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This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

Crop yield is a highly complex trait determined by multiple factors such as genotype, environment, and their interactions. Accurate yield prediction requires fundamental understanding of the functional relationship between yield and these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang

Eradicating hunger and malnutrition is a key development goal of the 21st century. We address the problem of optimally identifying seed varieties to reliably increase crop yield within a risk-sensitive decision-making framework.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Huaiyang Zhong , Xiaocheng Li , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon , Margaret L. Brandeau

Agriculture plays a crucial role in the global economy and social stability, and accurate crop yield prediction is essential for rational planting planning and decision-making. This study focuses on crop yield Time-Series Data prediction.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yueru Yan , Yue Wang , Jialin Li , Jingwei Zhang , Xingye Mo

Climate change is posing new challenges to crop-related concerns including food insecurity, supply stability and economic planning. As one of the central challenges, crop yield prediction has become a pressing task in the machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Joshua Fan , Junwen Bai , Zhiyun Li , Ariel Ortiz-Bobea , Carla P. Gomes

Agriculture is the essential ingredients to mankind which is a major source of livelihood. Agriculture work in Bangladesh is mostly done in old ways which directly affects our economy. In addition, institutions of agriculture are working…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Tanhim Islam , Tanjir Alam Chisty , Amitabha Chakrabarty

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

We apply an empirical, data-driven approach for describing crop yield as a function of monthly temperature and precipitation by employing generative probabilistic models with parameters determined through Bayesian inference. Our approach is…

Plant breeding underpins global food security through incremental, accumulating improvements in crop yield, quality and sustainability, achieved via repeated cycles of crop ranking, selection and crossing. Climate change disrupts this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Aike Potze , Fred van Eeuwijk , Ioannis N. Athanasiadis

Pre-season prediction of crop production outcomes such as grain yields and N losses can provide insights to stakeholders when making decisions. Simulation models can assist in scenario planning, but their use is limited because of data…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-09 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Rafael A. Martinez-Feria , Guiping Hu , Sotirios V. Archontoulis

In the last decades, the area under cultivation of maize products has increased because of its essential role in the food cycle for humans, livestock, and poultry. Moreover, the diseases of plants impact food safety and can significantly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Saeedeh Osouli , Behrouz Bolourian Haghighi , Ehsan Sadrossadat

This study introduces RicEns-Net, a novel Deep Ensemble model designed to predict crop yields by integrating diverse data sources through multimodal data fusion techniques. The research focuses specifically on the use of synthetic aperture…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-11 Akshay Dagadu Yewle , Laman Mirzayeva , Oktay Karakuş

The prediction of crop yields internationally is a crucial objective in agricultural research. Thus, this study implements 6 regression models (Linear, Tree, Gradient Descent, Gradient Boosting, K Nearest Neighbors, and Random Forest) to…

Global food security depends on predicting crop responses to climate variability, yet process based crop models remain too computationally expensive for large scale exploration of genotype and environment interactions. Here we develop a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Mojdeh Saadati , Juan Panelo , Gustavo Visentini , Soumik Sarkar , Carlos Messina , Baskar Ganapathysubramanian

Large-scale crop yield estimation is, in part, made possible due to the availability of remote sensing data allowing for the continuous monitoring of crops throughout their growth cycle. Having this information allows stakeholders the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Saeed Khaki , Hieu Pham , Lizhi Wang

Causal learning from data has received much attention recently. Bayesian networks can be used to capture causal relationships. There, one recovers a weighted directed acyclic graph in which random variables are represented by vertices, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Georgios Korpas , Jakub Marecek

Weeds are one of the major reasons for crop yield loss but current weeding practices fail to manage weeds in an efficient and targeted manner. Effective weed management is especially important for crops with high worldwide production such…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Ekin Celikkan , Timo Kunzmann , Yertay Yeskaliyev , Sibylle Itzerott , Nadja Klein , Martin Herold

Crop yield prediction is extremely challenging due to its dependence on multiple factors such as crop genotype, environmental factors, management practices, and their interactions. This paper presents a deep learning framework using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang , Sotirios V. Archontoulis

Precise crop yield prediction is essential for improving agricultural practices and ensuring crop resilience in varying climates. Integrating weather data across the growing season, especially for different crop varieties, is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zahra Khalilzadeh , Motahareh Kashanian , Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang

Western countries rely heavily on wheat, and yield prediction is crucial. Time-series deep learning models, such as Long Short Term Memory (LSTM), have already been explored and applied to yield prediction. Existing literature reported that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-05 Yogesh Bansal , David Lillis , Mohand Tahar Kechadi
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