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With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

Research has shown that deep networks tend to be overly optimistic about their predictions, leading to an underestimation of prediction errors. Due to the limited nature of data, existing studies have proposed various methods based on model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jia-Qi Yang , De-Chuan Zhan , Le Gan

Recent works demonstrate that early layers in a neural network contain useful information for prediction. Inspired by this, we show that extending temperature scaling across all layers improves both calibration and accuracy. We call this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Amr Khalifa , Michael C. Mozer , Hanie Sedghi , Behnam Neyshabur , Ibrahim Alabdulmohsin

In the field of medical image analysis, achieving high accuracy is not enough; ensuring well-calibrated predictions is also crucial. Confidence scores of a deep neural network play a pivotal role in explainability by providing insights into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Abhishek Singh Sambyal , Usma Niyaz , Narayanan C. Krishnan , Deepti R. Bathula

We study post-calibration uncertainty for trained ensembles of classifiers. Specifically, we consider both aleatoric (label noise) and epistemic (model) uncertainty. Among the most popular and widely used calibration methods in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Jakob Heiss , Sören Lambrecht , Jakob Weissteiner , Hanna Wutte , Žan Žurič , Josef Teichmann , Bin Yu

Conventional multi-label classification (MLC) methods assume that all samples are fully labeled and identically distributed. Unfortunately, this assumption is unrealistic in large-scale MLC data that has long-tailed (LT) distribution and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Wenqiao Zhang , Changshuo Liu , Lingze Zeng , Beng Chin Ooi , Siliang Tang , Yueting Zhuang

Semi-supervised learning (SSL) commonly exhibits confirmation bias, where models disproportionately favor certain classes, leading to errors in predicted pseudo labels that accumulate under a self-training paradigm. Unlike supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-30 Yu Wang , Yuxuan Yin , Peng Li

The label scarcity problem is the main challenge that hinders the wide application of deep learning systems in automatic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) detection using electrocardiography (ECG). Tuning pre-trained models alleviates this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Rushuang Zhou , Lei Clifton , Zijun Liu , Kannie W. Y. Chan , David A. Clifton , Yuan-Ting Zhang , Yining Dong

Long-tailed datasets are very frequently encountered in real-world use cases where few classes or categories (known as majority or head classes) have higher number of data samples compared to the other classes (known as minority or tail…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Saptarshi Sinha , Hiroki Ohashi , Katsuyuki Nakamura

Deep neural network models degrade significantly in the long-tailed data distribution, with the overall training data dominated by a small set of classes in the head, and the tail classes obtaining less training examples. Addressing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Brainard Philemon Jagati , Jitendra Tembhurne , Harsh Goud , Rudra Pratap Singh , Chandrashekhar Meshram

Recent work has uncovered promising ways to extract well-calibrated confidence estimates from language models (LMs), where the model's confidence score reflects how likely it is to be correct. However, while LMs may appear well-calibrated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Xiang Lisa Li , Urvashi Khandelwal , Kelvin Guu

Temperature scaling is a popular technique for tuning the sharpness of a model distribution. It is used extensively for sampling likely generations and calibrating model uncertainty, and even features as a controllable parameter to many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Andy Shih , Dorsa Sadigh , Stefano Ermon

For interpreting the behavior of a probabilistic model, it is useful to measure a model's calibration--the extent to which it produces reliable confidence scores. We address the open problem of calibration for tagging models with sparse…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Michael Kranzlein , Nelson F. Liu , Nathan Schneider

Object frequency in the real world often follows a power law, leading to a mismatch between datasets with long-tailed class distributions seen by a machine learning model and our expectation of the model to perform well on all classes. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-25 Muhammad Abdullah Jamal , Matthew Brown , Ming-Hsuan Yang , Liqiang Wang , Boqing Gong

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made great strides in pushing the state-of-the-art in several challenging domains. Recent studies reveal that they are prone to making overconfident predictions. This greatly reduces the overall trust in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Vinith Kugathasan , Muhammad Haris Khan

Estimated uncertainty by approximate posteriors in Bayesian neural networks are prone to miscalibration, which leads to overconfident predictions in critical tasks that have a clear asymmetric cost or significant losses. Here, we extend the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Biraja Ghoshal , Allan Tucker

Extreme multi-label classification or XMLC, is an active area of interest in machine learning. Compared to traditional multi-label classification, here the number of labels is extremely large, hence, the name extreme multi-label…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Arpan Dasgupta , Preeti Lamba , Ankita Kushwaha , Kiran Ravish , Siddhant Katyan , Shrutimoy Das , Pawan Kumar

Class imbalance is an intrinsic characteristic of multi-label data. Most of the labels in multi-label data sets are associated with a small number of training examples, much smaller compared to the size of the data set. Class imbalance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Bin Liu , Grigorios Tsoumakas

Probabilistic classifiers output confidence scores along with their predictions, and these confidence scores should be calibrated, i.e., they should reflect the reliability of the prediction. Confidence scores that minimize standard metrics…

Real-world datasets commonly exhibit noisy labels and class imbalance, such as long-tailed distributions. While previous research addresses this issue by differentiating noisy and clean samples, reliance on information from predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Ying-Hsuan Wu , Jun-Wei Hsieh , Li Xin , Shin-You Teng , Yi-Kuan Hsieh , Ming-Ching Chang
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