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Spurious correlations that lead models to correct predictions for the wrong reasons pose a critical challenge for robust real-world generalization. Existing research attributes this issue to group imbalance and addresses it by maximizing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Miaoyun Zhao , Chenrong Li , Qiang Zhang

The purpose of these notes is to provide a systematic quantitative framework - in what is intended to be a "pedagogical" fashion - for discussing mean-reversion and optimization. We start with pair trading and add complexity by following…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-15 Zura Kakushadze

We propose a pairs trading model that incorporates a time-varying volatility of the Constant Elasticity of Variance type. Our approach is based on stochastic control techniques; given a fixed time horizon and a portfolio of two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-05 T. N. Li , A. Tourin

We consider a market consisting of one safe and one risky asset, which offer constant investment opportunities. Taking into account both proportional transaction costs and linear price impact, we derive optimal rebalancing policies for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-05 Ren Liu , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marko H. Weber

In this paper, we consider the portfolio optimization problem in a financial market where the underlying stochastic volatility model is driven by n-dimensional Brownian motions. At first, we derive a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-20 Minglian Lin , Indranil SenGupta

We study the problem of dynamically trading multiple futures contracts with different underlying assets. To capture the joint dynamics of stochastic bases for all traded futures, we propose a new model involving a multi-dimensional scaled…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-14 Bahman Angoshtari , Tim Leung

Index tracking, also known as passive investing, has gained significant traction in financial markets due to its cost-effective and efficient approach to replicating the performance of a specific market index. This review paper provides a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Vrinda Dhingra , Amita Sharma , Anubha Goel

The analysis of high-frequency financial data is often impeded by the presence of noise. This article is motivated by intraday return data in which market microstructure noise appears to be rough, that is, best captured by a continuous-time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Carsten H. Chong , Thomas Delerue , Guoying Li

Financial stock returns correlations have been studied in the prism of random matrix theory, to distinguish the signal from the "noise". Eigenvalues of the matrix that are above the rescaled Marchenko Pastur distribution can be interpreted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Ixandra Achitouv

Large-scale prediction models using tools from artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning (ML) are increasingly common across a variety of industries and scientific domains. Despite their effectiveness, training AI and ML tools at…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-09 Kentaro Hoffman , Stephen Salerno , Jeff Leek , Tyler McCormick

In this paper an arbitrage strategy is constructed for the modified Black-Scholes model driven by fractional Brownian motion or by a time changed fractional Brownian motion, when the volatility is stochastic. This latter property allows the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

We investigate the search of a target with a given spatial distribution in a finite one-dimensional domain. The searcher follows Brownian dynamics and is always reset to its initial position when reaching the boundaries of the domain…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-06 Gregorio García-Valladares , Antonio Prados , Alessandro Manacorda , Carlos A. Plata

This paper considers the mean-reverting portfolio design problem arising from statistical arbitrage in the financial markets. We first propose a general problem formulation aimed at finding a portfolio of underlying component assets by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-05-09 Ziping Zhao , Daniel P. Palomar

Following a series of works on capital growth investment, we analyse log-optimal portfolios where the return evaluation includes `weights' of different outcomes. The results are twofold: (A) under certain conditions, the logarithmic growth…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Mark Kelbert , Izabella Stuhl , Yuri Suhov

Finding the best strategy to minimize the time needed to find a given target is a crucial task both in nature and in reaching decisive technological advances. By considering learning agents able to switch their dynamics between standard and…

In this paper, we revisit the portfolio allocation problem with designated risk-budget [Qian, 2005]. We generalize the problem of arbitrary risk budgets with unequal correlations to one that includes return forecasts and transaction costs…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Avinash Bhardwaj , Manjesh K Hanawal , Purushottam Parthasarathy

The paper [12] examines a concept of equilibrium policies instead of optimal controls in stochastic optimization to analyze a mean-variance portfolio selection problem. We follow the same approach in order to investigate the Merton…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-23 I. Alia , F. Chighoub , N. Khelfallah , J. Vives

Updating machine learning models with new information usually improves their predictive performance, yet, in many applications, it is also desirable to avoid changing the model predictions too much. This property is called stability. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Morten Blørstad , Berent Å. S. Lunde , Nello Blaser

This paper focuses on a dynamic multi-asset mean-variance portfolio selection problem under model uncertainty. We develop a continuous time framework for taking into account ambiguity aversion about both expected return rates and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-02 Huyen Pham , Xiaoli Wei , Chao Zhou

This paper studies a discrete-time mean-variance model based on reinforcement learning. Compared with its continuous-time counterpart in \cite{zhou2020mv}, the discrete-time model makes more general assumptions about the asset's return…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Yun Shi , Si Zhao
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