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Moderate deviation principles for stochastic differential equations driven by a Poisson random measure (PRM) in finite and infinite dimensions are obtained. Proofs are based on a variational representation for expected values of positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-29 Amarjit Budhiraja , Paul Dupuis , Arnab Ganguly

In this paper, we develop local expansions for the ratio of the centered matrix-variate $T$ density to the centered matrix-variate normal density with the same covariances. The approximations are used to derive upper bounds on several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Frédéric Ouimet

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process in a random environment $\xi$. We study the convergence rates of the martingale $W_n = Z_n/ E[Z_n| \xi]$ to its limit $W$. The following results about the convergence almost sur (a.s.), in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Chunmao Huang , Quansheng Liu

We consider branching random walks with a spine in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable L\'evy process. For this process, the classical derivative martingale in general degenerates in the limit. We first determine the quantity…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-08 Pierre Boutaud , Pascal Maillard

We study the problem of bounding path-dependent expectations (within any finite time horizon $d$) over the class of discrete-time martingales whose marginal distributions lie within a prescribed tolerance of a given collection of benchmark…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Zhengqing Zhou , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

Recent work shows that path gradient estimators for normalizing flows have lower variance compared to standard estimators for variational inference, resulting in improved training. However, they are often prohibitively more expensive from a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Lorenz Vaitl , Ludwig Winkler , Lorenz Richter , Pan Kessel

We establish a new scale of $p$-variation estimates for martingale paraproducts, martingale transforms, and It\^o integrals, of relevance in rough paths theory, stochastic, and harmonic analysis. As an application, we introduce rough…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Peter Friz , Pavel Zorin-Kranich

We derive integral and sup-estimates for the curvature of stably marginally outer trapped surfaces in a sliced space-time. The estimates bound the shear of a marginally outer trapped surface in terms of the intrinsic and extrinsic curvature…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 Lars Andersson , Jan Metzger

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

Random matrix theory has played an important role in various areas of pure mathematics, mathematical physics, and machine learning. From a practical perspective of data science, input data are usually normalized prior to processing. Thus,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Hyakka Nakada , Shu Tanaka

The purpose of the present work is twofold. First, we develop the theory of general self-similar growth-fragmentation processes by focusing on martingales which appear naturally in this setting and by recasting classical results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Jean Bertoin , Timothy Budd , Nicolas Curien , Igor Kortchemski

Purpose: To develop neural network (NN)-based quantitative MRI parameter estimators with minimal bias and a variance close to the Cram\'er-Rao bound. Theory and Methods: We generalize the mean squared error loss to control the bias and…

Medical Physics · Physics 2024-05-07 Andrew Mao , Sebastian Flassbeck , Jakob Assländer

We consider a Markov chain X_1, X_2, ..., X_n belonging to a class of iterated random functions, which is "one-step contracting" with respect to some distance d. If f is any separately Lipschitz function with respect to d, we use a well…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Jérôme Dedecker , Xiequan Fan

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

Conditional matrix variate student $t$ distribution was introduced by Battulga (2024a). In this paper, we propose a new version of the conditional matrix variate student $t$ distribution. The paper provides EM algorithms, which estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-03 Battulga Gankhuu

Given a random sample from a parametric model, we show how indirect inference estimators based on appropriate nonparametric density estimators (i.e., simulation-based minimum distance estimators) can be constructed that, under mild…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-10 Richard Nickl , Benedikt M. Pötscher

The paper is briefly dealing with greater or lesser misused normalization in self-modeling/multivariate curve resolution (S/MCR) practice. The importance of the correct use of the ode solvers and apt kinetic illustrations are elucidated.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-12 Róbert Rajkó

For regularized distributions we establish stability of the characterization of the normal law in Cramer's theorem with respect to the total variation norm and the entropic distance. As part of the argument, Sapogov-type theorems are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-14 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We address parameter estimation in second-order stochastic differential equations (SDEs), which are prevalent in physics, biology, and ecology. The second-order SDE is converted to a first-order system by introducing an auxiliary velocity…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Predrag Pilipovic , Adeline Samson , Susanne Ditlevsen

This paper introduces a new version of the smoothly trimmed mean with a more general version of weights, which can be used as an alternative to the classical trimmed mean. We derive its asymptotic variance and to further investigate its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Elina Kresse , Emils Silins , Janis Valeinis