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Bayesian vector autoregressions (BVARs) are the workhorse in macroeconomic forecasting. Research in the last decade has established the importance of allowing time-varying volatility to capture both secular and cyclical variations in…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-24 Joshua Chan

Dimensionality reduction is the essence of many data processing problems, including filtering, data compression, reduced-order modeling and pattern analysis. While traditionally tackled using linear tools in the fluid dynamics community,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-01 Miguel A. Mendez

The rise in data has led to the need for dimension reduction techniques, especially in the area of non-scalar variables, including time series, natural language processing, and computer vision. In this paper, we specifically investigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Haiyan Wang , Chetan Gupta

The development and use of dimension reduction methods is prevalent in modern statistical literature. This paper reviews a class of dimension reduction techniques which aim to simultaneously select relevant predictors and find clusters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-18 Suchit Mehrotra

Data can be assumed to be continuous functions defined on an infinite-dimensional space for many phenomena. However, the infinite-dimensional data might be driven by a small number of latent variables. Hence, factor models are relevant for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Jesús Gonzalo , Graciela González-Farías

We consider nonlinear mixed effects models including high-dimensional covariates to model individual parameters variability. The objective is to identify relevant covariates among a large set under sparsity assumption and to estimate model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Antoine Caillebotte , Estelle Kuhn , Sarah Lemler

We develop a Functional Augmented Vector Autoregression (FunVAR) model to explicitly incorporate firm-level heterogeneity observed in more than one dimension and study its interaction with aggregate macroeconomic fluctuations. Our…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-11 Massimiliano Marcellino , Andrea Renzetti , Tommaso Tornese

While seasonality inherent to raw macroeconomic data is commonly removed by seasonal adjustment techniques before it is used for structural inference, this may distort valuable information in the data. As an alternative method to commonly…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-12 Daniel Dzikowski , Carsten Jentsch

This paper studies the prediction task of tensor-on-tensor regression in which both covariates and responses are multi-dimensional arrays (a.k.a., tensors) across time with arbitrary tensor order and data dimension. Existing methods either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-23 Guanhao Zhou , Yuefeng Han , Xiufan Yu

Timely characterizations of risks in economic and financial systems play an essential role in both economic policy and private sector decisions. However, the informational content of low-frequency variables and the results from conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-07 Matteo Iacopini , Aubrey Poon , Luca Rossini , Dan Zhu

In applications involving ordinal predictors, common approaches to reduce dimensionality are either extensions of unsupervised techniques such as principal component analysis, or variable selection procedures that rely on modeling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-13 Liliana Forzani , Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Diego Tomassi

A nonlinear regression framework is proposed for time series and panel data for the situation where certain explanatory variables are available at a higher temporal resolution than the dependent variable. The main idea is to use the moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-20 Malte Jahn

We consider reduction of dimension for nonlinear dynamical systems. We demonstrate that in some cases, one can reduce a nonlinear system of equations into a single equation for one of the state variables, and this can be useful for…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-08-25 Heather A. Harrington , Robert A. Van Gorder

This paper studies simultaneous feature selection and extraction in supervised and unsupervised learning. We propose and investigate selective reduced rank regression for constructing optimal explanatory factors from a parsimonious subset…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-27 Yiyuan She

A major goal for reduced-order models of unsteady fluid flows is to uncover and exploit latent low-dimensional structure. Proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) provides an energy-optimal linear basis to represent the flow kinematics, but…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-23 Jared L. Callaham , Steven L. Brunton , Jean-Christophe Loiseau

Sufficient dimension reduction [J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 86 (1991) 316-342] has long been a prominent issue in multivariate nonparametric regression analysis. To uncover the central dimension reduction space, we propose in this paper an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-15 Efang Kong , Yingcun Xia

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

Structural change detection problems are often encountered in analytics and econometrics, where the performance of a model can be significantly affected by unforeseen changes in the underlying relationships. Although these problems have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-29 Pekka Malo , Lauri Viitasaari , Olga Gorskikh , Pauliina Ilmonen

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead
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