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High-dimensional vector autoregressive (VAR) models have numerous applications in fields such as econometrics, biology, climatology, among others. While prior research has mainly focused on linear VAR models, these approaches can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Yuefeng Han , Likai Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Mixed frequency data has been shown to improve the performance of growth-at-risk models in the literature. Most of the research has focused on imposing structure on the high-frequency lags when estimating MIDAS-QR models akin to what is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-24 Tibor Szendrei , Arnab Bhattacharjee , Mark E. Schaffer

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Dimensionality reduction represents the process of generating a low dimensional representation of high dimensional data. Motivated by the formation control of mobile agents, we propose a nonlinear dynamical system for dimensionality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Taeuk Jeong , Yoon Mo Jung , Euntack Lee

We present a technique to perform dimensionality reduction on data that is subject to uncertainty. Our method is a generalization of traditional principal component analysis (PCA) to multivariate probability distributions. In comparison to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Jochen Görtler , Thilo Spinner , Dirk Streeb , Daniel Weiskopf , Oliver Deussen

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

Applying linear controllers to nonlinear systems requires the dynamical linearization about a reference. In highly nonlinear environments such as cislunar space, the region of validity for these linearizations varies widely and can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Daniel C. Qi , Kenshiro Oguri

Tracking the build-up of financial vulnerabilities is a key component of financial stability policy. Due to the complexity of the financial system, this task is daunting, and there have been several proposals on how to manage this goal. One…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-19 Katalin Varga , Tibor Szendrei

Multimodal data, where different types of data are collected from the same subjects, are fast emerging in a large variety of scientific applications. Factor analysis is commonly used in integrative analysis of multimodal data, and is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-31 Quefeng Li , Lexin Li

We investigate ensembling techniques in forecasting and examine their potential for use in nonseasonal time-series similar to those in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Developing improved forecast methods is essential as they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Pieter Cawood , Terence L. van Zyl

Mixed-effect models are very popular for analyzing data with a hierarchical structure, e.g. repeated observations within subjects in a longitudinal design, patients nested within centers in a multicenter design. However, recently, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Abhik Ghosh , Magne Thoresen

High-dimensional big data appears in many research fields such as image recognition, biology and collaborative filtering. Often, the exploration of such data by classic algorithms is encountered with difficulties due to `curse of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-13 Amit Bermanis , Aviv Rotbart , Moshe Salhov , Amir Averbuch

Mixed-frequency Vector AutoRegressions (MF-VAR) model the dynamics between variables recorded at different frequencies. However, as the number of series and high-frequency observations per low-frequency period grow, MF-VARs suffer from the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-21 Alain Hecq , Marie Ternes , Ines Wilms

The detection of influential observations for the standard least squares regression model is a question that has been extensively studied. LAD regression diagnostics offers alternative approaches whose main feature is the robustness. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-03 Giuseppe Melfi , Susana Faria

Neural networks used for multi-interaction trajectory reconstruction lack the ability to estimate the uncertainty in their outputs, which would be useful to better analyse and understand the systems they model. In this paper we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Vasileios Karavias , Ben Day , Pietro Liò

Change detection in multivariate time series has applications in many domains, including health care and network monitoring. A common approach to detect changes is to compare the divergence between the distributions of a reference window…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-12 Hoang-Vu Nguyen , Jilles Vreeken

This paper applies risk analysis to medical problems, through the properties of nonlinear responses (convex or concave). It shows 1) necessary relations between the nonlinearity of dose-response and the statistical properties of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We present a data-driven approach to efficiently approximate nonlinear transient dynamics in solid-state systems. Our proposed machine-learning model combines a dimensionality reduction stage with a nonlinear vector autoregression scheme.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-02-22 Stefan Meinecke , Felix Köster , Dominik Christiansen , Kathy Lüdge , Andreas Knorr , Malte Selig

High-dimensional data often exhibit variation that can be captured by lower dimensional factors. For high-dimensional data from multiple studies or environments, one goal is to understand which underlying factors are common to all studies,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Gemma E. Moran , Anandi Krishnan

Large-dimensional factor model has drawn much attention in the big-data era, in order to reduce the dimensionality and extract underlying features using a few latent common factors. Conventional methods for estimating the factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang