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This paper presents a novel formulation and solution of orbit determination over finite time horizons as a learning problem. We present an approach to orbit determination under very broad conditions that are satisfied for n-body problems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Srinagesh Sharma , James W. Cutler

Cometary impacts play an important role in the early evolution of Earth, and other terrestrial exoplanets. Here, we present a numerical model for the interaction of weak, low-density cometary impactors with planetary atmospheres, which…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-31 Richard J Anslow , Amy Bonsor , Zoe R Todd , Robin Wordsworth , Auriol S P Rae , Catriona H McDonald , Paul B Rimmer

An increasingly salient public policy challenge is how to manage the growing number of satellites in orbit, including large constellations. Many policy initiatives have been proposed that attempt to address the problem from different…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-09-20 Akhil Rao , Mark Moretto , Marcus Holzinger , Daniel Kaffine , Brian Weeden

We study the evolution of the Earth collision probability of asteroid 2008 TC3 using a short observational arc and small numbers of observations. To assess impact probability, we use techniques that rely on the orbital-element probability…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2012-11-19 Dagmara Oszkiewicz , Karri Muinonen , Jenni Virtanen , Mikael Granvik , Edward Bowell

Numerical simulations are at the center of predicting the space debris environment of the upcoming decades. In light of debris generating events, such as continued anti-satellite weapon tests and planned mega-constellations, accurate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-15 Pablo Gómez , Fabio Gratl , Oliver Bösing , Dario Izzo

We modeled the 3-D structure of the Kuiper Belt dust cloud at four different dust production rates, incorporating both planet-dust interactions and grain-grain collisions using the collisional grooming algorithm. Simulated images of a model…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Marc J. Kuchner , Christopher C. Stark

How do galaxies move relative to one another? While we can examine the motion of dark matter subhalos around their hosts in simulations of structure formation, determining the orbits of satellites around their parent galaxies from…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-10-21 David Hendel , Kathryn V. Johnston

Density estimation plays a fundamental role in many areas of statistics and machine learning. Parametric, nonparametric and semiparametric density estimation methods have been proposed in the literature. Semiparametric density models are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Jian Shi , Jiahui Yu , Anna Liu , Yuedong Wang

Estimating the probability of collision between spacecraft is crucial for risk management and collision-avoidance strategies. Current methods often rely on Gaussian assumptions and simplifications, which can be inaccurate in highly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-22 Théo Verhelst , Giacomo Acciarini , Dario Izzo , Francesco Biscani

Debris disc analysis and modelling provide crucial information about the structure and the processes at play in extrasolar planetary systems. In binary systems, this issue is more complex because the disc should in addition respond to the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Philippe Thebault , Francesco Marzari , Jean-Charles Augereau

Interstellar medium widely exists in the universe at multi-scales. In this study, we introduce the {\it Multi-scale Decomposition Reconstruction} method, an equation-based model designed to derive width maps of interstellar medium…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2025-12-23 Mengke Zhao , Guang-Xing Li , Duo Xu , Keping Qiu

The radial structure of debris discs can encode important information about their dynamical and collisional history. In this paper we present a 3-phase analytical model to analyse the collisional evolution of solids in debris discs,…

To understand the earliest stages of planet formation, it is crucial to be able to predict the rate and the outcome of dust grains collisions, be it sticking and growth, bouncing, or fragmentation. The outcome of such collisions depends on…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-05 Alexander Hubbard

The reconstruction of smooth density fields from scattered data points is a procedure that has multiple applications in a variety of disciplines, including Lagrangian (particle-based) models of solute transport in fluids. In random walk…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-04 Guillem Sole-Mari , Diogo Bolster , Daniel Fernàndez-Garcia , Xavier Sanchez-Vila

Debris disks around main-sequence stars are believed to derive from planetesimal populations that have accreted at early epochs and survived possible planet formation processes. While debris disks must contain solids in a broad range of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alexander V. Krivov , Sebastian Müller , Torsten Löhne , Harald Mutschke

In this paper, we present results from a multi-stage numerical campaign to begin to explain and determine why extreme debris disk detections are rare, what types of impacts will result in extreme debris disks and what we can learn about the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-09 Lewis Watt , Zoë Leinhardt , Kate Su

We introduce a numerical method to integrate tidal effects on collisional systems, using any definition of the external potential as a function of space and time. Rather than using a linearisation of the tidal field, this new method follows…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2015-06-23 Florent Renaud , Mark Gieles

Debris disks are thought to be sculptured by neighboring planets. The same is true for the Edgeworth-Kuiper debris disk, yet no direct observational evidence for signatures of giant planets in the Kuiper belt dust distribution has been…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-19 Christian Vitense , Alexander V. Krivov , Torsten Löhne

In symmetric gravitating systems experiencing rapid mass loss, particle orbits change almost instantaneously, which can lead to the development of a sharply contoured density profile, including singular caustics for collisionless systems.…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-10-25 Zephyr Penoyre , Zoltán Haiman

The estimation of probability densities based on available data is a central task in many statistical applications. Especially in the case of large ensembles with many samples or high-dimensional sample spaces, computationally efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-04 Daniel W. Meyer