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In this paper, we study lower tail probabilities of the height function $\mathfrak{h}(M,N)$ of the stochastic six-vertex model. We introduce a novel combinatorial approach to demonstrate that the tail probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Sayan Das , Yuchen Liao , Matteo Mucciconi

We present a proof of an upper tail bound of the correct order (up to a constant factor in the exponent) in two classes of stationary models in the KPZ universality class. The proof is based on an exponential identity due to Rains in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-01 Benjamin Landon , Philippe Sosoe

We consider the stochastic six-vertex (S6V) model and asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP) under general initial conditions which are bounded below lines of arbitrary slope at $\pm\infty$. We show under Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ)…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-25 Amol Aggarwal , Ivan Corwin , Milind Hegde

We study the stochastic six-vertex model on a strip $$\left\{(x,y)\in\mathbb{Z}^2: 0\leq y\leq x\leq y+N\right\}$$ with two open boundaries. We develop a `matrix product ansatz' method to solve for its stationary measure, based on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Zongrui Yang

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

In this paper, we study the stationary distributions for the stochastic vertex models. Our main focus is the stochastic six vertex (S6V) model. We show that the extremal stationary distributions of the S6V model are given by product…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yier Lin

In general, obtaining the exact steady-state distribution of queue lengths is not feasible. Therefore, we establish bounds for the tail probabilities of queue lengths. Specifically, we examine queueing systems under Heavy-Traffic (HT)…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Prakirt Raj Jhunjhunwala , Daniela Hurtado-Lange , Siva Theja Maguluri

Let $\Psi_1,\Psi_2,...$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random Lipschitz functions on a complete separable metric space with unbounded metric $d$ and forward iterations $X_n$. Suppose that $X_n$ has a stationary distribution. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-28 Gerold Alsmeyer

We consider the colored asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP) and stochastic six vertex (S6V) model with fully packed initial conditions; the states of these models can be encoded by 2-parameter height functions. We show under…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-30 Amol Aggarwal , Ivan Corwin , Milind Hegde

The stable tail dependence function provides a full characterization of the extremal dependence structures. Unfortunately, the estimation of the stable tail dependence function often suffers from significant bias, whose scale relates to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-19 Nan Zou

We study the random variables (r.v.) with values in the so-called mixed (anisotropic) Lebesgue-Riesz spaces: formulate the sufficient conditions for belonging of the r.v. to these spaces, estimate the tail of norms distribution, especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-08 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

Our results in this paper are two-fold. First, we consider current fluctuations of the stationary asymmetric simple exclusion process (ASEP), run for some long time $T$, and show that they are of order $T^{1 / 3}$ along a characteristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Amol Aggarwal

Exponential tail bounds for sums play an important role in statistics, but the example of the $t$-statistic shows that the exponential tail decay may be lost when population parameters need to be estimated from the data. However, it turns…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Guenther Walther

We consider the upper and lower tail probabilities for the centered (by time$/24$) and scaled (according to KPZ time$^{1/3}$ scaling) one-point distribution of the Cole-Hopf solution of the KPZ equation when started with initial data drawn…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-04 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal

In this paper we consider the Higher Spin Six Vertex Model on the lattice $\mathbb{Z}_{\geq 2} \times \mathbb{Z}_{\geq 1}$. We first identify a family of translation invariant measures and subsequently we study the one point distribution of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-01-25 Takashi Imamura , Matteo Mucciconi , Tomohiro Sasamoto

We provide the first tight bounds on the lower tail probability of the one point distribution of the KPZ equation with narrow wedge initial data. Our bounds hold for all sufficiently large times $T$ and demonstrates a crossover between…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal

In this paper we consider the limiting distribution of KPZ growth models with random but not stationary initial conditions introduced in [Chhita-Ferrari-Spohn 2018]. The one-point distribution of the limit is given in terms of a variational…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-18 Patrik L. Ferrari , Bálint Vető

We study the asymmetric six-vertex model in the quadrant with parameters on the stochastic line. We show that the random height function of the model converges to an explicit deterministic limit shape as the mesh size tends to 0. We further…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Alexei Borodin , Ivan Corwin , Vadim Gorin

We consider the ASEP and the stochastic six vertex model started with step initial data. After a long time, $T$, it is known that the one-point height function fluctuations for these systems are of order $T^{1/3}$. We prove the KPZ…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-23 Ivan Corwin , Evgeni Dimitrov

We investigate a stationary random coefficient autoregressive process. Using renewal type arguments tailor-made for such processes, we show that the stationary distribution has a power-law tail. When the model is normal, we show that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Claudia Kluppelberg , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov
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