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Most of the stationary first-order autoregressive integer-valued (INAR(1)) models were developed for a given thinning operator using either the forward approach or the backward approach. In the forward approach the marginal distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-22 Emad-Eldin AA Aly , Nadjib Bouzar

In this paper, we introduce the first-order integer-valued autoregressive (INAR(1)) model, with Poisson-Lindley innovations based on power series thinning operator. Some mathematical features of this process are given and estimating the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-08 Eisa Mahmoudi , Ameneh Rostami , Rasool Roozegar

We introduce a two-parameter expectation thinning operator based on a linear fractional probability generating function. The operator is then used to define a first-order integer-valued autoregressive \inar1 process. Distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Emad-Eldin A. A. Aly , Nadjib Bouzar

INteger Auto-Regressive (INAR) processes are usually defined by specifying the innovations and the operator, which often leads to difficulties in deriving marginal properties of the process. In many practical situations, a major modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-21 Matheus B. Guerrero , Wagner Barreto-Souza , Hernando Ombao

In this paper, we present a fractional decomposition of the probability generating function of the innovation process of the first-order non-negative integer-valued autoregressive [INAR(1)] process to obtain the corresponding probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Josemar Rodrigues , Marcelo Bourguignon , Manoel Santos-Neto , N. Balakrishnan

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

An extension of the RINAR(1) process for modelling discrete-time dependent counting processes is considered. The model RINAR(p) investigated here is a direct and natural extension of the real AR(p) model. Compared to classical INAR(p)…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-11 M. Kachour

Integer-valued time series models have been a recurrent theme considered in many papers in the last three decades, but only a few of them have dealt with models on $\mathbb Z$ (that is, including both negative and positive integers). Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Marcelo Bourguignon

In this paper, a new bivariate random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process based on modified negative binomial operator with dependent innovations is proposed. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Yixuan Fan , Dehui Wang

In this paper, we introduce a new first-order mixture integer-valued threshold autoregressive process, based on the binomial and negative binomial thinning operators. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-06 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang , Liuquan Sun

Strictly stationary INAR(1) ("integer-valued autoregressive processes of order 1") with Poisson innovations are "interlaced rho-mixing".

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-01 Richard C. Bradley

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

An inhomogeneous first--order integer--valued autoregressive (INAR(1)) process is investigated, where the autoregressive type coefficient slowly converges to one. It is shown that the process converges weakly to a Poisson or a compound…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 László Györfi , Márton Ispány , Gyula Pap , Katalin Varga

In this article, we introduce and study a one sided tempered stable first order autoregressive model called TAR(1). Under the assumption of stationarity of the model, the marginal probability density function of the error term is found. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-30 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

We introduce a neural network architecture to solve inverse problems linked to a one-dimensional integral operator. This architecture is built by unfolding a forward-backward algorithm derived from the minimization of an objective function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Emilie Chouzenoux , Cecile Della Valle , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

In this article we discuss the convergence of first order operators on a thickened graph (a graph-like space) towards a similar operator on the underlying metric graph. On the graph-like space, the first order operator is of the form…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-07-24 Pavel Exner , Olaf Post

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

Solving inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) is central to science and engineering, yet remains challenging when measurements are sparse, noisy, or when the underlying coefficients are high-dimensional or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Gang Bao , Yaohua Zang

A new integer--valued autoregressive process (INAR) with Generalised Lagrangian Katz (GLK) innovations is defined. This process family provides a flexible modelling framework for count data, allowing for under and over--dispersion,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-18 Ovielt Baltodano Lopez , Federico Bassetti , Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin

The first-order autoregressive process, AR (1), has been widely used and implemented in time series analysis. Different estimation methods have been employed in order to estimate the autoregressive parameter. This article focuses on…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-29 Hossein Masoumi Karakani , Janet van Niekerk , Paul van Staden
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