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Experimental calibration of dynamic thermal models is required for model predictive control and characterization of building energy performance. In these applications, the uncertainty assessment of the parameter estimates is decisive; this…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-25 L. Raillon , Christian Ghiaus

Within path sampling framework, we show that probability distribution divergences, such as the Chernoff information, can be estimated via thermodynamic integration. The Boltzmann-Gibbs distribution pertaining to different Hamiltonians is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-18 Silia Vitoratou , Ioannis Ntzoufras

Atomic-scale phase-field modeling formulates the probability densities of atomic vibrations as Gaussian distributions and derives a free energy functional using variational Gaussian theory and interatomic potentials. This framework permits…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-09-17 Kairi Masuda , Yu Kumagai

Predicting solid-solid phase transitions remains a long-standing challenge in materials science. Solid-solid transformations underpin a wide range of functional properties critical to energy conversion, information storage, and thermal…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-06-03 Cibrán López , Joshua Ojih , Ming Hu , Josep Lluis Tamarit , Edgardo Saucedo , Claudio Cazorla

We propose a Bayesian approach for both medical inquiry and disease inference, the two major phases in differential diagnosis. Unlike previous work that simulates data from given probabilities and uses ML algorithms on them, we directly use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Hong Guan , Chitta Baral

This work proposes an extension of phase change and latent heat models for the simulation of metal powder bed fusion additive manufacturing processes on the macroscale and compares different models with respect to accuracy and numerical…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Sebastian D. Proell , Wolfgang A. Wall , Christoph Meier

Essential to various practical applications of lithium-ion batteries is the availability of accurate equivalent circuit models. This paper presents a new coupled electro-thermal model for batteries and studies how to extract it from data.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-21 Hao Tu , Xinfan Lin , Yebin Wang , Huazhen Fang

As an aid to the development of hydrogen separation membranes, we predict the temperature dependent phase diagrams using first principles calculations combined with thermodynamic principles. Our method models the phase diagram without…

Materials Science · Physics 2014-08-07 William Paul Huhn , Michael Widom , Michael C. Gao

We consider the problem of estimating a temperature-dependent thermal conductivity model (curve) from temperature measurements. We apply a Bayesian estimation approach that takes into account measurement errors and limited prior information…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Rodrigo L. S. Silva , Clemens Verhoosel , Erik Quaeghebeur

We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes' theorem and its applications. In particular we discuss about how to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

We propose a method, Temperature Integration, which allows an efficient calculation of free energy differences between two systems of interest, with the same degrees of freedom, which may have rough energy landscapes. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Asaf Farhi , Guy Hed , Michael Bon , Nestor Caticha , Chi H Mak , Eytan Domany

Understanding phase stability and phase transformations is central to predicting material behavior under varying thermodynamic conditions. One of the earliest and most influential applications of density functional theory in materials…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-08 Lucas Svensson , Babak Sadigh , Christine Wu , Paul Erhart

Knowledge of phase diagrams is essential for material design as it helps in understanding microstructure evolution during processing. The determination of phase diagrams is thus one of the central tasks in materials science. When exploring…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-03-08 Guillaume Deffrennes , Kei Terayama , Taichi Abe , Ryo Tamura

In this work, we propose a theory of temperature estimation of quantum systems, which is applicable in the regime of non-negligible prior temperature uncertainty and limited measurement data. In this regime the problem of establishing a…

This paper presents the first thermodynamic assessment of binary and pseudo-binary phase diagrams in the Ba--La--S and Ga--La--S systems by means of the CALPHAD method. Experimental phase diagram equilibrium data and thermodynamic…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-02-20 Jiayang Wang , Guangyu Hu , Pierre Lucas , Marat I. Latypov

Phase estimation protocols provide a fundamental benchmark for the field of quantum metrology. The latter represents one of the most relevant applications of quantum theory, potentially enabling the capability of measuring unknown physical…

A widely used method to create a continuous representation of a discrete data-set is regression analysis. When the regression model is not based on a mathematical description of the physics underlying the data, heuristic techniques play a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-18 Giovanni Mana , Paolo Alberto Giuliano Albo , Simona Lago

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

Materials with nanoscale phase separation are considered. These materials are formed by a mixture of several phases, so that inside one phase there exist nanosize inclusions of other phases, with random shapes and random spatial locations.…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2014-03-31 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

We describe a novel method to obtain thermodynamic properties of quantum systems using Baysian Inference -- Maximum Entropy techniques. The method is applicable to energy values sampled at a discrete set of temperatures from Quantum Monte…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Carey Huscroft , Richard Gass , Mark Jarrell