-free and data-driven prediction of tipping point transitions in nonlinear dynamical systems is a challenging and outstanding task in complex systems science. We propose a novel, fully data-driven machine learning algorithm based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth

Biological systems operate under persistent noise, which can alter system states and induce transitions between attractors. Here, we study the attractor dynamics of Boolean networks focusing on the transitions between attractors induced by…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Byungjoon Min , Jeehye Choi , Reinhard Laubenbacher

Complex networks, from neuronal assemblies to social systems, can exhibit abrupt, system-wide transitions without external forcing. These endogenously generated ``noise-induced transitions'' emerge from the intricate interplay between…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Casper van Elteren , Rick Quax , Peter Sloot

Machine learning recently proved efficient in learning differential equations and dynamical systems from data. However, the data is commonly assumed to originate from a single never-changing system. In contrast, when modeling real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Leonard Bereska , Efstratios Gavves

Stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in physics, biology, and engineering, where both deterministic drifts and random fluctuations govern system behavior. Learning these dynamics from data is particularly challenging in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

Detecting critical transitions in complex, noisy time-series data is a fundamental challenge across science and engineering. Such transitions may be anticipated by the emergence of a low-dimensional order parameter, whose signature is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Wenqi Fang , Ye Li

In this thesis we aim to analyze and quantify the energetic and information contents that can be extracted from a dynamical system subject to the external environment. The latter is usually assumed to be deleterious for the feasibility of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-07 Stefano Gherardini

The stochastic mutual repressor model is analysed using perturbation methods. This simple model of a gene circuit consists of two genes and three promotor states. Either of the two protein products can dimerize, forming a repressor molecule…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-06-12 Jay Newby

Recent research demonstrate that prediction of time series by predictive recurrent neural networks based on the noisy input generates a smooth anticipated trajectory. We examine influence of the noise component in both the training data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Boris Rubinstein

We consider a generic class of gene circuits affected by nonlinear extrinsic noise. To address this nonlinearity we introduce a general perturbative methodology based on assuming timescale separation between noise and genes dynamics, with…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Gerardo Aquino , Andrea Rocco

We present a noise guided trajectory based system identification method for inferring the dynamical structure from observation generated by stochastic differential equations. Our method can handle various kinds of noise, including the case…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Ziheng Guo , Igor Cialenco , Ming Zhong

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri