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Expertise of annotators has a major role in crowdsourcing based opinion aggregation models. In such frameworks, accuracy and biasness of annotators are occasionally taken as important features and based on them priority of the annotators…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-09-01 Sujoy Chatterjee , Anirban Mukhopadhyay , Malay Bhattacharyya

Human groups can perform extraordinary accurate estimations compared to individuals by simply using the mean, median or geometric mean of the individual estimations [Galton 1907, Surowiecki 2005, Page 2008]. However, this is true only for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Gonzalo De Polavieja , Gabriel Madirolas

Randomness in scientific estimation is generally assumed to arise from unmeasured or uncontrolled factors. However, when combining subjective probability estimates, heterogeneity stemming from people's cognitive or information diversity is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-14 Ville A. Satopää , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Most fake news detection methods learn latent feature representations based on neural networks, which makes them black boxes to classify a piece of news without giving any justification. Existing explainable systems generate veracity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Bo Wang , Jing Ma , Hongzhan Lin , Zhiwei Yang , Ruichao Yang , Yuan Tian , Yi Chang

In open-ended natural-language generation, existing text decoding methods typically struggle to produce text which is both diverse and high-quality. Greedy and beam search are known to suffer from text degeneration and linguistic diversity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Mirac Suzgun , Luke Melas-Kyriazi , Dan Jurafsky

The consensus model of Krause and Hegselmann can be naturally extended to the case in which opinions are integer instead of real numbers. Our algorithm is much faster than the original version and thus more suitable for applications. For…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Santo Fortunato

The extensive expansion growth of social networking sites allows the people to share their views and experiences freely with their peers on internet. Due to this, huge amount of data is generated on everyday basis which can be used for the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Amritpal Kaur , Harkiran Kaur

The ranking problem is to order a collection of units by some unobserved parameter, based on observations from the associated distribution. This problem arises naturally in a number of contexts, such as business, where we may want to rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Toby Kenney

Consider public health officials aiming to spread awareness about a new vaccine in a community interconnected by a social network. How can they distribute information with minimal resources, so as to avoid polarization and ensure…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Haolin Liu , Rajmohan Rajaraman , Ravi Sundaram , Anil Vullikanti , Omer Wasim , Haifeng Xu

A project (e.g., writing a collaborative research paper) is often a group effort. At the end, each contributor identifies their contribution, often verbally. The reward, however, is very frequently financial. It leads to the question of…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Konrad Kułakowski , Jacek Szybowski

The survey is concerned with the issue of information transmission from experts to non-experts. Two main approaches to the use of experts can be traced. According to the game-theoretic approach expertise is a case of asymmetric information…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-21 Irene Valsecchi

We are designing an automated technique to find and recommend experts for helping in Requirements Engineering tasks, which can be done by ranking the available people by level of expertise. For evaluating the correctness of the rankings…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2016-03-15 Matthieu Vergne

The Condorcet Jury Theorem or the Miracle of Aggregation are frequently invoked to ensure the competence of some aggregate decision-making processes. In this article we explore an estimation of the prior probability of the thesis predicted…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-22 Álvaro Romaniega

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

Crowd predictions have demonstrated powerful performance in predicting future events. We aim to understand crowd prediction efficacy in ascertaining the veracity of human emotional expressions. We discover that collective discernment can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Zhenyue Qin , Tom Gedeon , Sabrina Caldwell

We explore the notion of uncertainty in the context of modern abstractive summarization models, using the tools of Bayesian Deep Learning. Our approach approximates Bayesian inference by first extending state-of-the-art summarization models…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Alexios Gidiotis , Grigorios Tsoumakas

We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally --…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Dan Braha , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar

Current methods for sequence tagging, a core task in NLP, are data hungry, which motivates the use of crowdsourcing as a cheap way to obtain labelled data. However, annotators are often unreliable and current aggregation methods cannot…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-09 Edwin Simpson , Iryna Gurevych

A long-standing debate is whether social influence improves the collective wisdom of a crowd or undermines it. This paper addresses this question based on a naive learning setting in influence systems theory: in our models individuals…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Ye Tian , Long Wang , Francesco Bullo

Human feedback is increasingly used across diverse applications like training AI models, developing recommender systems, and measuring public opinion -- with granular feedback often being preferred over binary feedback for its greater…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Anmol Kagrecha , Henrik Marklund , Potsawee Manakul , Richard Zeckhauser , Benjamin Van Roy