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Coarse graining techniques play an essential role in accelerating molecular simulations of systems with large length and time scales. Theoretically grounded bottom-up models are appealing due to their thermodynamic consistency with the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-01 Blake R. Duschatko , Jonathan Vandermause , Nicola Molinari , Boris Kozinsky

In recent times, neural networks have become a powerful tool for the analysis of complex and abstract data models. However, their introduction intrinsically increases our uncertainty about which features of the analysis are model-related…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Tom Charnock , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur , François Lanusse

We present a hybrid constraint-based/Bayesian algorithm for learning causal networks in the presence of sparse data. The algorithm searches the space of equivalence classes of models (essential graphs) using a heuristic based on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

Bayesian models are a powerful tool for studying complex data, allowing the analyst to encode rich hierarchical dependencies and leverage prior information. Most importantly, they facilitate a complete characterization of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-25 Steven Winter , Trevor Campbell , Lizhen Lin , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

Driven by the critical needs of biomanufacturing 4.0, we introduce a probabilistic knowledge graph hybrid model characterizing the risk- and science-based understanding of bioprocess mechanisms. It can faithfully capture the important…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-03 Wei Xie , Keqi Wang , Hua Zheng , Ben Feng

This paper presents a novel nonlinear regression model for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects from observational data, geared specifically towards situations with small effect sizes, heterogeneous effects, and strong confounding.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 P. Richard Hahn , Jared S. Murray , Carlos Carvalho

Species distribution models (SDMs), which aim to predict species occurrence based on environmental variables, are widely used to monitor and respond to biodiversity change. Recent deep learning advances for SDMs have been shown to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Catherine Villeneuve , Benjamin Akera , Mélisande Teng , David Rolnick

A population-level analysis is proposed to address data sparsity when building predictive models for engineering infrastructure. Utilising an interpretable hierarchical Bayesian approach and operational fleet data, domain expertise is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 L. A. Bull , D. Di Francesco , M. Dhada , O. Steinert , T. Lindgren , A. K. Parlikad , A. B. Duncan , M. Girolami

With billions of people facing moderate or severe food insecurity, the resilience of the global food supply will be of increasing concern due to the effects of climate change and geopolitical events. In this paper we describe a framework to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-12 David Willmes , Nick Krall , James Tanis , Zachary Terner , Fernando Tavares , Chris Miller , Joe Haberlin , Matt Crichton , Alexander Schlichting

This study explores how Bayesian networks (BNs) can improve forecast accuracy compared to logistic regression and recalibration and aggregation methods, using data from the Good Judgment Project. Regularized logistic regression models and a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Matthew Martin

This paper builds on recent developments in Bayesian network (BN) structure learning under the controversial assumption that the input variables are dependent. This assumption can be viewed as a learning constraint geared towards cases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-08 Anthony Constantinou

A Bayesian net (BN) is more than a succinct way to encode a probabilistic distribution; it also corresponds to a function used to answer queries. A BN can therefore be evaluated by the accuracy of the answers it returns. Many algorithms for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Russell Greiner , Adam J. Grove , Dale Schuurmans

Previous likelihood-based linear modeling of nutritional data has been limited by the availability of software that allows flexible error structures in the data. We demonstrate the use of a Bayesian modeling approach to the analysis of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Andrew Lawson , Daniela Nitcheva

The advances of next-generation sequencing technology have accelerated study of the microbiome and stimulated the high throughput profiling of metagenomes. The large volume of sequenced data has encouraged the rise of various studies for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Qiwei Li , Shuang Jiang , Andrew Y. Koh , Guanghua Xiao , Xiaowei Zhan

Improved computational power has enabled different disciplines to predict causal relationships among modeled variables using Bayesian network inference. While many alternative algorithms have been proposed to improve the efficiency and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-19 Habibolla Latifizadeh , Anika C. Pirkey , Alanna Gould , David J. Klinke

Accurately counting maize tassels is important for monitoring the growth status of maize plants. This tedious task, however, is still mainly done by manual efforts. In the context of modern plant phenotyping, automating this task is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Hao Lu , Zhiguo Cao , Yang Xiao , Bohan Zhuang , Chunhua Shen

Learning a Bayesian network is an NP-hard problem and with an increase in the number of nodes, classical algorithms for learning the structure of Bayesian networks become inefficient. In recent years, some methods and algorithms for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Yury Kaminsky , Irina Deeva

Accurate and fine-grained crop yield prediction plays a crucial role in advancing global agriculture. However, the accuracy of pixel-level yield estimation based on satellite remote sensing data has been constrained by the scarcity of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Shenzhou Liu , Di Wang , Haonan Guo , Chengxi Han , Wenzhi Zeng

Since model bias and associated initialization shock are serious shortcomings that reduce prediction skills in state-of-the-art decadal climate prediction efforts, we pursue a complementary machine-learning-based approach to climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-09 Xihaier Luo , Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Yihui Ren , Ji Hwan Park , Wei Xu , Shinjae Yoo

We propose a new class of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) that can be trained using noisy data of variable fidelity, and we apply them to learn function approximations as well as to solve inverse problems based on partial differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Xuhui Meng , Hessam Babaee , George Em Karniadakis