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Predictive models that generalize well under distributional shift are often desirable and sometimes crucial to building robust and reliable machine learning applications. We focus on distributional shift that arises in causal inference from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Fredrik D. Johansson , Nathan Kallus , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

Among the major difficulties that one may encounter when estimating parameters in a nonlinear regression model are the nonuniqueness of the estimator, its instability with respect to small perturbations of the observations and the presence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-29 Andrej Pázman , Luc Pronzato

We consider a general $p$-norm objective for experimental design problems that captures some well-studied objectives (D/A/E-design) as special cases. We prove that a randomized local search approach provides a unified algorithm to solve…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Lap Chi Lau , Robert Wang , Hong Zhou

Generalized linear models (GLMs) have been used widely for modelling the mean response both for discrete and continuous random variables with an emphasis on categorical response. Recently Yang, Mandal and Majumdar (2013) considered full…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Jie Yang , Abhyuday Mandal

Subsampling is commonly used to overcome computational and economical bottlenecks in the analysis of finite populations and massive datasets. Existing methods are often limited in scope and use optimality criteria (e.g., A-optimality) with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Henrik Imberg , Marina Axelson-Fisk , Johan Jonasson

We investigate graph representation learning approaches that enable models to generalize across graphs: given a model trained using the representations from one graph, our goal is to apply inference using those same model parameters when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Anton Amirov , Chris Quirk , Jennifer Neville

Recent studies show that transformer-based architectures emulate gradient descent during a forward pass, contributing to in-context learning capabilities - an ability where the model adapts to new tasks based on a sequence of prompt…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Karthik Duraisamy

In the common linear regression model the problem of determining optimal designs for least squares estimation is considered in the case where the observations are correlated. A necessary condition for the optimality of a given design is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

At the heart of machine learning lies the question of generalizability of learned rules over previously unseen data. While over-parameterized models based on neural networks are now ubiquitous in machine learning applications, our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-04 Melikasadat Emami , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Parthe Pandit , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

We consider optimal designs for the Kiefer cirteria, which include the E-criterion as a particular case, and the G-criterion in random coefficients regression (RCR) models. We obtain general the Kiefer criteria for approximate designs and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-14 Maryna Prus

This manuscript considers the problem of learning a random Gaussian network function using a fully connected network with frozen intermediate layers and trainable readout layer. This problem can be seen as a natural generalization of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-02 Dominik Schröder , Hugo Cui , Daniil Dmitriev , Bruno Loureiro

In transfer learning, the learner leverages auxiliary data to improve generalization on a main task. However, the precise theoretical understanding of when and how auxiliary data help remains incomplete. We provide new insights on this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Meitong Liu , Christopher Jung , Rui Li , Xue Feng , Han Zhao

A common problem in Phase II clinical trials is the comparison of dose response curves corresponding to different treatment groups. If the effect of the dose level is described by parametric regression models and the treatments differ in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Chrystel Feller , Kirsten Schorning , Holger Dette , Georgina Bermann , Björn Bornkamp

This paper presents a theory of error in cross-validation testing of algorithms for predicting real-valued attributes. The theory justifies the claim that predicting real-valued attributes requires balancing the conflicting demands of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Peter D. Turney

Inference for the parameters indexing generalised linear models is routinely based on the assumption that the model is correct and a priori specified. This is unsatisfactory because the chosen model is usually the result of a data-adaptive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Stijn Vansteelandt , Oliver Dukes

Bayesian optimality criteria provide a robust design strategy to parameter misspecification. We develop an approximate design theory for Bayesian $D$-optimality for non-linear regression models with covariates subject to measurement errors.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-16 Maria Konstantinou , Holger Dette

Estimation of a multivariate regression function from independent and identically distributed data is considered. An estimate is defined which fits a deep neural network consisting of a large number of fully connected neural networks, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Selina Drews , Michael Kohler

We generalize the Generic Model Theorem for equivariant presheaves of structures; extending the results of Macintyre and Caicedo. We also introduce a new class of generic cohomologies and show how, for some examples, they simplify to non…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-04-28 Gabriel Padilla , Andres Villaveces

It is widely believed that engineering a model to be invariant/equivariant improves generalisation. Despite the growing popularity of this approach, a precise characterisation of the generalisation benefit is lacking. By considering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-07 Bryn Elesedy , Sheheryar Zaidi

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie