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Parameter inference in ordinary differential equations is an important problem in many applied sciences and in engineering, especially in a data-scarce setting. In this work, we introduce a novel generative modeling approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Philippe Wenk , Gabriele Abbati , Michael A Osborne , Bernhard Schölkopf , Andreas Krause , Stefan Bauer

The idea of neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODE) is to approximate the derivative of a function (data model) instead of the function itself. In residual networks, instead of having a discrete sequence of hidden layers, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Seyedalireza Khoshsirat , Chandra Kambhamettu

In the era of big data, analysts usually explore various statistical models or machine learning methods for observed data in order to facilitate scientific discoveries or gain predictive power. Whatever data and fitting procedures are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-24 Jie Ding , Vahid Tarokh , Yuhong Yang

Deep Learning has emerged as one of the most significant innovations in machine learning. However, a notable limitation of this field lies in the ``black box" decision-making processes, which have led to skepticism within groups like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Shi Li

There are many issues that can cause problems when attempting to infer model parameters from data. Data and models are both imperfect, and as such there are multiple scenarios in which standard methods of inference will lead to misleading…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-01 Simon L. Cotter

Deep learning has become a pivotal technology in fields such as computer vision, scientific computing, and dynamical systems, significantly advancing these disciplines. However, neural Networks persistently face challenges related to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Yongshuai Liu , Lianfang Wang , Kuilin Qin , Qinghua Zhang , Faqiang Wang , Li Cui , Jun Liu , Yuping Duan , Tieyong Zeng

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

Dynamical systems are essential to model various phenomena in physics, finance, economics, and are also of current interest in machine learning. A central modeling task is investigating parameter sensitivity, whether tuning atmospheric…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Rishi Leburu , Levon Nurbekyan , Lars Ruthotto

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been recently proposed as a promising approach for nonlinear system identification tasks. In this work, we systematically compare their predictive performance with current state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Aowabin Rahman , Ján Drgoňa , Aaron Tuor , Jan Strube

This paper introduces diagnostic tests for the nature of lack of fit in ordinary differential equation models (ODEs) proposed for data. We present a hierarchy of three possible sources of lack of fit: unaccounted-for stochastic variation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-18 Giles Hooker , Stephen P. Ellner

We present a statistical learning framework for robust identification of partial differential equations from noisy spatiotemporal data. Extending previous sparse regression approaches for inferring PDE models from simulated data, we address…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Suryanarayana Maddu , Bevan L. Cheeseman , Ivo F. Sbalzarini , Christian L. Müller

Natural laws are often described through differential equations yet finding a differential equation that describes the governing law underlying observed data is a challenging and still mostly manual task. In this paper we make a step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Sören Becker , Michal Klein , Alexander Neitz , Giambattista Parascandolo , Niki Kilbertus

Model reduction for fluid flow simulation continues to be of great interest across a number of scientific and engineering fields. Here, we explore the use of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations, a recently introduced family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Sourav Dutta , Peter Rivera-Casillas , Matthew W. Farthing

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide efficient quantification of numerical uncertainty associated with simulation of dynamical systems. Their convergence rates have been established by a growing body of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

Ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs) play a paramount role in analyzing and simulating complex dynamic processes across all corners of science and engineering. In recent years machine learning tools are aspiring to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Sifan Wang , Paris Perdikaris

Deterministic flow models, such as rectified flows, offer a general framework for learning a deterministic transport map between two distributions, realized as the vector field for an ordinary differential equation (ODE). However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Saurabh Singh , Ian Fischer

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Filtering-based probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), also known as ODE filters, have been established as efficient methods for quantifying numerical uncertainty in the solution of ODEs. In practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Dingling Yao , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch

Questions of `how best to acquire data' are essential to modeling and prediction in the natural and social sciences, engineering applications, and beyond. Optimal experimental design (OED) formalizes these questions and creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Xun Huan , Jayanth Jagalur , Youssef Marzouk
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