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Technology of formal quantitative estimation of the conformity of the mathematical models to the available dataset is presented. Main purpose of the technology is to make easier the model selection decision-making process for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Alexander Sokolov , Vladimir Voloshinov

The rigorous safety verification of control systems in critical applications is essential, given their increasing complexity and integration into everyday life. Simulation-based falsification approaches play a pivotal role in the safety…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-13 Joshua Yancosek , Ali Baheri

Bayesian Experimental Design (BED), which aims to find the optimal experimental conditions for Bayesian inference, is usually posed as to optimize the expected information gain (EIG). The gradient information is often needed for efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Ziqiao Ao , Jinglai Li

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

Automatic underwater vehicle hull Design optimization is a complex engineering process for generating a UUV hull with optimized properties on a given requirement. First, it involves the integration of involved computationally complex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Harsh Vardhan , Peter Volgyesi , Will Hedgecock , Janos Sztipanovits

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Reliable uncertainty quantification remains a central challenge in predictive modeling. While Bayesian methods are theoretically appealing, their predictive intervals can exhibit poor frequentist calibration, particularly with small sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Graham Gibson

This study addresses the challenge of fleet design optimization in the context of heterogeneous multi-robot fleets, aiming to obtain feasible designs that balance performance and costs. In the domain of autonomous multi-robot exploration,…

Bayesian optimal experimental design has immense potential to inform the collection of data so as to subsequently enhance our understanding of a variety of processes. However, a major impediment is the difficulty in evaluating optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 David J. Price , Nigel G. Bean , Joshua V. Ross , Jonathan Tuke

Bayesian inference is a widely used technique for real-time characterization of quantum systems. It excels in experimental characterization in the low data regime, and when the measurements have degrees of freedom. A decisive factor for its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-10 Alexandra Ramôa , Raffaele Santagati , Nathan Wiebe

Bayesian experimental design (BED) is a tool for guiding experiments founded on the principle of expected information gain. I.e., which experiment design will inform the most about the model can be predicted before experiments in a…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-09-10 Eric A. Walker , Kishore Ravisankar

Bayesian optimization is a class of data efficient model based algorithms typically focused on global optimization. We consider the more general case where a user is faced with multiple problems that each need to be optimized conditional on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Michael Pearce , Janis Klaise , Matthew Groves

The real-world testing of decisions made using causal machine learning models is an essential prerequisite for their successful application. We focus on evaluating and improving contextual treatment assignment decisions: these are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

Finite element model updating is challenging because 1) the problem is oftentimes underdetermined while the measurements are limited and/or incomplete; 2) many combinations of parameters may yield responses that are similar with respect to…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Kai Zhou , Jiong Tang

It is well known that the integration among different data-sources is reliable because of its potential of unveiling new functionalities of the genomic expressions which might be dormant in a single source analysis. Moreover, different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-08 Arnab Kumar Maity , Sang Chan Lee , Bani K. Mallick , Tapasree Roy Sarkar

We consider the Bayesian calibration of models describing the phenomenon of block copolymer (BCP) self-assembly using image data produced by microscopy or X-ray scattering techniques. To account for the random long-range disorder in BCP…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-06-24 Ricardo Baptista , Lianghao Cao , Joshua Chen , Omar Ghattas , Fengyi Li , Youssef M. Marzouk , J. Tinsley Oden

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability. To ensure accurate prediction, the model needs to be calibrated and validated against real data. Conventional methods approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Yuanlu Bai , Tucker Balch , Haoxian Chen , Danial Dervovic , Henry Lam , Svitlana Vyetrenko

The increasing availability of full-field displacement data from imaging techniques in experimental mechanics is determining a gradual shift in the paradigm of material model calibration and discovery, from using several simple-geometry…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Saeid Ghouli , Moritz Flaschel , Siddhant Kumar , Laura De Lorenzis

Model predictive control (MPC) has been successful in applications involving the control of complex physical systems. This class of controllers leverages the information provided by an approximate model of the system's dynamics to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Rel Guzman , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

Selective classification is a powerful tool for automated decision-making in high-risk scenarios, allowing classifiers to act only when confident and abstain when uncertainty is high. Given a target accuracy, our goal is to minimize…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Mohamed Ndaoud , Peter Radchenko , Bradley Rava
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