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A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

Predicting metrics associated with entities' transnational behavior within payment processing networks is essential for system monitoring. Multivariate time series, aggregated from the past transaction history, can provide valuable insights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Chin-Chia Michael Yeh , Zhongfang Zhuang , Junpeng Wang , Yan Zheng , Javid Ebrahimi , Ryan Mercer , Liang Wang , Wei Zhang

The mining of bitcoin is modeled using system dynamics, showing that the past evolution of the network hash rate can be explained to a large extent by an efficient market hypothesis applied to the mining of blocks. The possibility of a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Davide Lasi , Lukas Saul

We study discrete-time predictable forward processes when trading times do not coincide with performance evaluation times in a binomial tree model for the financial market. The key step in the construction of these processes is to solve a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Gechun Liang , Moris S. Strub , Yuwei Wang

The cryptocurrency market is amongst the fastest-growing of all the financial markets in the world. Unlike traditional markets, such as equities, foreign exchange and commodities, cryptocurrency market is considered to have larger…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Fan Fang , Waichung Chung , Carmine Ventre , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , Fan Wu

We review some methods recently used in the literature to detect the existence of a certain degree of common behavior of stock returns belonging to the same economic sector. Specifically, we discuss methods based on random matrix theory and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-25 C. Coronnello , M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , S. Micciche` , R. N. Mantegna

Technical trading rules and linear regressive models are often used by practitioners to find trends in financial data. However, these models are unsuited to find non-linearly separable patterns. We propose a decision tree forecasting model…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-17 Lucas Fievet , Didier Sornette

We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-25 Steven Y. K. Wong , Jennifer Chan , Lamiae Azizi , Richard Y. D. Xu

User embeddings (vectorized representations of a user) are essential in recommendation systems. Numerous approaches have been proposed to construct a representation for the user in order to find similar items for retrieval tasks, and they…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Hui Shi , Yupeng Gu , Yitong Zhou , Bo Zhao , Sicun Gao , Jishen Zhao

Bitcoin and its decentralized computing paradigm for digital currency trading are one of the most disruptive technology in the 21st century. This paper presents a novel approach to developing a Bitcoin transaction forecast model,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-03-10 Wenqi Wei , Qi Zhang , Ling Liu

The rapid growth of the stock market has attracted many investors due to its potential for significant profits. However, predicting stock prices accurately is difficult because financial markets are complex and constantly changing. This is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Abdelatif Hafid , Maad Ebrahim , Ali Alfatemi , Mohamed Rahouti , Diogo Oliveira

Since exchange economy considerably varies in the market assets, asset prices have become an attractive research area for investigating and modeling ambiguous and uncertain information in today markets. This paper proposes a new generative…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-28 Farouq Abdulaziz Masoudy

Model selection has been proven an effective strategy for improving accuracy in time series forecasting applications. However, when dealing with hierarchical time series, apart from selecting the most appropriate forecasting model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-30 Mahdi Abolghasemi , Rob J Hyndman , Evangelos Spiliotis , Christoph Bergmeir

This paper proposes a novel stock selection strategy framework based on combined machine learning algorithms. Two types of weighting methods for three representative machine learning algorithms are developed to predict the returns of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Lin Cai , Zhiyang He , Caiya Zhang

This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model for forecasting the price of Bitcoin, as the digital currency is known to exhibit frequent fluctuations. The models used are the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and the Long Short-Term…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Emmanuel Boadi

The growing attention on cryptocurrencies has led to increasing research on digital stock markets. Approaches and tools usually applied to characterize standard stocks have been applied to the digital ones. Among these tools is the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Tanya Araújo , Paulo Barbosa

Cryptocurrencies are digital tokens built on blockchain technology, with thousands actively traded on centralized exchanges (CEXs). Unlike stocks, which are backed by real businesses, cryptocurrencies are recognized as a distinct class of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-18 Yu Zhang , Zelin Wu , Claudio Tessone

There is a wide variety of data mining methods available, and it is generally useful in exploratory data analysis to use many different methods for the same dataset. This, however, leads to the problem of whether the results found by one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-18 Sami Hanhijärvi , Markus Ojala , Niko Vuokko , Kai Puolamäki , Nikolaj Tatti , Heikki Mannila

For the application of MPC design in on-line regulation or tracking control problems, several studies have attempted to develop an accurate model, and realize adequate uncertainty description of linear or non-linear plants of the processes.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-03 Yuanqiang Zhou , Dewei Li , Yugeng Xi , Zhongxue Gan

Mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) is widely employed for modeling combinatorial optimization problems. In practice, similar MILP instances with only coefficient variations are routinely solved, and machine learning (ML) algorithms are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Qingyu Han , Linxin Yang , Qian Chen , Xiang Zhou , Dong Zhang , Akang Wang , Ruoyu Sun , Xiaodong Luo
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