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The Kalman filter (KF) is an optimal linear state estimator for linear systems, and numerous extensions, including the extended Kalman filter (EKF), unscented Kalman filter (UKF), and cubature Kalman filter (CKF), have been developed for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Shida Jiang , Junzhe Shi , Scott Moura

This article presents an up-to-date tutorial review of nonlinear Bayesian estimation. State estimation for nonlinear systems has been a challenge encountered in a wide range of engineering fields, attracting decades of research effort. To…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-15 Huazhen Fang , Ning Tian , Yebin Wang , MengChu Zhou , Mulugeta A. Haile

The Kalman filter is an established tool for the analysis of dynamic systems with normally distributed noise, and it has been successfully applied in numerous application areas. It provides sequentially calculated estimates of the system…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-10-26 S. Eichstädt , N. Makarava , C. Elster

Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

The application of neural networks in modeling dynamic systems has become prominent due to their ability to estimate complex nonlinear functions. Despite their effectiveness, neural networks face challenges in long-term predictions, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Parham Oveissi , Turibius Rozario , Ankit Goel

Optimal decision-making under partial observability requires reasoning about the uncertainty of the environment's hidden state. However, most reinforcement learning architectures handle partial observability with sequence models that have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Carlos E. Luis , Alessandro G. Bottero , Julia Vinogradska , Felix Berkenkamp , Jan Peters

In this paper, we consider the task of designing a Kalman Filter (KF) for an unknown and partially observed autonomous linear time invariant system driven by process and sensor noise. To do so, we propose studying the following two step…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-14 Anastasios Tsiamis , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

Emerging deep-learning (DL)-based techniques have significant potential to revolutionize biomedical imaging. However, one outstanding challenge is the lack of reliability assessment in the DL predictions, whose errors are commonly revealed…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-07 Yujia Xue , Shiyi Cheng , Yunzhe Li , Lei Tian

Accurate structural response prediction forms a main driver for structural health monitoring and control applications. This often requires the proposed model to adequately capture the underlying dynamics of complex structural systems. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Wei Liu , Zhilu Lai , Kiran Bacsa , Eleni Chatzi

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

Nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter (KF), such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are indispensable for state estimation in complex dynamical systems, yet the conditions for a nonlinear KF to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Shida Jiang , Jaewoong Lee , Shengyu Tao , Scott Moura

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve state-of-the-art accuracy in various applications, they often fall short in accurately estimating their predictive uncertainty and, in turn, fail to recognize when these predictions may be wrong.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Ankur Mallick , Chaitanya Dwivedi , Bhavya Kailkhura , Gauri Joshi , T. Yong-Jin Han

This technical note addresses the UD factorization based Kalman filtering (KF) algorithms. Using this important class of numerically stable KF schemes, we extend its functionality and develop an elegant and simple method for computation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Julia V. Tsyganova , Maria V. Kulikova

This paper investigates the state estimation problem for unknown linear systems subject to both process and measurement noise. Based on a prior input-output trajectory sampled at a higher frequency and a prior state trajectory sampled at a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-23 Peihu Duan , Tao Liu , Yu Xing , Karl Henrik Johansson

The widely-used Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) provides a straightforward recipe to estimate the mean and covariance of the state given all past measurements in a causal and recursive fashion. For a wide variety of applications, the EKF is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Stephanie Tsuei , Stefano Soatto , Paulo Tabuada , Mark B. Milam

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) augment deep networks with uncertainty quantification by Bayesian treatment of the network weights. However, such models face the challenge of Bayesian inference in a high-dimensional and usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Zhijie Deng , Yucen Luo , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) are powerful tools for various computer vision tasks, yet they often struggle with reliable uncertainty quantification - a critical requirement for real-world applications. Bayesian Neural Networks (BNN) are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Gianni Franchi , Olivier Laurent , Maxence Leguéry , Andrei Bursuc , Andrea Pilzer , Angela Yao

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete time-varying systems over sensor networks. Firstly, it is shown that a networked Kalman filter with optimal gain parameter is actually a centralized filter,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

As autonomous systems increasingly rely on Deep Neural Networks (DNN) to implement the navigation pipeline functions, uncertainty estimation methods have become paramount for estimating confidence in DNN predictions. Bayesian Deep Learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Fabio Arnez , Huascar Espinoza , Ansgar Radermacher , François Terrier