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Over the last few decades, the player recruitment process in professional football has evolved into a multi-billion industry and has thus become of vital importance. To gain insights into the general level of their candidate reinforcements,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-17 Bart Aalbers , Jan Van Haaren

The availability of tracking data in football presents unique opportunities for analyzing team shape and player roles, but leveraging it effectively remains challenging. This difficulty arises from the significant overlap in player…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-06 Ali Baouan

Objectively quantifying the value of player actions in football (soccer) is a challenging problem. To date, studies in football analytics have mainly focused on the attacking side of the game, while there has been less work on event-driven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Charbel Merhej , Ryan Beal , Sarvapali Ramchurn , Tim Matthews

Defensive coverage schemes in the National Football League (NFL) represent complex tactical patterns requiring coordinated assignments among defenders who must react dynamically to the offense's passing concept. This paper presents a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Kevin Song , Evan Diewald , Ornob Siddiquee , Chris Boomhower , Keegan Abdoo , Mike Band , Amy Lee

Based on NFL game data we try to predict the outcome of a play in multiple different ways. An application of this is the following: by plugging in various play options one could determine the best play for a given situation in real time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-05 Brendan Teich , Roman Lutz , Valentin Kassarnig

As artificial intelligence spreads out to numerous fields, the application of AI to sports analytics is also in the spotlight. However, one of the major challenges is the difficulty of automated acquisition of continuous movement data…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Hyunsung Kim , Han-Jun Choi , Chang Jo Kim , Jinsung Yoon , Sang-Ki Ko

Although the values of individual soccer players have become astronomical, subjective judgments still play a big part in the player analysis. Recently, there have been new attempts to quantitatively grasp players' styles using video-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Hyunsung Kim , Jihun Kim , Dongwook Chung , Jonghyun Lee , Jinsung Yoon , Sang-Ki Ko

Technology offers new ways to measure the locations of the players and of the ball in sports. This translates to the trajectories the ball takes on the field as a result of the tactics the team applies. The challenge professionals in soccer…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-08-11 Laszlo Gyarmati , Xavier Anguera

Motion prediction in soccer involves capturing complex dynamics from player and ball interactions. We present FootBots, an encoder-decoder transformer-based architecture addressing motion prediction and conditioned motion prediction through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Guillem Capellera , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Rubio , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer

We propose using Network Science as a complementary tool to analyze player and team behavior during a football match. Specifically, we introduce four kinds of networks based on different ways of interaction between players. Our approach's…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-13 J. M. Buldu , D. Garrido , D. R. Antequera , J. Busquets , E. Estrada , R. Resta , R. Lopez del Campo

The expected goal provides a more representative measure of the team and player performance which also suit the low-scoring nature of football instead of score in modern football. The score of a match involves randomness and often may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Mustafa Cavus , Przemysław Biecek

We present a fully convolutional neural network architecture that is capable of estimating full probability surfaces of potential passes in soccer, derived from high-frequency spatiotemporal data. The network receives layers of low-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-05 Javier Fernández , Luke Bornn

Expected points is a value function fundamental to player evaluation and strategic in-game decision-making across sports analytics, particularly in American football. To estimate expected points, football analysts use machine learning…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-10 Ryan S. Brill , Ryan Yee , Sameer K. Deshpande , Abraham J. Wyner

It is not surprise for machine learning models to provide decent prediction accuracy of soccer games outcomes based on various objective metrics. However, the performance is not that decent in terms of predicting difficult and valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Liyao Lu , Qiang Lyu

Transfers play a pivotal role in shaping a football club's success, yet forecasting whether a transfer will succeed remains difficult due to the strong context-dependence of on-field performance. Existing evaluation practices often rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Miru Hong , Minho Lee , Geonhee Jo , Jae-Hee So , Pascal Bauer , Sang-Ki Ko

Anticipating defensive coverage schemes is a crucial yet challenging task for offenses in American football. Because defenders' assignments are intentionally disguised before the snap, they remain difficult to recognize in real time. To…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Rouven Michels , Robert Bajons , Jan-Ole Fischer

Tackling is a fundamental defensive move in American football, with the main purpose of stopping the forward motion of the ball-carrier. However, current tackling metrics are manually recorded outcomes that are inherently flawed due to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-08 Quang Nguyen , Ruitong Jiang , Meg Ellingwood , Ronald Yurko

Analysis of invasive sports such as soccer is challenging because the game situation changes continuously in time and space, and multiple agents individually recognize the game situation and make decisions. Previous studies using deep…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Hiroshi Nakahara , Kazushi Tsutsui , Kazuya Takeda , Keisuke Fujii

Football forecasting models traditionally rate teams on past match results, that is based on the number of goals scored. Goals, however, involve a high element of chance and thus past results often do not reflect the performances of the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-07 Edward Wheatcroft , Ewelina Sienkiewicz

In most sports, especially football, most coaches and analysts search for key performance indicators using notational analysis. This method utilizes a statistical summary of events based on video footage and numerical records of goal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Chenyao Li , Stylianos Kampakis , Philip Treleaven