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Related papers: Some notes on moment inequalities for heavy-tailed…

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We provide sharp bounds for the exponential moments and $p$-moments, $1\leqslant p \leqslant 2$, of the terminate distribution of a martingale whose square function is uniformly bounded by one. We introduce a Bellman function for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Dmitriy Stolyarov , Vasily Vasyunin , Pavel Zatitskiy , Ilya Zlotnikov

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

Fluctuations due to a super-position of uncorrelated Lorentzian pulses with a random distribution of amplitudes and duration times are considered. These are demonstrated to be strongly intermittent in the limit of weak pulse overlap,…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-03-14 O. E. Garcia , A. Theodorsen

Based on recent results in extreme value theory, we use a new technique for the statistical estimation of distribution tails. Specifically, we use the Gnedenko-Pickands-Balkema-de Haan theorem, which gives a natural limit law for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 V. F. Pisarenko , D. Sornette

Tail asymptotics of the solution $R$ to a fixpoint problem of type $R =_{st} Q + \sum_1^N R_m$ is derived under heavy-tailed conditions allowing both dependence between $Q$ and $N$ and the tails to be of the same order of magnitude. Similar…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Søren Asmussen , Sergey Foss

The paper deals with a new class of random walks strictly connected with the Pareto distribution. We consider stochastic processes in the sense of generalized convolution or weak generalized convolution following the idea given in [1]. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Barbara H. Jasiulis-Gołdyn

In this work, we consider systems that are subjected to intermittent instabilities due to external stochastic excitation. These intermittent instabilities, though rare, have a large impact on the probabilistic response of the system and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-06-02 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In many applications, significant correlations between arrivals of load-generating events make the numerical evaluation of the load of a system a challenging problem. Here, we construct very accurate approximations of the workload…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Eleni Vatamidou , Ivo J. B. F. Adan , Maria Vlasiou , Bert Zwart

We show that a simple mechanistic model of spatial dispersal for settling organisms, subject to parameter variability, can generate heavy-tailed radial probability density functions. The movement of organisms in the model consists of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-23 Luis F. Gordillo , Priscilla E. Greenwood

We study the distribution of strike size, which we measure as lost person days, for a long period in several countries of Europe and America. When we consider the full samples, the mixtures of two or three lognormals arise as very…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-23 Michele Campolieti , Arturo Ramos

We study the tails of closing auction return distributions for a sample of liquid European stocks. We use the stochastic call auction model of Derksen et al. (2020a), to derive a relation between tail exponents of limit order placement…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-21 M. Derksen , B. Kleijn , R. de Vilder

We investigate the moment and the distribution of $L(1,\x_P),$ where $\x_P$ varies over quadratic characters associated to irreducible polynomials $P$ of degree $2g+1$ over $\mathbb{F}_q[T]$ as $g\to\infty$. In the first part of the paper…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-29 Julio Andrade , Asmaa Shamesaldeen

There has been significant interest in studying the asymptotics of certain generalised moments, called the moments of moments, of characteristic polynomials of random Haar-distributed unitary and symplectic matrices, as the matrix size $N$…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-04-21 Theodoros Assiotis , Edward Eriksson , Wenqi Ni

We consider non-convex stochastic optimization using first-order algorithms for which the gradient estimates may have heavy tails. We show that a combination of gradient clipping, momentum, and normalized gradient descent yields convergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Ashok Cutkosky , Harsh Mehta

Recently, increasing empirical evidence indicates the extensive existence of heavy tails in the interevent time distributions of various human behaviors. Based on the queuing theory, the Barab\'asi model and its variations suggest the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-07-26 Xiao-Pu Han , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

The purpose of this paper is to show that the use of heavy-tailed distributions in Financial problems is theoretically baseless and can lead to significant misunderstandings. The reason for this the authors see in an incorrect…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Lev B Klebanov , Irina V Volchenkova

This article shows a strong averaging principle for diffusions driven by discontinuous heavy-tailed L\'evy noise, which are invariant on the compact horizontal leaves of a foliated manifold subject to small transversal random perturbations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Michael A. Högele , Paulo-Henrique da Costa

This paper is organized in three parts closely related to closure properties of heavy-tailed distributions and heavy-tailed random vectors. In the first part we consider two random variables X and Y with distributions F and G respectively.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède
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