Related papers: From constant to rough: A survey of continuous vol…
In this paper, we relax the power parameter of instantaneous variance and develop a new stochastic volatility plus jumps model that generalize the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. This model has two distinctive features. First,…
We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest into fundamental building blocks, i.e., minimal vector…
In this paper, we develop a general rough volatility model for commodities that provides an automatic calibration of the initial term structure of the futures prices and an appropriate treatment of the Samuelson effect. After the…
Pricing derivatives goes back to the acclaimed Black and Scholes model. However, such a modeling approach is known not to be able to reproduce some of the financial stylized facts, including the dynamics of volatility. In the mathematical…
This paper develops a flexible and computationally efficient multivariate volatility model, which allows for dynamic conditional correlations and volatility spillover effects among financial assets. The new model has desirable properties…
Volatility modelling has become a significant area of research within Financial Mathematics. Wiener process driven stochastic volatility models have become popular due their consistency with theoretical arguments and empirical observations.…
Rough volatility models have recently been empirically shown to provide a good fit to historical volatility time series and implied volatility smiles of SPX options. They are continuous-time stochastic volatility models, whose volatility…
We model the dynamics of the cryptocurrency (CC) asset class via a stochastic volatility with correlated jumps (SVCJ) model with rolling-window parameter estimates. By analyzing the time-series of parameters, stylized patterns are…
This study provides a consistent and efficient pricing method for both Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX) options and the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Volatility Index (VIX) options under a multiscale stochastic volatility model. To…
We present a self-organized stochastic model for the dynamics of a single flux line in random media. The dynamics for the flux line in the longitudinal and the transversal direction to an averaged moving direction are coupled to each other.…
Since Kolmogorov's theory, turbulence has been studied using various methods, many of which could be now be understood in a probabilistic framework. Herein, a comprehensive review of the advances made on stochastic theory of turbulence…
We propose a simple stochastic model of cascading transport in wave number space to clarify the origin of intermittent behavior of fully-developed fluid turbulence. In spite of lack of nonlinearity and viscosity the model gives non-Gaussian…
We develop a variant of rough path theory tailor-made for analyzing a class of financial asset price models known as rough volatility models. As an application, we prove a pathwise large deviation principle (LDP) for a certain class of…
An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…
Time variation and persistence are crucial properties of volatility that are often studied separately in energy volatility forecasting models. Here, we propose a novel approach that allows shocks with heterogeneous persistence to vary…
In this paper we consider the simulation-based Bayesian analysis of stochastic volatility in mean (SVM) models. Extending the highly efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo mixture sampler for the SV model proposed in Kim et al. (1998) and Omori…
This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…
Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.
We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…
Classic stochastic volatility models assume volatility is unobservable. We use the Volatility Index: S&P 500 VIX to observe it, to easier fit the model. We apply it to corporate bonds. We fit autoregression for corporate rates and for risk…