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Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li

Constrained machine learning enables fairness-aware training, physics-informed neural networks, and integration of symbolic domain knowledge into statistical models. Despite its practical importance, no general method exists for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Adam Bosák , Andrii Kliachkin , Jana Lepšová , Gilles Bareilles , Jakub Mareček

Being the most classical generative model for serial data, state-space models (SSM) are fundamental in AI and statistical machine learning. In SSM, any form of parameter learning or latent state inference typically involves the computation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-04 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

We consider stochastic approximations which arise from such applications as data communications and image processing. We demonstrate why constraints are needed in a stochastic approximation and how a constrained approximation can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Hong Jiang , Gang Huang , Paul Wilford , Liangkai Yu

Modern distribution matching algorithms for training diffusion or flow models directly prescribe the time evolution of the marginal distributions between two boundary distributions. In this work, we consider a generalized distribution…

In this paper, we consider the estimation of regression coefficients and signal-to-noise (SNR) ratio in high-dimensional Generalized Linear Models (GLMs), and explore their implications in inferring popular estimands such as average…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Xingyu Chen , Lin Liu , Rajarshi Mukherjee

Motivated by the problem of online canonical correlation analysis, we propose the \emph{Stochastic Scaled-Gradient Descent} (SSGD) algorithm for minimizing the expectation of a stochastic function over a generic Riemannian manifold. SSGD…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-25 Chris Junchi Li , Michael I. Jordan

Stochastic gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (SGHMC) is a variant of stochastic gradient with momentum where a controlled and properly scaled Gaussian noise is added to the stochastic gradients to steer the iterates towards a global minimum.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Xuefeng Gao , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu

We propose a new stochastic gradient method for optimizing the sum of a finite set of smooth functions, where the sum is strongly convex. While standard stochastic gradient methods converge at sublinear rates for this problem, the proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Nicolas Le Roux , Mark Schmidt , Francis Bach

A popular branch of stochastic network calculus (SNC) utilizes moment-generating functions (MGFs) to characterize arrivals and services, which enables end-to-end performance analysis. However, existing traffic models for SNC cannot…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Qingqing Yang , Xi Peng , Huiwen Yang , Gong Zhang , Bo Bai

We present two sampled quasi-Newton methods (sampled LBFGS and sampled LSR1) for solving empirical risk minimization problems that arise in machine learning. Contrary to the classical variants of these methods that sequentially build…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-29 Albert S. Berahas , Majid Jahani , Peter Richtárik , Martin Takáč

We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

The maximum likelihood estimation is computationally demanding for large datasets, particularly when the likelihood function includes integrals. Subsampling can reduce the computational burden, but it often results in efficiency loss.This…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Miaomiao Su , Qihua Wang , Ruoyu Wang

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) is a popular method for solving large-scale Machine Learning problems. Stochastic ADMM was proposed to reduce the per iteration computational complexity, which is more suitable for big data…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2023-04-25 Chao Zhang , Zebang Shen , Hui Qian , Tengfei Zhou , Jianya Zhou , Jianying Zhou

The Stochastic Weighted Particle Method (SWPM) is a Monte Carlo technique developed by Rjasanow and Wagner that generalizes Bird's Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method for solving the Boltzmann equation. To reduce computational cost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Sonam Lama , John Zweck , Matthew Goeckner

Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) can be accurately approximated using co-occurrence frequencies of pairs and triples of observations by using a fast spectral method in contrast to the usual slow methods like EM or Gibbs sampling. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-29 Dean P. Foster , Jordan Rodu , Lyle H. Ungar

We present a quantum algorithm for efficiently sampling transformed Gaussian random fields on $d$-dimensional domains, based on an enhanced version of the classical moving average method. Pointwise transformations enforcing boundedness are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-08-20 Matthias Deiml , Daniel Peterseim

We develop a class of algorithms, as variants of the stochastically controlled stochastic gradient (SCSG) methods (Lei and Jordan, 2016), for the smooth non-convex finite-sum optimization problem. Assuming the smoothness of each component,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-17 Lihua Lei , Cheng Ju , Jianbo Chen , Michael I. Jordan

Online (also called "recursive" or "adaptive") estimation of fixed model parameters in hidden Markov models is a topic of much interest in times series modelling. In this work, we propose an online parameter estimation algorithm that…

Computation · Statistics 2011-02-16 Olivier Cappé