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Optimizing complex manufacturing processes often involves a trade-off between data accuracy and acquisition cost. High-fidelity data are accurate but limited, while low-fidelity data are abundant but often biased. Balancing these two…

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

In this work, a novel approach to Bayesian model calibration routines is developed which reinterprets the traditional definition of model discrepancy as defined by Kennedy and O'Hagan (KOH). The novelty lies in the integration of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Liam Myhill , Enrique Martinez Saez , Sez Russcher

This paper develops a Bayesian network-based method for the calibration of multi-physics models, integrating various sources of uncertainty with information from computational models and experimental data. We adopt the Kennedy and O'Hagan…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-06-25 You Ling , Joshua Mullins , Sankaran Mahadevan

The Kennedy and O'Hagan (KOH) calibration framework uses coupled Gaussian processes (GPs) to meta-model an expensive simulator (first GP), tune its ``knobs" (calibration inputs) to best match observations from a real physical/field…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Scott Koermer , Justin Loda , Aaron Noble , Robert B. Gramacy

Marginalization of latent variables or nuisance parameters is a fundamental aspect of Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification. In this work, we focus on scalable marginalization of latent variables in modeling correlated data,…

Computation · Statistics 2025-02-13 Mengyang Gu , Xubo Liu , Xinyi Fang , Sui Tang

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

Kernel ridge regression is an important nonparametric method for estimating smooth functions. We introduce a new set of conditions, under which the actual rates of convergence of the kernel ridge regression estimator under both the L_2 norm…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Rui Tuo , Yan Wang , C. F. Jeff Wu

We use available measurements to estimate the unknown parameters (variance, smoothness parameter, and covariance length) of a covariance function by maximizing the joint Gaussian log-likelihood function. To overcome cubic complexity in the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-13 Alexander Litvinenko , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David Keyes

Gaussian processes (GPs) are important models in supervised machine learning. Training in Gaussian processes refers to selecting the covariance functions and the associated parameters in order to improve the outcome of predictions, the core…

Identification of model parameters in computer simulations is an important topic in computer experiments. We propose a new method, called the projected kernel calibration method, to estimate these model parameters. The proposed method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Rui Tuo

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

We provide an efficient method for computing the maximum likelihood mixed quantum state (with density matrix $\rho$) given a set of measurement outcome in a complete orthonormal operator basis subject to Gaussian noise. Our method works by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-04-29 John A. Smolin , Jay M. Gambetta , Graeme Smith

Calibration parameters in deterministic computer experiments are those attributes that cannot be measured or available in physical experiments. Kennedy and O'Hagan \cite{kennedy2001bayesian} suggested an approach to estimate them by using…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-31 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Many computer models contain unknown parameters which need to be estimated using physical observations. Kennedy and O'Hagan (2001) shows that the calibration method based on Gaussian process models proposed by Kennedy and O'Hagan (2001) may…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-28 Rui Tuo , C. F. Jeff Wu

We introduce Lindblad-like quantum tomography (L$\ell$QT) as a quantum characterization technique of time-correlated noise in quantum information processors. This approach enables the estimation of time-local master equations, including…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-17 Santiago Varona , Markus Müller , Alejandro Bermudez

Calibrating stochastic radio channel models to new measurement data is challenging when the likelihood function is intractable. The standard approach to this problem involves sophisticated algorithms for extraction and clustering of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-07 Ayush Bharti , Francois-Xavier Briol , Troels Pedersen

Computing the marginal likelihood or evidence is one of the core challenges in Bayesian analysis. While there are many established methods for estimating this quantity, they predominantly rely on using a large number of posterior samples…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-26 Eric Chuu , Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya

Selecting hyperparameters in deep learning greatly impacts its effectiveness but requires manual effort and expertise. Recent works show that Bayesian model selection with Laplace approximations can allow to optimize such hyperparameters…

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