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Computational chemistry has come a long way over the course of several decades, enabling subatomic level calculations particularly with the development of Density Functional Theory (DFT). Recently, machine-learned potentials (MLP) have…

We analyze an ensemble-based approach for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in atomistic neural networks. This method generates an epistemic uncertainty signal without requiring changes to the underlying multi-headed regression neural network…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-21 Idan Fonea , Amir Peles , Sivan Niv , Goren Gordon , Amir Natan

We designed a procedure to train a machine learning interatomic potential (MLIP) at benchmark-quality quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) accuracy. To avoid the complexities of high-quality atomic force determination with the stochastic QMC methods,…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-22 Adam Hložný , Ján Brndiar , Ye Luo , Ivan Štich

While neural networks have demonstrated impressive performance across various tasks, accurately quantifying uncertainty in their predictions is essential to ensure their trustworthiness and enable widespread adoption in critical systems.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Joseph Wilson , Chris van der Heide , Liam Hodgkinson , Fred Roosta

Accurate prediction of surface energies and stabilities is essential for materials design, yet first-principles calculations remain computationally expensive and most existing interatomic potentials are trained only on bulk systems. Here,…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-10-01 Jaekyun Hwang , Taehun Lee , Yonghyuk Lee , Su-Hyun Yoo

This paper presents the development and demonstration of massively parallel probabilistic machine learning (ML) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) capabilities within the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE), an…

We present an active learning framework for efficiently generating training data for machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs). The method combines local entropy-driven molecular dynamics with global dataset-aware filtering: a…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-05-21 Meiyan Wang , Rishi Rao , Li Zhu

In the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era, quantum error mitigation (QEM) is essential for producing reliable outputs from quantum circuits. We present a statistical signal processing approach to QEM that estimates the most likely…

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has gained traction in an attempt to improve the interpretability and robustness of machine learning predictions. Specifically (medical) biosignals such as electroencephalography (EEG), electrocardiography…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Ivo Pascal de Jong , Andreea Ioana Sburlea , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

With increasing deployment of machine learning systems in various real-world tasks, there is a greater need for accurate quantification of predictive uncertainty. While the common goal in uncertainty quantification (UQ) in machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Youngseog Chung , Ian Char , Han Guo , Jeff Schneider , Willie Neiswanger

Machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs) and force fields (i.e. interaction laws for atoms and molecules) are typically trained on limited data-sets that cover only a very small section of the full space of possible input structures.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Christoph Ortner , Yangshuai Wang

Universal Machine Learning Interatomic Potentials (uMLIPs) enable atomistic simulations and high-throughput screening at scales far beyond those accessible with density functional theory (DFT). However, most existing uMLIPs are trained on…

The past decade has witnessed a spectacular development of machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs), to the extent that they are already the approach of choice for most atomistic simulation studies not requiring an explicit treatment…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-11-24 Iñigo Robredo-Magro , Binayak Mukherjee , Hugo Aramberri , Jorge Íñiguez-González

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

The development of large databases of material properties, together with the availability of powerful computers, has allowed machine learning (ML) modeling to become a widely used tool for predicting material performances. While confidence…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-10-23 Francesca Tavazza , Kamal Choudhary , Brian DeCost

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) have massively changed the field of atomistic modeling. They enable the accuracy of density functional theory in large-scale simulations while being nearly as fast as classical interatomic…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-12-03 Niklas Leimeroth , Linus C. Erhard , Karsten Albe , Jochen Rohrer

Uncertainty quantification is an important part of many performance critical applications. This paper provides a simple alternative to existing approaches such as ensemble learning and bayesian neural networks. By directly modeling the loss…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yi Hung Lim

Universal machine learning interatomic potentials (UMLIPs) offer accuracy close to first-principles calculations at a fraction of the cost, showing significant potential for large-scale material simulations. However, the fragmented UMLIPs…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-03-17 Yanjin Xiang , Yihan Nie , Yunzhi Gao , Haidi Wang , Wei Hu

Graphical models have demonstrated their exceptional capabilities across numerous applications. However, their performance, confidence, and trustworthiness are often limited by the inherent randomness in data generation and the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Chao Chen , Chenghua Guo , Rui Xu , Jiujiu Chen , Xiangwen Liao , Xi Zhang , Sihong Xie , Hui Xiong , Philip Yu

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are gaining popularity as a method for solving differential equations. While being more feasible in some contexts than the classical numerical techniques, PINNs still lack credibility. A remedy for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Olga Graf , Pablo Flores , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara
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