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We present a framework to interpret signal temporal logic (STL) formulas over discrete-time stochastic processes in terms of the induced risk. Each realization of a stochastic process either satisfies or violates an STL formula. In fact, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-08 Lars Lindemann , Nikolai Matni , George J. Pappas

Optimizing static risk-averse objectives in Markov decision processes is difficult because they do not admit standard dynamic programming equations common in Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms. Dynamic programming decompositions that…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-04 Jia Lin Hau , Erick Delage , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh , Marek Petrik

We propose policy gradient algorithms which learn risk-sensitive policies in a reinforcement learning (RL) framework. Our proposed algorithms maximize the distortion risk measure (DRM) of the cumulative reward in an episodic Markov decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Nithia Vijayan , Prashanth L. A

This paper contains an overview of results for dynamic multivariate risk measures. We provide the main results of four different approaches. We will prove under which assumptions results within these approaches coincide, and how properties…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-27 Zachary Feinstein , Birgit Rudloff

External-instrument identification leads to biased responses when the shock is not invertible and the measurement error is present. We propose to use this identification strategy in a structural Dynamic Factor Model, which we call Proxy…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-07-13 Davide Brignone , Alessandro Franconi , Marco Mazzali

This paper introduces a novel approach for modelling time-varying connectivity in neuroimaging data, focusing on the slow fluctuations in synaptic efficacy that mediate neuronal dynamics. Building on the framework of Dynamic Causal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

We study coherent risk measures which are time-consistent for multiple filtrations. We show that a coherent risk measure is time-consistent for every filtration if and only if it is one of four main types. Furthermore, if the risk measure…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-07-06 Samuel N. Cohen

We present an arbitrage free theoretical framework for modeling bid and ask prices of dividend paying securities in a discrete time setup using theory of dynamic acceptability indices. In the first part of the paper we develop the theory of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-31 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Tao Chen

Features in machine learning problems are often time-varying and may be related to outputs in an algebraic or dynamical manner. The dynamic nature of these machine learning problems renders current higher order accelerated gradient descent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-29 Joseph E. Gaudio , Travis E. Gibson , Anuradha M. Annaswamy , Michael A. Bolender

Time-consistency is an essential requirement in risk sensitive optimal control problems to make rational decisions. An optimization problem is time consistent if its solution policy does not depend on the time sequence of solving the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-26 Yinlam Chow , Marco Pavone

We study the problem of co-designing control barrier functions and linear state feedback controllers for discrete-time linear systems affected by additive disturbances. For disturbances of bounded magnitude, we provide a semi-definite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Marta Fochesato , Han Wang , Antonis Papachristodoulou , Paul Goulart

Procyclicality of historical risk measure estimation means that one tends to over-estimate future risk when present realized volatility is high and vice versa under-estimate future risk when the realized volatility is low. Out of it…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-03 Marcel Bräutigam , Marie Kratz

Due to their heterogeneity, insurance risks can be properly described as a mixture of different fixed models, where the weights assigned to each model may be estimated empirically from a sample of available data. If a risk measure is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

This paper is concerned with the study of the stability of dynamical systems evolving on time scales. We first {formalize the notion of matrix measures on time scales, prove some of their key properties and make use of this notion to study…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-10 Giovanni Russo , Fabian Wirth

Risk measure is a fundamental concept in finance and in the insurance industry, it is used to adjust life insurance rates. In this current paper, we will study dynamic risk measures by means of backward stochastic Volterra integral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Nacira Agram

The paper investigates the robust distortion risk measure with linear penalty function under distribution uncertainty. The distribution uncertainties are characterized by predetermined moment conditions or constraints on the Wasserstein…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-21 Yuxin Du , Dejian Tian , Hui Zhang

This paper approaches the definition and properties of dynamic convex risk measures through the notion of a family of concave valuation operators satisfying certain simple and credible axioms. Exploring these in the simplest context of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Jobert , L. C. G. Rogers

In this paper, we will show that under certain conditions, associated to any fixed distortion function $g$, the distortion risk measure of a sum of two counter-monotonic risks can be expressed as the sum of two related distortion risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Chunle Huang

A discrete time crystal (DTC) is a robust phase of driven systems that breaks the discrete time translation symmetry of the driving Hamiltonian. Recent experiments have observed DTC signatures in two distinct systems. Here we show nuclear…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-05-18 Jared Rovny , Robert L. Blum , Sean E. Barrett

We propose a novel deformation corrected compressed sensing (DC-CS) framework to recover dynamic magnetic resonance images from undersampled measurements. We introduce a generalized formulation that is capable of handling a wide class of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-09-04 Sajan Goud Lingala , Edward DiBella , Mathews Jacob
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