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Statistical agencies are often asked to produce small area estimates (SAEs) for positively skewed variables. When domain sample sizes are too small to support direct estimators, effects of skewness of the response variable can be large. As…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Sepideh Mosaferi , Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

In real applications of small area estimation, one often encounters data with positive response values. The use of a parametric transformation for positive response values in the Fay-Herriot model is proposed for such a case. An…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-31 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider a small area estimation model under square-root transformation in the presence of functional measurement error. When measurement error is present, the Bayes predictor can no longer be used as it depends on the covariates even if…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Ka Long Keith Ho , Masayo Y. Hirose , Malay Ghosh

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

Small area estimation has received enormous attention in recent years due to its wide range of application, particularly in policy making decisions. The variance based on direct sample size of small area estimator is unduly large and there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti

In this paper we derive a second-order unbiased (or nearly unbiased) mean squared prediction error (MSPE) estimator of the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) of a small area mean for a semi-parametric extension to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Shijie Chen , P. Lahiri , J. N. K. Rao

This paper is concerned with the small area estimation in the multivariate Fay-Herriot model where covariance matrix of random effects are fully unknown. The covariance matrix is estimated by a Prasad-Rao type consistent estimator, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider benchmarked empirical Bayes (EB) estimators under the basic area-level model of Fay and Herriot while requiring the standard benchmarking constraint. In this paper we determine the excess mean squared error (MSE) from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-08 Rebecca C. Steorts , Malay Ghosh

The paper concerns small-area estimation in the Fay-Herriot type area-level model with random dispersions, which models the case that the sampling errors change from area to area. The resulting Bayes estimator shrinks both means and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-07-30 Hiromasa Tamae , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In this article, we propose new Bayesian methods for selecting and estimating a sparse coefficient vector for skewed heteroscedastic response. Our novel Bayesian procedures effectively estimate the median and other quantile functions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-04 Libo Wang , Yuanyuan Tang , Debajyoti Sinha , Debdeep Pati , Stuart Lipsitz

We consider the problem of sequentially learning to estimate, in the mean squared error (MSE) sense, a Gaussian $K$-vector of unknown covariance by observing only $m < K$ of its entries in each round. We propose two MSE estimators, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Ayon Ghosh , L. A. Prashanth , Dipayan Sen , Aditya Gopalan

Best linear unbiased prediction is well known for its wide range of applications including small area estimation. While the theory is well established for mixed linear models and under normality of the error and mixing distributions, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Tapabrata Maiti , Myron Katzoff , Van Parsons

Small area estimation models are typically based on the normality assumption of response variables. More recently, attention has been drawn to the transformation of the original variables to justify the assumption of normality. Variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Masayo Y. Hirose , Malay Ghosh , Mayumi Oka

The Fay-Herriot model is a standard model for direct survey estimators in which the true quantity of interest, the superpopulation mean, is latent and its estimation is improved through the use of auxiliary covariates. In the context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-29 Aaron T. Porter , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

A two-stage normal hierarchical model called the Fay--Herriot model and the empirical Bayes estimator are widely used to provide indirect and model-based estimates of means in small areas. However, the performance of the empirical Bayes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Shonosuke Sugasawa

Auxiliary information is increasingly available from administrative and other data sources, but it is often incomplete and of non-probability origin. We propose a two-step small area estimation approach in which the first step relies on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Donatas Šlevinskas , Ieva Burakauskaitė , Andrius Čiginas

In small area estimation, it is a smart strategy to rely on data measured over time. However, linear mixed models struggle to properly capture time dependencies when the number of lags is large. Given the lack of published studies…

Linear regression with measurement error in the covariates is a heavily studied topic, however, the statistics/econometrics literature is almost silent to estimating a multi-equation model with measurement error. This paper considers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Georges Bresson , Anoop Chaturvedi , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Shalabh

We propose small area estimators of general indicators in off-census years, which avoid the use of deprecated census microdata, but are nearly optimal in census years. The procedure is based on replacing the obsolete census file with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 William Acero , Isabel Molina , J. Miguel Marín
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