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A well-established model for the genealogy of a large population in equilibrium is Kingman's coalescent. For the population together with its genealogy evolving in time, this gives rise to a time-stationary tree-valued process. We study the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger , Heinz Weisshaupt

Kingman's coalescent is a random tree that arises from classical population genetic models such as the Moran model. The individuals alive in these models correspond to the leaves in the tree and the following two laws of large numbers…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Andrej Depperschmidt , Peter Pfaffelhuber , Annika Scheuringer

We investigate the infinitely many demes limit of the genealogy of a sample of individuals from a subdivided population subject to sporadic mass extinction events. By exploiting a separation of timescales property of Wright's island model,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-29 Jesse E. Taylor , Amandine Veber

We derive the asymptotic behaviour of the genealogy of a logistic branching process in the setting where the equilibrium population size is large. In three regimes on the tail of the offspring distribution we recover the Kingman,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Ruairi Garrett , Julio Ernesto Nava Trejo

We consider a class of density-dependent branching processes which generalises exponential, logistic and Gompertz growth. A population begins with a single individual, grows exponentially initially, and then growth may slow down as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-11 David Cheek

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

Sweepstakes reproduction refers to a highly skewed individual recruitment success without involving natural selection and may apply to individuals in broadcast spawning populations characterised by Type III survivorship. We consider an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jonathan A Chetwynd-Diggle , Bjarki Eldon

The evolving Kingman coalescent is the tree-valued process which records the time evolution undergone by the genealogies of Moran populations. We consider the associated process of total external tree length of the evolving Kingman…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-20 Iulia Dahmer , Götz Kersting

We study coalescent processes conditional on the population pedigree under the exchangeable diploid bi-parental population model of \citet{BirknerEtAl2018}. While classical coalescent models average over all reproductive histories, thereby…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-22 Frederic Alberti , Matthias Birkner , Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Multiple-merger coalescents, e.g. $\Lambda$-$n$-coalescents, have been proposed as models of the genealogy of $n$ sampled individuals for a range of populations whose genealogical structures are not captured well by Kingman's…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-19 Fabian Freund

Take a continuous-time Galton-Watson tree. If the system survives until a large time $T$, then choose $k$ particles uniformly from those alive. What does the ancestral tree drawn out by these $k$ particles look like? Some special cases are…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-14 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Matthew I. Roberts

The nested Kingman coalescent describes the ancestral tree of a population undergoing neutral evolution at the level of individuals and at the level of species, simultaneously. We study the speed at which the number of lineages descends…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Airam Blancas Benítez , Tim Rogers , Jason Schweinsberg , Arno Siri-Jégousse

We investigate a new model for populations evolving in a spatial continuum. This model can be thought of as a spatial version of the Lambda-Fleming-Viot process. It explicitly incorporates both small scale reproduction events and large…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-22 N. H. Barton , A. M. Etheridge , A. Veber

In mathematical population genetics, it is well known that one can represent the genealogy of a population by a tree, which indicates how the ancestral lines of individuals in the population coalesce as they are traced back in time. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-20 Götz Kersting , Jason Schweinsberg , Anton Wakolbinger

Coalescent processes, including mutation, are derived from Moran type population models admitting large offspring numbers. Including mutation in the coalescent process allows for quantifying the turnover of alleles by computing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-11 Bjarki Eldon

We study a class of coalescents derived from a sampling procedure out of N i.i.d. Pareto(alpha) random variables, normalized by their sum, including beta-size-biasing on total length effects (beta < alpha). Depending on the range of alpha,…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-26 Thierry Huillet

We identify a new natural coalescent structure, which we call the seed-bank coalescent, that describes the gene genealogy of populations under the influence of a strong seed-bank effect, where "dormant forms" of individuals (such as seeds…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-10 Jochen Blath , Adrián González Casanova , Noemi Kurt , Maite Wilke-Berenguer

We consider a model of a population in which individuals are sampled from different species. The Yule-Kingman nested coalescent describes the genealogy of the sample when each species merges with another randomly chosen species with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-20 Toni Gui

A density-dependent branching process is a particle system in which individuals reproduce independently, but in a way that depends on the current population size. This feature can model a wide range of ecological interactions at the cost of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Mathilde André , Félix Foutel-Rodier , Emmanuel Schertzer

Evolutionary models for populations of constant size are frequently studied using the Moran model, the Wright-Fisher model, or their diffusion limits. When evolution is neutral, a random genealogy given through Kingman's coalescent is used…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-07-31 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Benedikt Vogt
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