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Representing, comparing, and measuring the distance between probability distributions is a key task in computational statistics and machine learning. The choice of representation and the associated distance determine properties of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Masha Naslidnyk

Granger causal modeling is an emerging topic that can uncover Granger causal relationship behind multivariate time series data. In many real-world systems, it is common to encounter a large amount of multivariate time series data collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Yunfei Chu , Xiaowei Wang , Jianxin Ma , Kunyang Jia , Jingren Zhou , Hongxia Yang

Gaussian processes (GP) for machine learning have been studied systematically over the past two decades and they are by now widely used in a number of diverse applications. However, GP kernel design and the associated hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Feng Yin , Lishuo Pan , Xinwei He , Tianshi Chen , Sergios Theodoridis , Zhi-Quan , Luo

We design a new nonparametric method that allows one to estimate the matrix of integrated kernels of a multivariate Hawkes process. This matrix not only encodes the mutual influences of each nodes of the process, but also disentangles the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-31 Massil Achab , Emmanuel Bacry , Stéphane Gaïffas , Iacopo Mastromatteo , Jean-Francois Muzy

It is well known that kernel ridge regression (KRR) is a popular nonparametric regression estimator. Nonetheless, in the presence of a large data set with size $n\gg 1,$ the KRR estimator has the drawback to require an intensive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Asma Ben Saber , Abderrazek Karoui

Causal learning is a beneficial approach to analyze the cause and effect relationships among variables in a dataset. A causal graph can be generated from a dataset using a particular causal algorithm, for instance, the PC algorithm or Fast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Teny Handhayani , James Cussens

Causal discovery, beyond the inference of a network as a collection of connected dots, offers a crucial functionality in scientific discovery using artificial intelligence. The questions that arise in multiple domains, such as physics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 M. Ali Vosoughi , Axel Wismuller

We develop a novel identification strategy as well as a new estimator for context-dependent causal inference in non-parametric triangular models with non-separable disturbances. Departing from the common practice, our analysis does not rely…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-09 Nir Billfeld , Moshe Kim

We study the problem of estimating the derivatives of a regression function, which has a wide range of applications as a key nonparametric functional of unknown functions. Standard analysis may be tailored to specific derivative orders, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-29 Zejian Liu , Meng Li

We propose the Granger causality inference Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANGCI), a novel architecture that extends the recently proposed Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) to the domain of causal inference. By extracting base weights from KAN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Meiliang Liu , Yunfang Xu , Zijin Li , Zhengye Si , Xiaoxiao Yang , Xinyue Yang , Zhiwen Zhao

Kernel discrepancies are a powerful tool for analyzing worst-case errors in quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods. Building on recent advances in optimizing such discrepancy measures, we extend the subset selection problem to the setting of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-05 Deyao Chen , François Clément , Carola Doerr , Nathan Kirk

In this paper we propose a new non-linear classifier based on a combination of locally linear classifiers. A well known optimization formulation is given as we cast the problem in a $\ell_1$ Multiple Kernel Learning (MKL) problem using many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-19 David Picard

Applying machine learning in the health care domain has shown promising results in recent years. Interpretable outputs from learning algorithms are desirable for decision making by health care personnel. In this work, we explore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-30 Marcus Klasson , Kun Zhang , Bo C. Bertilson , Cheng Zhang , Hedvig Kjellström

Score-based causal discovery methods can effectively identify causal relationships by evaluating candidate graphs and selecting the one with the highest score. One popular class of scores is kernel-based generalized score functions, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Yixin Ren , Haocheng Zhang , Yewei Xia , Hao Zhang , Jihong Guan , Shuigeng Zhou

Scaling analysis, in which one infers scaling exponents and a scaling function in a scaling law from given data, is a powerful tool for determining universal properties of critical phenomena in many fields of science. However, there are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-08 Kenji Harada

This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-15 Sylvain Arlot , Francis Bach

In this paper, we propose a random projection approach to estimate variance in kernel ridge regression. Our approach leads to a consistent estimator of the true variance, while being computationally more efficient. Our variance estimator is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Meimei Liu , Jean Honorio , Guang Cheng

Model inference for dynamical systems aims to estimate the future behaviour of a system from observations. Purely model-free statistical methods, such as Artificial Neural Networks, tend to perform poorly for such tasks. They are therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-07 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

Learning linear combinations of multiple kernels is an appealing strategy when the right choice of features is unknown. Previous approaches to multiple kernel learning (MKL) promote sparse kernel combinations to support interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Marius Kloft , Ulf Brefeld , Soeren Sonnenburg , Alexander Zien

Inferring nonlinear and asymmetric causal relationships between multivariate longitudinal data is a challenging task with wide-ranging application areas including clinical medicine, mathematical biology, economics and environmental…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-25 Tom Edinburgh , Stephen J. Eglen , Ari Ercole
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