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We consider online learning of ensembles of portfolio selection algorithms and aim to regularize risk by encouraging diversification with respect to a predefined risk-driven grouping of stocks. Our procedure uses online convex optimization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-13 Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

We study the dynamic investment decisions of investors who prioritise specific quantiles of outcomes over their expected values. Downside-focused agents targeting low quantiles reduce risk in states with high variance, while those with a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Janasek , Attila Sarkany

In portfolio analysis, the traditional approach of replacing population moments with sample counterparts may lead to suboptimal portfolio choices. I show that optimal portfolio weights can be estimated using a machine learning (ML)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Daniel Kinn

We study how to assess the potential benefit of diversifying an equity portfolio by investing within and across equity sectors. We analyse 20 years of US stock price data, which includes the global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-22 Nick James , Max Menzies , Georg A. Gottwald

We introduce new mathematical methods to study the optimal portfolio size of investment portfolios over time, considering investors with varying skill levels. First, we explore the benefit of portfolio diversification on an annual basis for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Nick James , Max Menzies

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

The instability of historical risk factor correlations renders their use in estimating portfolio risk extremely questionable. In periods of market stress correlations of risk factors have a tendency to quickly go well beyond estimated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-10 Vineer Bhansali , Mark B. Wise

Estimating and assessing the risk of a large portfolio is an important topic in financial econometrics and risk management. The risk is often estimated by a substitution of a good estimator of the volatility matrix. However, the accuracy of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-02-06 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Xiaofeng Shi

Growth-optimal portfolios are guaranteed to accumulate higher wealth than any other investment strategy in the long run. However, they tend to be risky in the short term. For serially uncorrelated markets, similar portfolios with more…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Byung-Geun Choi , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Ruiwei Jiang

This paper proposes a Deep Reinforcement Learning algorithm for financial portfolio trading based on Deep Q-learning. The algorithm is capable of trading high-dimensional portfolios from cross-sectional datasets of any size which may…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-10 Uta Pigorsch , Sebastian Schäfer

We introduce a generic solver for dynamic portfolio allocation problems when the market exhibits return predictability, price impact and partial observability. We assume that the price modeling can be encoded into a linear state-space and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-07 M. Abeille , E. Serie , A. Lazaric , X. Brokmann

We study the decades-old problem of online portfolio management and propose the first algorithm with logarithmic regret that is not based on Cover's Universal Portfolio algorithm and admits much faster implementation. Specifically Universal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Haipeng Luo , Chen-Yu Wei , Kai Zheng

This paper studies a type of periodic utility maximization for portfolio management in an incomplete market model, where the underlying price diffusion process depends on some external stochastic factors. The portfolio performance is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-29 Wenyuan Wang , Kaixin Yan , Xiang Yu

We adopt deep learning models to directly optimise the portfolio Sharpe ratio. The framework we present circumvents the requirements for forecasting expected returns and allows us to directly optimise portfolio weights by updating model…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-26 Zihao Zhang , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

There is substantial empirical evidence showing the fundamental portfolio outperforming the market portfolio. Here a theoretical foundation is laid that supports this empirical research. Assuming stock prices revert around fundamental…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-25 Hayden Brown

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

In this paper, we provide a comprehensive review of recent advances in robust portfolio selection problems and their extensions, from both operational research and financial perspectives. A multi-dimensional classification of the models and…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-13 Alireza Ghahtarani , Ahmed Saif , Alireza Ghasemi

In this paper, we tackle the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a {\it model-free} manner, based on (generative) diffusion models. We propose using data sampled from the real model $\mathbb P$ (which is unknown) with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar , Fengyi Yuan

A new framework for portfolio diversification is introduced which goes beyond the classical mean-variance approach and portfolio allocation strategies such as risk parity. It is based on a novel concept called portfolio dimensionality that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-23 Mathias Barkhagen , Brian Fleming , Sergio Garcia Quiles , Jacek Gondzio , Joerg Kalcsics , Jens Kroeske , Sotirios Sabanis , Arne Staal

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam
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