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Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

The present paper provides a study of high-dimensional statistical arbitrage that combines factor models with the tools from stochastic control, obtaining closed-form optimal strategies which are both interpretable and computationally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez

Statistical arbitrage is a prevalent trading strategy which takes advantage of mean reverse property of spread of paired stocks. Studies on this strategy often rely heavily on model assumption. In this study, we introduce an innovative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Boming Ning , Kiseop Lee

Statistical arbitrage strategies, such as pairs trading and its generalizations, rely on the construction of mean-reverting spreads enjoying a certain degree of predictability. Gaussian linear state-space processes have recently been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-19 Kostas Triantafyllopoulos , Giovanni Montana

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

Changes in market conditions present challenges for investors as they cause performance to deviate from the ranges predicted by long-term averages of means and covariances. The aim of conditional asset allocation strategies is to overcome…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Reza Bradrania , Davood Pirayesh Neghab

This paper develops estimation and inference methods for conditional quantile factor models. We first introduce a simple sieve estimation, and establish asymptotic properties of the estimators under large $N$. We then provide a bootstrap…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-21 Qihui Chen

How to hedge factor risks without knowing the identities of the factors? We first prove a general theoretical result: even if the exact set of factors cannot be identified, any risky asset can use some portfolio of similar peer assets to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-19 Raymond C. W. Leung , Yu-Man Tam

Opportunities for stochastic arbitrage in an options market arise when it is possible to construct a portfolio of options which provides a positive option premium and which, when combined with a direct investment in the underlying asset,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Brendan K. Beare , Juwon Seo , Zhongxi Zheng

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng

In order to estimate the conditional risk of a portfolio's return, two strategies can be advocated. A multivariate strategy requires estimating a dynamic model for the vector of risk factors, which is often challenging, when at all…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-12 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoian

The study seeks to develop an effective strategy based on the novel framework of statistical arbitrage based on graph clustering algorithms. Amalgamation of quantitative and machine learning methods, including the Kelly criterion, and an…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-18 Adam Korniejczuk , Robert Ślepaczuk

Automated decision-making tools increasingly assess individuals to determine if they qualify for high-stakes opportunities. A recent line of research investigates how strategic agents may respond to such scoring tools to receive favorable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Keegan Harris , Hoda Heidari , Zhiwei Steven Wu

In this paper, we implement and evaluate a conditional diffusion model for asset return prediction and portfolio construction on large-scale equity data. Our method models the full distribution of future returns conditioned on firm…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Avi Bagchi , Michael Tesfaye , Om Shastri

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

This paper examines foreign exchange risk premia from simple univariate regressions to the state-space method. The adjusted traditional regressions properly figure out the existence and time-evolving property of the risk premia.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-26 Siwat Nakmai

We consider a financial market in discrete time and study pricing and hedging conditional on the information available up to an arbitrary point in time. In this conditional framework, we determine the structure of arbitrage-free prices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-15 Lars Niemann , Thorsten Schmidt
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