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Related papers: Estimating fire Duration using regression methods

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We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Forecasting future weather and climate is inherently difficult. Machine learning offers new approaches to increase the accuracy and computational efficiency of forecasts, but current methods are unable to accurately model uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Yusuke Hatanaka , Yannik Glaser , Geoff Galgon , Giuseppe Torri , Peter Sadowski

Predictions of thunderstorm-related hazards are needed in several sectors, including first responders, infrastructure management and aviation. To address this need, we present a deep learning model that can be adapted to different hazard…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Ioannis V. Sideris , Urs Germann

Accurate next-day active fire forecasts can support early warning, disaster response, forest risk assessment, and downstream estimation of fire-related carbon emissions. Existing machine learning approaches to wildfire forecasting typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yuchen Bai , Georgios Athanasiou , Xin Yu , Diogenis Antonopoulos , Ioannis Papoutsis , Stijn Hantson , Nuno Carvalhais

Machine learning (ML)-based wildfire detection methods have been developed in recent years, primarily using deep learning (DL) models trained on large collections of wildfire images and videos. However, peatland fires exhibit distinct…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Emadeldeen Hamdan , Ahmad Faiz Tharima , Mohd Zahirasri Mohd Tohir , Dayang Nur Sakinah Musa , Erdem Koyuncu , Adam J. Watts , Ahmet Enis Cetin

In this article, we propose a systematic approach for fire station location planning. We develop machine learning models, based on Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting, for demand prediction and utilize the models further to define a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Arnab Dey , Andrew Heger , Darin England

Early detection of wildfires is essential to prevent large-scale fires resulting in extensive environmental, structural, and societal damage. Uncrewed aerial vehicles (UAVs) can cover large remote areas effectively with quick deployment…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julius Pesonen , Teemu Hakala , Väinö Karjalainen , Niko Koivumäki , Lauri Markelin , Anna-Maria Raita-Hakola , Juha Suomalainen , Ilkka Pölönen , Eija Honkavaara

This paper addresses the problem of predicting duration of unplanned power outages, using historical outage records to train a series of neural network predictors. The initial duration prediction is made based on environmental factors, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Aaron Jaech , Baosen Zhang , Mari Ostendorf , Daniel S. Kirschen

Survival random forest is a popular machine learning tool for modeling censored survival data. However, there is currently no statistically valid and computationally feasible approach for estimating its confidence band. This paper proposes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-27 Sarah Elizabeth Formentini , Wei Liang , Ruoqing Zhu

Over the past decades, the increase in both frequency and intensity of large-scale wildfires due to climate change has emerged as a significant natural threat. The pressing need to design resilient landscapes capable of withstanding such…

Wildland fires pose a terrifying natural hazard, underscoring the urgent need to develop data-driven and physics-informed digital twins for wildfire prevention, monitoring, intervention, and response. In this direction of research, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Konstantinos Vogiatzoglou , Costas Papadimitriou , Vasilis Bontozoglou , Konstantinos Ampountolas

When major disaster occurs the questions are raised how to estimate the damage in time to support the decision making process and relief efforts by local authorities or humanitarian teams. In this paper we consider the use of Machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alexey Trekin , German Novikov , Georgy Potapov , Vladimir Ignatiev , Evgeny Burnaev

Early detection of forest fires is crucial to minimizing the environmental and socioeconomic damage they cause. Indeed, a fire's duration directly correlates with the difficulty and cost of extinguishing it. For instance, a fire burning for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Kenneth Bonilla-Ormachea , Horacio Cuizaga , Edwin Salcedo , Sebastian Castro , Sergio Fernandez-Testa , Misael Mamani

Automated forecasts serve important role in space weather science, by providing statistical insights to flare-trigger mechanisms, and by enabling tailor-made forecasts and high-frequency forecasts. Only by realtime forecast we can…

The use of machine learning algorithms to predict behaviors of complex systems is booming. However, the key to an effective use of machine learning tools in multi-physics problems, including combustion, is to couple them to physical and…

The increasing penetration level of energy generation from renewable sources is demanding for more accurate and reliable forecasting tools to support classic power grid operations (e.g., unit commitment, electricity market clearing or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Michela Moschella , Mauro Tucci , Emanuele Crisostomi , Alessandro Betti

Based on complex network theory, we propose a computational methodology that addresses the spatial distribution of fuel breaks for the inhibition of the spread and size of wildland fires on heterogeneous landscapes. This is a two-tire…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2017-02-08 Lucia Russo , Paola Russo , Constantinos I. Siettos

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

Forest loss due to natural events, such as wildfires, represents an increasing global challenge that demands advanced analytical methods for effective detection and mitigation. To this end, the integration of satellite imagery with deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Valeria Martin , K. Brent Venable , Derek Morgan

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf