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A minimal central bank credibility, with a non-zero probability of not renegning his commitment ("quasi-commitment"), is a necessary condition for anchoring inflation expectations and stabilizing inflation dynamics. By contrast, a complete…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-07 Jean-Bernard Chatelain , Kirsten Ralf

How should central banks optimally aggregate sectoral inflation rates in the presence of imperfect labor mobility across sectors? We study this issue in a two-sector New-Keynesian model and show that a lower degree of sectoral labor…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Alessandro Cantelmo , Giovanni Melina

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

At the zero lower bound, the New Keynesian model predicts that output and inflation collapse to implausibly low levels, and that government spending and forward guidance have implausibly large effects. To resolve these anomalies, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-05-12 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

Do firm dynamics matter for the transmission of monetary policy? Empirically, the startup rate declines following a monetary contraction, while the exit rate increases, both of which reduce aggregate employment. I present a model that…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Matthew Read

Empirical evidence suggests that there is little to no correlation between the rate of inflation and the size of price change. Economists have hitherto taken this to mean that monetary shocks do not generate much deviation in relative…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-28 Vipin P Veetil

We demonstrate that minority mechanisms arise in the dynamics of markets because of effects of price impact; accordingly the relative importance of minority and delayed majority mechanisms depends on the frequency of trading. We then use…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Damien Challet , Tobias Galla

The existence of involuntary unemployment advocated by J. M. Keynes is a very important problem of the modern economic theory. Using a three-generations overlapping generations model, we show that the existence of involuntary unemployment…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-23 Yasuhito Tanaka

This paper proposes a theory of pricing premised upon the assumptions that customers dislike unfair prices---those marked up steeply over cost---and that firms take these concerns into account when setting prices. Since they do not observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-06-15 Erik Eyster , Kristof Madarasz , Pascal Michaillat

I characterize optimal government policy in a sticky-price economy with different types of consumers and endogenous financial constraints in the banking and entrepreneurial sectors. The competitive equilibrium allocation is constrained…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-29 Aliaksandr Zaretski

We present empirical evidence on the relationship between demand shocks and price changes, conditional on returns to scale. We find that in industries with decreasing returns to scale, demand increases (which raise costs) correspond to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-11 Joel Kariel , Anthony Savagar

Despite the importance of this variable in the macroeconomic context, current research on job insecurity remains mainly confined to its non-systemic dimension. The research aim of this paper is to identify the short-run and long-run…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-14 Luca Vota , Luisa Errichiello

The classical theory of efficient allocations of an aggregate endowment in a pure-exchange economy has hitherto primarily focused on the Pareto-efficiency of allocations, under the implicit assumption that transfers between agents are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Mario Ghossoub , Giulio Principi , Ruodu Wang

The Keen model is a mathematical model that describes the dynamic evolution of wages, employment, and debt based on the known Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis. It consists of three first order nonlinear ordinary differential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Son Van , Teng Zhang

I study the limit of a large random economy, where a set of consumers invests in financial instruments engineered by banks, in order to optimize their future consumption. This exercise shows that, even in the ideal case of perfect…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-09 Matteo Marsili

This paper brings together divergent approaches to time inconsistency from macroeconomic policy and behavioural economics. Behavioural discount functions from behavioural microeconomics are embedded into a game-theoretic analysis of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-07-19 Michelle Baddeley

Departing from the dominant approach focused on individual and meso-level determinants, this paper develops a macroeconomic formalization of job insecurity within a New Keynesian framework in which the standard IS-NKPC-Taylor rule block is…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-18 Luca Vota , Luisa Errichiello

The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Raul Donangelo , Mogens H. Jensen , Ingve Simonsen , Kim Sneppen

Constant and symmetric price impact functions, most commonly used in agent-based market modelling, are shown to give rise to paradoxical and inconsistent outcomes in the simplest case of arbitrage exploitation when open-hold-close actions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Damien Challet

This paper investigates how dispersion in banks' subjective inflation forecasts is a channel of the transmission of monetary policy to credit supply. We extend the Monti-Klein model of monopolistic banking by incorporating risk aversion,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Eric Vansteenberghe
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