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Related papers: Amortised Inference in Bayesian Neural Networks

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The inability of artificial neural networks to assess the uncertainty of their predictions is an impediment to their widespread use. We distinguish two types of learnable uncertainty: model uncertainty due to a lack of training data and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

When data are scarce meta-learning can improve a learner's accuracy by harnessing previous experience from related learning tasks. However, existing methods have unreliable uncertainty estimates which are often overconfident. Addressing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Jonas Rothfuss , Dominique Heyn , Jinfan Chen , Andreas Krause

Machine learning models perform well across domains such as diagnostics, weather forecasting, NLP, and autonomous driving, but their limited uncertainty handling restricts use in safety-critical settings. Traditional neural networks often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Bernhard Klein , Falk Selker , Hendrik Borras , Sophie Steger , Franz Pernkopf , Holger Fröning

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Deep learning models, including modern systems like large language models, are well known to offer unreliable estimates of the uncertainty of their decisions. In order to improve the quality of the confidence levels, also known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Jiayi Huang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Probabilistic atlas priors have been commonly used to derive adaptive and robust brain MRI segmentation algorithms. Widely-used neuroimage analysis pipelines rely heavily on these techniques, which are often computationally expensive. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Adrian V. Dalca , Evan Yu , Polina Golland , Bruce Fischl , Mert R. Sabuncu , Juan Eugenio Iglesias

An overarching goal in machine learning is to build a generalizable model with few samples. To this end, overparameterization has been the subject of immense interest to explain the generalization ability of deep nets even when the size of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Yue Sun , Adhyyan Narang , Halil Ibrahim Gulluk , Samet Oymak , Maryam Fazel

Training neural networks on randomly generated artificial datasets yields Bayesian models that capture the prior defined by the dataset-generating distribution. Prior-data Fitted Networks (PFNs) are a class of methods designed to leverage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Samuel Müller , Arik Reuter , Noah Hollmann , David Rügamer , Frank Hutter

Neural posterior estimation has emerged as a powerful tool for amortized inference, with growing adoption across scientific and applied domains. In many of these applications, the conditioning variable is a set of observations whose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Antoine Wehenkel , Michael Kagan , Lukas Heinrich , Chris Pollard

Bayesian (deep) neural networks (BNN) are often more attractive than the vanilla point-estimate deep learning in various aspects including uncertainty quantification, robustness to noise, resistance to overfitting, and more. The variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Minyoung Kim

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

We propose a framework for online meta-optimization of parameters that govern optimization, called Amortized Proximal Optimization (APO). We first interpret various existing neural network optimizers as approximate stochastic proximal point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Juhan Bae , Paul Vicol , Jeff Z. HaoChen , Roger Grosse

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Leveraging the wealth of unlabeled data produced in recent years provides great potential for improving supervised models. When the cost of acquiring labels is high, probabilistic active learning methods can be used to greedily select the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-09 Robert Pinsler , Jonathan Gordon , Eric Nalisnick , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

We present an iterative framework to improve the amortized approximations of posterior distributions in the context of Bayesian inverse problems, which is inspired by loop-unrolled gradient descent methods and is theoretically grounded in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Predicting high-fidelity future human poses, from a historically observed sequence, is decisive for intelligent robots to interact with humans. Deep end-to-end learning approaches, which typically train a generic pre-trained model on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Qiongjie Cui , Huaijiang Sun , Jianfeng Lu , Bin Li , Weiqing Li

Bayesian Optimization is methodology used in statistical modelling that utilizes a Gaussian process prior distribution to iteratively update a posterior distribution towards the true distribution of the data. Finding unbiased informative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Ruduan Plug

While learning from synthetic training data has recently gained an increased attention, in real-world robotic applications, there are still performance deficiencies due to the so-called Sim-to-Real gap. In practice, this gap is hard to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Jianxiang Feng , Jongseok Lee , Maximilian Durner , Rudolph Triebel

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) offer the potential for reliable uncertainty quantification and interpretability, which are critical for trustworthy AI in high-stakes domains. However, existing methods often struggle with issues such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Romeo Sommerfeld , Christian Helms , Ralf Herbrich

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth
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