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An open question in systems and computational neuroscience is how neural circuits accumulate evidence towards a decision. Fitting models of decision-making theory to neural activity helps answer this question, but current approaches limit…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-15 David M. Zoltowski , Jonathan W. Pillow , Scott W. Linderman

Sampling complex free energy surfaces is one of the main challenges of modern atomistic simulation methods. The presence of kinetic bottlenecks in such surfaces often renders a direct approach useless. A popular strategy is to identify a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-25 Luigi Bonati , Yue-Yu Zhang , Michele Parrinello

This paper presents the recurrent estimation of distributions (RED) for modeling real-valued data in a semiparametric fashion. RED models make two novel uses of recurrent neural networks (RNNs) for density estimation of general real-valued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-31 Junier B. Oliva , Kumar Avinava Dubey , Barnabas Poczos , Eric Xing , Jeff Schneider

A perturbative method is developed for calculating the effects of recurrent synaptic interactions between neurons embedded in a network. A series expansion is constructed that converges for networks with noisy membrane potential and weak…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-10 Patrick D. Roberts

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Miguel Monteiro , Loïc Le Folgoc , Daniel Coelho de Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Bernardo Marques , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mark van der Wilk , Ben Glocker

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems are ubiquitous in modern, real-world applications. Yet, estimating the unknown parameters of stochastic, nonlinear dynamical models remains a challenging problem. The majority of existing methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Anubhab Ghosh , Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Saikat Chatterjee , Håkan Hjalmarsson

We propose a method for efficiently incorporating constraints into a stochastic gradient Langevin framework for the training of deep neural networks. Constraints allow direct control of the parameter space of the model. Appropriately…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Benedict Leimkuhler , Timothée Pouchon , Tiffany Vlaar , Amos Storkey

We propose Symplectic Recurrent Neural Networks (SRNNs) as learning algorithms that capture the dynamics of physical systems from observed trajectories. An SRNN models the Hamiltonian function of the system by a neural network and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Zhengdao Chen , Jianyu Zhang , Martin Arjovsky , Léon Bottou

An iterated multistep forecasting scheme based on recurrent neural networks (RNN) is proposed for the time series generated by causal chains with infinite memory. This forecasting strategy contains, as a particular case, the iterative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , James Louw , Juan-Pablo Ortega

We propose probabilistic models that can extrapolate learning curves of iterative machine learning algorithms, such as stochastic gradient descent for training deep networks, based on training data with variable-length learning curves. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-11 Matilde Gargiani , Aaron Klein , Stefan Falkner , Frank Hutter

Neural generative models can be used to learn complex probability distributions from data, to sample from them, and to produce probability density estimates. We propose a computational framework for developing neural generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-06 Alexander Ororbia , Daniel Kifer

The sampling of probability distributions specified up to a normalization constant is an important problem in both machine learning and statistical mechanics. While classical stochastic sampling methods such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Hao Wu , Jonas Köhler , Frank Noé

Neural networks are powerful tools for cognitive modeling due to their flexibility and emergent properties. However, interpreting their learned representations remains challenging due to their sub-symbolic semantics. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Andrew Nam , Declan Campbell , Thomas Griffiths , Jonathan Cohen , Sarah-Jane Leslie

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James B. Aimone , William Severa , J. Darby Smith

Modeling the distribution of natural images is challenging, partly because of strong statistical dependencies which can extend over hundreds of pixels. Recurrent neural networks have been successful in capturing long-range dependencies in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-21 Lucas Theis , Matthias Bethge

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models employed in numerous application domains. However, inferring the network's graphical structure from data remains challenging. Bayesian structure learners…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 William Zhao , Guy Van den Broeck , Benjie Wang

Recent studies have suggested that the cognitive process of the human brain is realized as probabilistic inference and can be further modeled by probabilistic graphical models like Markov random fields. Nevertheless, it remains unclear how…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-13 Yajing Zheng , Shanshan Jia , Zhaofei Yu , Tiejun Huang , Jian K. Liu , Yonghong Tian

Reservoir Computing is a machine learning approach that uses the rich repertoire of complex system dynamics for function approximation. Current approaches to reservoir computing use a network of coupled integrating neurons that require a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Alexander Yeung , Peter DelMastro , Arjun Karuvally , Hava Siegelmann , Edward Rietman , Hananel Hazan

Despite the recent popularity of deep generative state space models, few comparisons have been made between network architectures and the inference steps of the Bayesian filtering framework -- with most models simultaneously approximating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-29 Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts