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Growth mixture models (GMMs) incorporate both conventional random effects growth modeling and latent trajectory classes as in finite mixture modeling; therefore, they offer a way to handle the unobserved heterogeneity between subjects in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Yuhong Wei , Yang Tang , Emilie Shireman , Paul D. McNicholas , Douglas L. Steinley

The aim of this paper is to propose diffusion strategies for distributed estimation over adaptive networks, assuming the presence of spatially correlated measurements distributed according to a Gaussian Markov random field (GMRF) model. The…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-22 Paolo Di Lorenzo

The main challenges that arise when adopting Gaussian Process priors in probabilistic modeling are how to carry out exact Bayesian inference and how to account for uncertainty on model parameters when making model-based predictions on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-08 Maurizio Filippone , Mark Girolami

Modeling correlated or highly stratified multiple-response data becomes a common data analysis task due to modern data monitoring facilities and methods. Generalized estimating equations (GEE) is one of the popular statistical methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-05 Zimu Chen , Zhanfeng Wang , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

We consider a sparse linear regression model with unknown symmetric error under the high-dimensional setting. The true error distribution is assumed to belong to the locally $\beta$-H\"{o}lder class with an exponentially decreasing tail,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Kyoungjae Lee , Minwoo Chae , Lizhen Lin

We develop algorithms for performing semiparametric regression analysis in real time, with data processed as it is collected and made immediately available via modern telecommunications technologies. Our definition of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-07 Jan Luts , Tamara Broderick , Matt P. Wand

By recognizing that the main difficulty of the modeling of daily precipitation amounts is the selection of an appropriate probability distribution, this study aims to establish a model selection framework to identify the appropriate…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-01 Hsien-Wei Chen

Preferential sampling is a common feature in geostatistics and occurs when the locations to be sampled are chosen based on information about the phenomena under study. In this case, point pattern models are commonly used as the probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-27 Douglas Mateus da Silva , Dani Gamerman

Root-mean-square error (RMSE) remains the default training loss for data-driven precipitation models, despite precipitation being semi-continuous, zero-inflated, strictly non-negative, and heavy-tailed. This Gaussian-implied objective…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-11 Kieran M. R. Hunt

We propose a new method for inferring the governing stochastic ordinary differential equations (SODEs) by observing particle ensembles at discrete and sparse time instants, i.e., multiple "snapshots". Particle coordinates at a single time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Liu Yang , Constantinos Daskalakis , George Em Karniadakis

While deep-learning downscaling algorithms can generate fine-scale climate projections cost-effectively, it is still unclear how well they will extrapolate to unobserved climates. We assess the extrapolation capabilities of a deterministic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Neelesh Rampal , Peter B. Gibson , Steven Sherwood , Gab Abramowitz

In this paper we propose an objective Bayesian estimation approach for the parameters of the generalized gamma distribution. Various reference priors are obtained, but showing that they lead to improper posterior distributions. We overcome…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-19 Pedro L. Ramos , Francisco Louzada

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used metamodels for approximating expensive computer simulations, particularly in engineering design and spatial prediction. However, their performance can deteriorate significantly when covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Ayumi Mutoh , Junoh Heo

Precipitation results from complex processes across many scales, making its accurate simulation in Earth system models (ESMs) challenging. Existing post-processing methods can improve ESM simulations locally, but cannot correct errors in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-03 Philipp Hess , Markus Drüke , Stefan Petri , Felix M. Strnad , Niklas Boers

A new stochastic model for daily precipitation occurrence processes observed at multiple locations is developed. The modeling concept is to use the indicator function and the elliptical shape of multivariate Gaussian distribution to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-02 Hsien-Wei Chen

In this paper, the use of the Generalized Beta Mixture (GBM) and Horseshoe distributions as priors in the Bayesian Compressive Sensing framework is proposed. The distributions are considered in a two-layer hierarchical model, making the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-11 Zahra Sabetsarvestani , Hamidreza Amindavar

This survey reviews the existing literature on the most relevant Bayesian inference methods for univariate and multivariate GARCH models. The advantages and drawbacks of each procedure are outlined as well as the advantages of the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Audronė Virbickaitė , M. Concepción Ausín , Pedro Galeano

Regression algorithms are regularly used for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products. In this context, satellite precipitation and topography data are the predictor variables, and gauged-measured precipitation data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Parametric Bayesian modeling offers a powerful and flexible toolbox for machine learning. Yet the model, however detailed, may still be wrong, and this can make inferences untrustworthy. In this paper we introduce a new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , Sohrab Salehi , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Yuan , Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka