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We consider a general multivariate model where univariate marginal distributions are known up to a parameter vector and we are interested in estimating that parameter vector without specifying the joint distribution, except for the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-01 Ivan Medovikov , Valentyn Panchenko , Artem Prokhorov

We seek to infer the parameters of an ergodic Markov process from samples taken independently from the steady state. Our focus is on non-equilibrium processes, where the steady state is not described by the Boltzmann measure, but is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-19 Simon Lee Dettmer , Johannes Berg

The present contribution derives an explicit expression for (a version of) every uni- and multi-variate conditional distribution (i.e., Markov kernel) of Archimedean copulas and uses this representation to generalize a recently established…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Thimo Maria Kasper

We propose a novel estimator of the autocorrelation function in presence of missing observations. We establish the consistency, the asymptotic normality, and we derive deviation bounds for various classes of weakly dependent stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-04-22 Natalia Bahamonde , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

Copula-based models provide a great deal of flexibility in modelling multivariate distributions, allowing for the specifications of models for the marginal distributions separately from the dependence structure (copula) that links them to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Nicolás Kuschinski , Alejandro Jara

Testing mutual independence for high-dimensional observations is a fundamental statistical challenge. Popular tests based on linear and simple rank correlations are known to be incapable of detecting non-linear, non-monotone relationships,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Mathias Drton , Fang Han , Hongjian Shi

Inspired by Jang et al. (2022), we propose a Granger causality-in-the-mean test for bivariate $k-$Markov stationary processes based on a recently introduced class of non-linear models, i.e., vine copula models. By means of a simulation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Roberto Fuentes-Martínez , Irene Crimaldi , Armando Rungi

We propose a dynamic model of dependence structure between financial institutions within a financial system and we construct measures for dependence and financial instability. Employing Markov structures of joint credit migrations, our…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-11 Yu-Sin Chang

Gaussian process emulators of computationally expensive computer codes provide fast statistical approximations to model physical processes. The training of these surrogates depends on the set of design points chosen to run the simulator.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-16 A. Garbuno-Inigo , F. A. DiazDelaO , K. M. Zuev

Empirical processes for stationary, causal sequences are considered. We establish empirical central limit theorems for classes of indicators of left half lines, absolutely continuous functions and piecewise differentiable functions. Sample…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Wei Biao Wu

We propose reinterpreting copula density estimation as a discriminative task. Under this novel estimation scheme, we train a classifier to distinguish samples from the joint density from those of the product of independent marginals,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 David Huk , Mark Steel , Ritabrata Dutta

We study some regularity properties in locally stationary Markov models which are fundamental for controlling the bias of nonparametric kernel estimators. In particular, we provide an alternative to the standard notion of derivative process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-07 Lionel Truquet

Deheuvels [J. Multivariate Anal. 11 (1981) 102--113] and Genest and R\'{e}millard [Test 13 (2004) 335--369] have shown that powerful rank tests of multivariate independence can be based on combinations of asymptotically independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Christian Genest , Jean-François Quessy , Bruno Rémillard

This article shows how coupled Markov chains that meet exactly after a random number of iterations can be used to generate unbiased estimators of the solutions of the Poisson equation. Through this connection, we re-derive known unbiased…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-10 Randal Douc , Pierre E. Jacob , Anthony Lee , Dootika Vats

This article extends the literature on copulas with discrete or continuous marginals to the case where some of the marginals are a mixture of discrete and continuous components. We do so by carefully defining the likelihood as the density…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-05 David Gunawan , Mohamad A. Khaled , Robert Kohn

The paper is largely of a review nature. It considers two main methods used to study stability and obtain appropriate quantitative estimates of perturbations of (inhomogeneous) Markov chains with continuous time and a finite or countable…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-17 Alexander Zeifman , Victor Korolev , Yacov Satin

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

We propose a semiparametric independent-component model for the intensity functions of a point process. When independent replications of the process are available, we show that the estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Daniel Gervini

With double-truncated lifespans, we test the hypothesis of a parametric distribution family for the lifespan. The typical finding from demography is an instationary behaviour of the life expectancy, and a copula models the resulting weak…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Anne-Marie Toparkus , Rafael Weissbach

Maximum pseudo-likelihood (MPL) is a semiparametric estimation method often used to obtain the dependence parameters in copula models from data. It has been shown that despite being consistent, and in some cases efficient, MPL estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Alexandra Dias