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Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

In the present paper we address the real-time detection problem of a change-point in the coefficients of a linear model with the possibility that the model errors are asymmetrical and that the explanatory variables number is large. We build…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-31 Gabriela Ciuperca

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Victor K. Khamesi , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham

Bayesian change-point detection, together with latent variable models, allows to perform segmentation over high-dimensional time-series. We assume that change-points lie on a lower-dimensional manifold where we aim to infer subsets of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Lorena Romero-Medrano , Pablo Moreno-Muñoz , Antonio Artés-Rodríguez

We consider offline detection of a single changepoint in binary and count time-series. We compare exact tests based on the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the likelihood ratio (LR) statistics, and a new proposal that combines exact two-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-21 Shyamal K. De , Soumendu Sundar Mukherjee

The purpose of this note is to present in details R codes to implement a non-parametric method for change-point detection. The proposed approach is validated from various perspectives using simulations. This method is a competitor to that…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-10 Pierre Ailliot , N'Dèye Coumba Niass , Jean-Marc Derrien

High-dimensional time series are characterized by a large number of measurements and complex dependence, and often involve abrupt change points. We propose a new procedure to detect change points in the mean of high-dimensional time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Jun Li , Minya Xu , Ping-Shou Zhong , Lingjun Li

Without imposing prior distributional knowledge underlying multivariate time series of interest, we propose a nonparametric change-point detection approach to estimate the number of change points and their locations along the temporal axis.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Xiaodong Wang , Fushing Hsieh

In this paper, we present a novel training method for speaker change detection models. Speaker change detection is often viewed as a binary sequence labelling problem. The main challenges with this approach are the vagueness of annotated…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-17 Joonas Kalda , Tanel Alumäe

Interactions among people or objects are often dynamic in nature and can be represented as a sequence of networks, each providing a snapshot of the interactions over a brief period of time. An important task in analyzing such evolving…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Leto Peel , Aaron Clauset

Consider observations $y_1,\dots,y_n$ on nodes of a connected graph, where the $y_i$ independently come from $N(\theta_i, \sigma^2)$ distributions and an unknown partition divides the $n$ observations into blocks. One well-studied class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-03 Xiaofei Wang , John W. Emerson

The dynamicity of real-world systems poses a significant challenge to deployed predictive machine learning (ML) models. Changes in the system on which the ML model has been trained may lead to performance degradation during the system's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Firas Bayram , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Andreas Kassler

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

We study online change point detection for multivariate inhomogeneous Poisson point process time series. This setting arises commonly in applications such as earthquake seismology, climate monitoring, and epidemic surveillance, yet remains…

In the regime of change-point detection, a nonparametric framework based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing similarities among observations is gaining attention due to its flexibility and good performances for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

Detection of change-points in a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a very challenging problem, and this becomes even more challenging when the sample size (i.e., the sequence length) is small. In this article, we propose some…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Trisha Dawn , Angshuman Roy , Alokesh Manna , Anil K. Ghosh

In this paper, two tests, based on CUSUM of the residuals and least squares estimation, are studied to detect in real time a change-point in a nonlinear model. A first test statistic is proposed by extension of a method already used in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Gabriela Ciuperca

Change-point detection in a time series aims to discover the time points at which some unknown underlying physical process that generates the time-series data has changed. We found that existing approaches become less accurate when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Varsha Suresh , Wei Tsang Ooi

A failure detection system is the first step towards predictive maintenance strategies. A popular data-driven method to detect incipient failures and anomalies is the training of normal behaviour models by applying a machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Iñigo Martinez , Elisabeth Viles , Iñaki Cabrejas

This chapter overviews some of the work on detecting and estimating the location of a single change. We first consider the most common change-point problem, namely that of detecting a change in mean, before looking at extensions to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz
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