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In this paper, a new bivariate random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process based on modified negative binomial operator with dependent innovations is proposed. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Yixuan Fan , Dehui Wang

In this paper, we introduce the first-order integer-valued autoregressive (INAR(1)) model, with Poisson-Lindley innovations based on power series thinning operator. Some mathematical features of this process are given and estimating the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-08 Eisa Mahmoudi , Ameneh Rostami , Rasool Roozegar

The univariate integer-valued time series has been extensively studied, but literature on multivariate integer-valued time series models is quite limited and the complex correlation structure among the multivariate integer-valued time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-01 Weiyang Yu , Haitao Zheng

Guerrero et al. \cite{GBSO} propose a novel approach to building first-order integer-valued autoregressive (\inar1) models based on the concept of thinning. The standard approach requires that the thinning operator be defined first and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Nadjib Bouzar

In this paper, we study finite-sample properties of the least squares estimator in first order autoregressive processes. By leveraging a result from decoupling theory, we derive upper bounds on the probability that the estimate deviates by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Rodrigo A. González , Cristian R. Rojas

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

In [Lavielle and Ludena 07], a random thresholding metho d is intro duced to select the significant, or non null, mean terms among a collection of independent random variables, and applied to the problem of recovering the significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-27 Merlin Keller , Marc Lavielle

Integer-valued time series models have been a recurrent theme considered in many papers in the last three decades, but only a few of them have dealt with models on $\mathbb Z$ (that is, including both negative and positive integers). Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Marcelo Bourguignon

We define and analyse a least-squares finite element method for a first-order reformulation of the obstacle problem. Moreover, we derive variational inequalities that are based on similar but non-symmetric bilinear forms. A priori error…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Thomas Führer

In this work, we present a regression-based ordinal regression algorithm for supervised classification of instances into ordinal categories. In contrast to previous methods, in this work the decision boundaries between categories are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Tzeviya Sylvia Fuchs , Joseph Keshet

First-order probabilistic models combine representational power of first-order logic with graphical models. There is an ongoing effort to design lifted inference algorithms for first-order probabilistic models. We analyze lifted inference…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Jacek Kisynski , David L Poole

A new maximum approximate likelihood (ML) estimation algorithm for the mixture of Kent distribution is proposed. The new algorithm is constructed via the BSLM (block successive lower-bound maximization) framework and incorporates manifold…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-15 Hien D. Nguyen

We study the asymptotic behavior of the weighted least squares estimators of the unknown parameters of bifurcating integer-valued autoregressive processes. Under suitable assumptions on the immigration, we establish the almost sure…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-03 Vassili Blandin

We introduce a two-parameter expectation thinning operator based on a linear fractional probability generating function. The operator is then used to define a first-order integer-valued autoregressive \inar1 process. Distributional…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-09 Emad-Eldin A. A. Aly , Nadjib Bouzar

Growth in both size and complexity of modern data challenges the applicability of traditional likelihood-based inference. Composite likelihood (CL) methods address the difficulties related to model selection and computational intractability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

Real count data time series often show the phenomenon of the underdispersion and overdispersion. In this paper, we develop two extensions of the first-order integer-valued autoregressive process with Poisson innovations, based on binomial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-27 Marcelo Bourguignon , Josemar Rodrigues , Manoel Santos-Neto

In this paper we consider high dimension models based on dependent observations defined through autoregressive processes. For such models we develop an adaptive efficient estimation method via the robust sequential model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Jean-Yves Brua , Serguei Pergamenshchikov

Logistic regression is one of the most popular methods in binary classification, wherein estimation of model parameters is carried out by solving the maximum likelihood (ML) optimization problem, and the ML estimator is defined to be the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Robert M. Freund , Paul Grigas , Rahul Mazumder

In this paper the integer-valued autoregressive model of order one, contaminated with additive or innovational outliers is studied in some detail. Moreover, parameter estimation is also addressed. Supposing that the time points of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-02-28 Matyas Barczy , Marton Ispany , Gyula Pap , Manuel Scotto , Maria Eduarda Silva
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