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Distinguishing causal connections from correlations is important in many scenarios. However, the presence of unobserved variables, such as the latent confounder, can introduce bias in conditional independence testing commonly employed in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Yu Qiao , Yizhou Wang

Computing observables from conditioned dynamics is typically computationally hard, because, although obtaining independent samples efficiently from the unconditioned dynamics is usually feasible, generally most of the samples must be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-01-08 Alfredo Braunstein , Giovanni Catania , Luca Dall'Asta , Matteo Mariani , Anna Paola Muntoni

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Hassan Maissoro , Valentin Patilea , Myriam Vimond

Measuring dependence between two events, or equivalently between two binary random variables, amounts to expressing the dependence structure inherent in a $2\times 2$ contingency table in a real number between $-1$ and $1$. Countless such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-13 Marc-Oliver Pohle , Timo Dimitriadis , Jan-Lukas Wermuth

It has been recently shown in Jaworski, P., Jelito, D. and Pitera, M. (2024), 'A note on the equivalence between the conditional uncorrelation and the independence of random variables', Electronic Journal of Statistics 18(1), that one can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-24 Kewin Pączek , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

It is often of interest to condition on a singular event given by a random variable, e.g. $\{Y=y\}$ for a continuous random variable $Y$. Conditional measures with respect to this event are usually derived as a special case of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Philipp Wacker

This paper is dedicated to the consistency of systemic risk measures with respect to stochastic dependence. It compares two alternative notions of Conditional Value-at-Risk (CoVaR) available in the current literature. These notions are both…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-30 Georg Mainik , Eric Schaanning

The Shapley effects are global sensitivity indices: they quantify the impact of each input variable on the output variable in a model. In this work, we suggest new estimators of these sensitivity indices. When the input distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker

Conditional independence testing is a fundamental problem underlying causal discovery and a particularly challenging task in the presence of nonlinear and high-dimensional dependencies. Here a fully non-parametric test for continuous data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Jakob Runge

Shapley values originated in cooperative game theory but are extensively used today as a model-agnostic explanation framework to explain predictions made by complex machine learning models in the industry and academia. There are several…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Ingrid Kristine Glad , Martin Jullum , Kjersti Aas

In this paper, we propose a novel Euclidean-distance-based coefficient, named differential distance correlation, to measure the strength of dependence between a random variable $ Y \in \mathbb{R} $ and a random vector $ \boldsymbol{X} \in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Yixiao Liu , Pengjian Shang

We present a framework for selecting and developing measures of dependence when the goal is the quantification of a relationship between two variables, not simply the establishment of its existence. Much of the literature on dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-22 Matthew Reimherr , Dan L. Nicolae

Recent research in statistics has focused on dependence measures kappa(Y,X) taking values in [0, 1], where 0 characterizes independence of X and Y, and 1 perfect functional dependence of Y on X. One class of such measures consists of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jonathan Ansari

Testing mutual independence among multiple random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics, with wide applications in genomics, finance, and neuroscience. In this paper, we propose a new class of tests for high-dimensional mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ping Zhao , Huifang Ma

Following our previous work on copula-based nonsymmetric bivariate dependence measures, we propose a new set of conditions on nonsymmetric multivariate dependence measures which characterize both independence and complete dependence of one…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-04 Hui Li

Let $(X,Y)$ be a random vector whose conditional excess probability $\theta(x,y):=P(Y\leq y | X>x)$ is of interest. Estimating this kind of probability is a delicate problem as soon as $x$ tends to be large, since the conditioning event…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Belkacem Abdous , Anne-Laure Fougères , Kilani Ghoudi , Philippe Soulier

As a crucial problem in statistics is to decide whether additional variables are needed in a regression model. We propose a new multivariate test to investigate the conditional mean independence of Y given X conditioning on some known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-18 Ze Jin , Xiaohan Yan , David S. Matteson

Consider a random sample $X_1 , X_2 , ..., X_n$ drawn independently and identically distributed from some known sampling distribution $P_X$. Let $X_{(1)} \le X_{(2)} \le ... \le X_{(n)}$ represent the order statistics of the sample. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-28 Alex Dytso , Martina Cardone , Cynthia Rush

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang