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Accurate real-time tracking of influenza outbreaks helps public health officials make timely and meaningful decisions that could save lives. We propose an influenza tracking model, ARGO (AutoRegression with GOogle search data), that uses…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-17 Shihao Yang , Mauricio Santillana , S. C. Kou

For epidemics control and prevention, timely insights of potential hot spots are invaluable. Alternative to traditional epidemic surveillance, which often lags behind real time by weeks, big data from the Internet provide important…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-25 Shihao Yang , Shaoyang Ning , S. C. Kou

While digital trace data from sources like search engines hold enormous potential for tracking and understanding human behavior, these streams of data lack information about the actual experiences of those individuals generating the data.…

Influenza epidemics result in a public health and economic burden around the globe. Traditional surveillance techniques, which rely on doctor visits, provide data with a delay of 1-2 weeks. A means of obtaining real-time data and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-11 Wendy K. Caldwell , Geoffrey Fairchild , Sara Y. Del Valle

We present a machine learning-based methodology capable of providing real-time ("nowcast") and forecast estimates of influenza activity in the US by leveraging data from multiple data sources including: Google searches, Twitter microblogs,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-17 Mauricio Santillana , Andre T. Nguyen , Mark Dredze , Michael J. Paul , John S. Brownstein

Influenza, an infectious disease, causes many deaths worldwide. Predicting influenza victims during epidemics is an important task for clinical, hospital, and community outbreak preparation. On-line user-generated contents (UGC), primarily…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Taichi Murayama , Nobuyuki Shimizu , Sumio Fujita , Shoko Wakamiya , Eiji Aramaki

Seasonal influenza is a sometimes surprisingly impactful disease, causing thousands of deaths per year along with much additional morbidity. Timely knowledge of the outbreak state is valuable for managing an effective response. The current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-01 Reid Priedhorsky , Ashlynn R. Daughton , Martha Barnard , Fiona O'Connell , Dave Osthus

Influenza-like illness (ILI) estimation from web search data is an important web analytics task. The basic idea is to use the frequencies of queries in web search logs that are correlated with past ILI activity as features when estimating…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Niels Dalum Hansen , Kåre Mølbak , Ingemar J. Cox , Christina Lioma

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Early prediction of the prevalence of influenza reduces its impact. Various studies have been conducted to predict the number of influenza-infected people. However, these studies are not highly accurate especially in the distant future such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Kenjiro Kondo , Akihiko Ishikawa , Masashi Kimura

We provide a brief technical description of an online platform for disease monitoring, titled as the Flu Detector (fludetector.cs.ucl.ac.uk). Flu Detector, in its current version (v.0.5), uses either Twitter or Google search data in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-12-19 Vasileios Lampos

Systems that exploit publicly available user generated content such as Twitter messages have been successful in tracking seasonal influenza. We developed a novel filtering method for Influenza-Like-Illnesses (ILI)-related messages using 587…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Son Doan , Lucila Ohno-Machado , Nigel Collier

Accurate real-time monitoring systems of influenza outbreaks help public health officials make informed decisions that may help save lives. We show that information extracted from cloud-based electronic health records databases, in…

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

Numerous studies have attempted to model the effect of mass media on the transmission of diseases such as influenza, however quantitative data on media engagement has until recently been difficult to obtain. With the recent explosion of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Lewis Mitchell , Joshua V. Ross

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

Dengue is a mosquito-borne disease that threatens more than half of the world's population. Despite being endemic to over 100 countries, government-led efforts and mechanisms to timely identify and track the emergence of new infections are…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-09 Shihao Yang , S. C. Kou , Fred Lu , John S. Brownstein , Nicholas Brooke , Mauricio Santillana

The search engine based on influenza monitoring system has been widely applied in many European and American countries. However, there are not any correlative researches reported for African developing countries. Especially, the countries…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Shengli Li , Xichuan Zhou

Infectious diseases are one of the leading causes of morbidity and mortality around the world; thus, forecasting their impact is crucial for planning an effective response strategy. According to the Centers for Disease Control and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-18 Kyle S. Hickmann , Geoffrey Fairchild , Reid Priedhorsky , Nicholas Generous , James M. Hyman , Alina Deshpande , Sara Y. Del Valle
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