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Cosmological parameter inference has been dominated by the Bayesian approach for the past two decades, primarily due to its computational efficiency. However, the Bayesian approach involves integration of the posterior probability and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-10 Emil Brinch Holm , Andreas Nygaard , Jeppe Dakin , Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Likelihood profiling is an efficient and powerful frequentist approach for parameter estimation, uncertainty quantification and practical identifiablity analysis. Unfortunately, these methods cannot be easily applied for stochastic models…

Cosmological parameter estimation is traditionally performed in the Bayesian context. By adopting an "agnostic" statistical point of view, we show the interest of confronting the Bayesian results to a frequentist approach based on…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-12 S. Henrot-Versillé , O. Perdereau , S. Plaszczynski , B. Rouillé d'Orfeuil , M. Spinelli , M. Tristram

Frequentist parameter inference using profile likelihoods has received increased attention in the cosmology literature recently since it can give important complementary information to Bayesian credible intervals. Here, we give a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-07 Laura Herold , Elisa G. M. Ferreira , Lukas Heinrich

The Constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (CMSSM) is one of the simplest and most widely-studied supersymmetric extensions to the standard model of particle physics. Nevertheless, current data do not sufficiently constrain the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-03-13 Yashar Akrami , Pat Scott , Joakim Edsjö , Jan Conrad , Lars Bergström

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

Biclustering, the process of simultaneously clustering the rows and columns of a data matrix, is a popular and effective tool for finding structure in a high-dimensional dataset. Many biclustering procedures appear to work well in practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-04 Cheryl J. Flynn , Patrick O. Perry

Bayesian parameter inference is an essential tool in modern cosmology, and typically requires the calculation of $10^5$--$10^6$ theoretical models for each inference of model parameters for a given dataset combination. Computing these…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-16 Andreas Nygaard , Emil Brinch Holm , Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

In this paper, we present a novel approach to accelerate the Bayesian inference process, focusing specifically on the nested sampling algorithms. Bayesian inference plays a crucial role in cosmological parameter estimation, providing a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-17 Isidro Gómez-Vargas , J. Alberto Vázquez

Likelihood-free inference provides a rigorous approach to preform Bayesian analysis using forward simulations only. The main advantage of likelihood-free methods is its ability to account for complex physical processes and observational…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-09 Sut-Ieng Tam , Keiichi Umetsu , Adam Amara

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

Many models of interest in the natural and social sciences have no closed-form likelihood function, which means that they cannot be treated using the usual techniques of statistical inference. In the case where such models can be…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-19 Simon Barthelmé , Nicolas Chopin

We present general, analytic methods for Cosmological likelihood analysis and solve the "many-parameters" problem in Cosmology. Maxima are found by Newton's Method, while marginalization over nuisance parameters, and parameter errors and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. N. Taylor , T. D. Kitching

Statistical inference of the fundamental parameters of supersymmetric theories is a challenging and active endeavor. Several sophisticated algorithms have been employed to this end. While Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and nested sampling…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2015-03-17 F. Feroz , K. Cranmer , M. Hobson , R. Ruiz de Austri , R. Trotta

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

Many cosmological models have only a finite number of parameters of interest, but a very expensive data-generating process and an intractable likelihood function. We address the problem of performing likelihood-free Bayesian inference from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-09-14 Florent Leclercq

Bayesian evidence is a standard tool used for comparing the ability of different models to fit available data and is used extensively in cosmology. However, since the evidence calculation involves performing an integral of the likelihood…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-19 Camilla T. G. Sørensen , Steen Hannestad , Andreas Nygaard , Thomas Tram

Increasingly complex applications involve large datasets in combination with non-linear and high dimensional mathematical models. In this context, statistical inference is a challenging issue that calls for pragmatic approaches that take…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-31 Andreas Raue , Clemens Kreutz , Fabian Joachim Theis , Jens Timmer
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