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Most learning algorithms with formal regret guarantees assume that all mistakes are recoverable and essentially rely on trying all possible behaviors. This approach is problematic when some mistakes are "catastrophic", i.e., irreparable. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Benjamin Plaut , Hanlin Zhu , Stuart Russell

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

In online learning, the data is provided in a sequential order, and the goal of the learner is to make online decisions to minimize overall regrets. This note is concerned with continuous-time models and algorithms for several online…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-20 Lexing Ying

Efficient online learning with pairwise loss functions is a crucial component in building large-scale learning system that maximizes the area under the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve. In this paper we investigate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-01-24 Yuyang Wang , Roni Khardon , Dmitry Pechyony , Rosie Jones

We derive an online learning algorithm with improved regret guarantees for `easy' loss sequences. We consider two types of `easiness': (a) stochastic loss sequences and (b) adversarial loss sequences with small effective range of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Tobias Sommer Thune , Yevgeny Seldin

We introduce algorithms for online, full-information prediction that are competitive with contextual tree experts of unknown complexity, in both probabilistic and adversarial settings. We show that by incorporating a probabilistic framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-23 Vidya Muthukumar , Mitas Ray , Anant Sahai , Peter L. Bartlett

Algorithms for online learning typically require one or more boundedness assumptions: that the domain is bounded, that the losses are Lipschitz, or both. In this paper, we develop a new setting for online learning with unbounded domains and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Andrew Jacobsen , Ashok Cutkosky

We study the problem of online binary classification where strategic agents can manipulate their observable features in predefined ways, modeled by a manipulation graph, in order to receive a positive classification. We show this setting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Saba Ahmadi , Avrim Blum , Kunhe Yang

We consider the online convex optimization problem. In the setting of arbitrary sequences and finite set of parameters, we establish a new fast-rate quantile regret bound. Then we investigate the optimization into the L1-ball by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-24 Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

We introduce a general framework of stochastic online convex optimization to obtain fast-rate stochastic regret bounds. We prove that algorithms such as online newton steps and a scale-free 10 version of Bernstein online aggregation achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Olivier Wintenberger

We study the effectiveness of stochastic side information in deterministic online learning scenarios. We propose a forecaster to predict a deterministic sequence where its performance is evaluated against an expert class. We assume that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Junzhang Jia , Xuetong Wu , Jingge Zhu , Jamie Evans

We present an algorithm guaranteeing dynamic regret bounds for online omniprediction with long term constraints. The goal in this recently introduced problem is for a learner to generate a sequence of predictions which are broadcast to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Yahav Bechavod , Jiuyao Lu , Aaron Roth

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

Prediction with experts' advice is one of the most fundamental problems in online learning and captures many of its technical challenges. A recent line of work has looked at online learning through the lens of differential equations and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Victor Sanches Portella , Christopher Liaw , Nicholas J. A. Harvey

The overarching goal of this paper is to derive excess risk bounds for learning from exp-concave loss functions in passive and sequential learning settings. Exp-concave loss functions encompass several fundamental problems in machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-11 Mehrdad Mahdavi , Rong Jin

We introduce a novel online multitask setting. In this setting each task is partitioned into a sequence of segments that is unknown to the learner. Associated with each segment is a hypothesis from some hypothesis class. We give algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Mark Herbster , Stephen Pasteris , Lisa Tse

Smoothed online combinatorial optimization considers a learner who repeatedly chooses a combinatorial decision to minimize an unknown changing cost function with a penalty on switching decisions in consecutive rounds. We study smoothed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Kai Wang , Zhao Song , Georgios Theocharous , Sridhar Mahadevan

In the framework of prediction of individual sequences, sequential prediction methods are to be constructed that perform nearly as well as the best expert from a given class. We consider prediction strategies that compete with the class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-12 András Gyorgy , Tamás Linder , Gábor Lugosi

Online learning algorithms for dynamical systems provide finite time guarantees for control in the presence of sequentially revealed cost functions. We pose the classical linear quadratic tracking problem in the framework of online…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-18 Aren Karapetyan , Diego Bolliger , Anastasios Tsiamis , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros

This paper considers the stability of online learning algorithms and its implications for learnability (bounded regret). We introduce a novel quantity called {\em forward regret} that intuitively measures how good an online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-11-28 Ankan Saha , Prateek Jain , Ambuj Tewari