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High-fidelity simulation models are widely used to analyze complex stochastic systems, but their high computational cost motivates the development of cheaper surrogate models that approximate the simulation model's input-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

For economic nonlinear model predictive control and dynamic real-time optimization fast and accurate models are necessary. Consequently, the use of dynamic surrogate models to mimic complex rigorous models is increasingly coming into focus.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-30 Torben Talis , Joris Weigert , Erik Esche , Jens-Uwe Repke

Trajectory prediction (TP) is crucial for ensuring safety and efficiency in modern air traffic management systems. It is, for example, a core component of conflict detection and resolution tools, arrival sequencing algorithms, capacity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Nick Pepper , Marc Thomas , Zack Xuereb Conti

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Data-driven control of discrete-time and continuous-time systems is of tremendous research interest. In this paper, we explore data-driven optimal control of continuous-time linear systems using input-output data. Based on a density result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-18 Philipp Schmitz , Timm Faulwasser , Paolo Rapisarda , Karl Worthmann

In statistical modeling with Gaussian Process regression, it has been shown that combining (few) high-fidelity data with (many) low-fidelity data can enhance prediction accuracy, compared to prediction based on the few high-fidelity data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-23 Seungjoon Lee , Felix Dietrich , George E. Karniadakis , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

An accurate vehicle dynamic model is the key to bridge the gap between simulation and real road test in autonomous driving. In this paper, we present a Dynamic model-Residual correction model Framework (DRF) for vehicle dynamic modeling. On…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Shu Jiang , Yu Wang , Longtao Lin , Weiman Lin , Yu Cao , Jinghao Miao , Qi Luo

This paper is concerned with a data-driven technique for constructing finite Markov decision processes (MDPs) as finite abstractions of discrete-time stochastic control systems with unknown dynamics while providing formal closeness…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-30 Abolfazl Lavaei , Sadegh Soudjani , Emilio Frazzoli , Majid Zamani

Scalable surrogate models enable efficient emulation of computer models (or simulators), particularly when dealing with large ensembles of runs. While Gaussian process (GP) models are commonly employed for emulation, they face limitations…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Grant Hutchings , Derek Bingham , Kellin Rumsey , Earl Lawrence

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

Machine learning surrogate emulators are needed in engineering design and optimization tasks to rapidly emulate computationally expensive physics-based models. In micromechanics problems the local full-field response variables are desired…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Patxi Fernandez-Zelaia , Jason Mayeur , Jiahao Cheng , Yousub Lee , Kevin Knipe , Kai Kadau

The construction of efficient methods for uncertainty quantification in kinetic equations represents a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the models: often the computational costs involved become prohibitive. On the other hand,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Giacomo Dimarco , Liu Liu , Lorenzo Pareschi , Xueyu Zhu

In this contribution we propose a data-driven surrogate model for the prediction of magnetic stray fields in two-dimensional random micro-heterogeneous materials. Since data driven models require thousands of training data sets, FEM…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-11 Rainer Niekamp , Johanna Niemann , Maximilian Reichel , Hongbin Zhang , Jörg Schröder

Cloth manipulation is challenging due to its highly complex dynamics, near-infinite degrees of freedom, and frequent self-occlusions, which complicate both state estimation and dynamics modeling. Inspired by recent advances in generative…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Tongxuan Tian , Haoyang Li , Bo Ai , Xiaodi Yuan , Zhiao Huang , Hao Su

Numerous solutions for yield estimation are either based on data-driven models, or on crop-simulation models (CSMs). Researchers tend to build data-driven models using nationwide crop information databases provided by agencies such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Renato Luiz de Freitas Cunha , Bruno Silva , Priscilla Barreira Avegliano

In many situations across computational science and engineering, multiple computational models are available that describe a system of interest. These different models have varying evaluation costs and varying fidelities. Typically, a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-29 Benjamin Peherstorfer , Karen Willcox , Max Gunzburger

This paper presents a Long Short-Term Memory network-based Fluid Experiment Data-Driven model (FED-LSTM) for predicting unsteady, nonlinear hydrodynamic forces on the underwater quadruped robot we constructed. Trained on experimental data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Fei Han , Pengming Guo , Hao Chen , Weikun Li , Jingbo Ren , Naijun Liu , Ning Yang , Dixia Fan

The study of complex systems is often based on computationally intensive, high-fidelity, simulations. To build confidence in the prediction accuracy of such simulations, the impact of uncertainties in model inputs on the quantities of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-01-19 Lluis Jofre , Gianluca Geraci , Hillary Fairbanks , Alireza Doostan , Gianluca Iaccarino

Data-dependent metrics are powerful tools for learning the underlying structure of high-dimensional data. This article develops and analyzes a data-dependent metric known as diffusion state distance (DSD), which compares points using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Lenore Cowen , Kapil Devkota , Xiaozhe Hu , James M. Murphy , Kaiyi Wu

The current and future developments of electric power systems are pushing the boundaries of reliability assessment to consider distribution networks with renewable generators. Given the stochastic features of these elements, most modeling…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Yan-Fu Li , Enrico Zio
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