English
Related papers

Related papers: Statistical Decision Theory Respecting Stochastic …

200 papers

In this paper, we establish a sufficient condition to compare linear combinations of independent and identically distributed (iid) infinite-mean random variables under usual stochastic order. We introduce a new class of distributions that…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Yuyu Chen , Taizhong Hu , Seva Shneer , Zhenfeng Zou

This paper studies the performative prediction problem which optimizes a stochastic loss function with data distribution that depends on the decision variable. We consider a setting where the agent(s) provides samples adapted to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Qiang Li , Hoi-To Wai

In this paper we develop a new tool for the comparison of paired data based on a new criterion of stochastic dominance that takes into account the dependence structure of the random variables under comparison. This new procedure provides a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 F. Belzunce , C. Martínez-Riquelme

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved empirical success in various domains. One core task in DRL is distributional policy evaluation, which involves estimating the return distribution $\eta^\pi$ for a given policy $\pi$.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Yang Peng , Liangyu Zhang , Zhihua Zhang

This paper presents a decision-theoretic approach to statistical inference that satisfies the likelihood principle (LP) without using prior information. Unlike the Bayesian approach, which also satisfies LP, we do not assume knowledge of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Phan H. Giang , Prakash P. Shenoy

The purpose of this note is to prove the existence of a randomized mechanism, a social decision scheme (SDS), with desirable fairness, efficiency, and strategyproofness properties unmatched by all known SDSs. In particular, we disprove a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-11-27 Florian Brandl

We give an exact characterization of admissibility in statistical decision problems in terms of Bayes optimality in a so-called nonstandard extension of the original decision problem, as introduced by Duanmu and Roy. Unlike the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-30 Haosui Duanmu , Daniel M. Roy , David Schrittesser

The article proposes a method of designing a statistically distinguishable rating scale that is not excessive in relation to the existing observation statistics. This allows for more stable validation with a fixed maximum number of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Mikhail Pomazanov

The notion of stochastic precedence between two random variables emerges as a relevant concept in several fields of applied probability. When one consider a vector of random variables $X_1,...,X_n$, this notion has a preeminent role in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-14 Emilio De Santis , Yaakov Malinovsky , Fabio Spizzichino

Motivated by problems from statistical analysis for discretely sampled SPDEs, first we derive central limit theorems for higher order finite differences applied to stochastic process with arbitrary finitely regular paths. These results are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Igor Cialenco , Hyun-Jung Kim , Gregor Pasemann

We study the problem of comparing ageing patterns of the lifetime of k-out-of-n systems. Mathematically, this reduces to being able to decide about a stochastic ordering relationship between different order statistics. We discuss such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-04 Tommaso Lando , Idir Arab , Paulo Eduardo Oliveira

Remarkable progress has been made in difference-in-differences (DID) approaches to causal inference that estimate the average effect of a treatment on the treated (ATT). Of these, the semiparametric DID (SDID) approach incorporates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Takamichi Baba , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

This paper provides conditions on the observation probability distribution in Bayesian localization and optimal filtering so that the conditional mean estimate satisfies convex stochastic dominance. Convex dominance allows us to compare the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Random serial dictatorship (RSD) is a randomized assignment rule that - given a set of $n$ agents with strict preferences over $n$ houses - satisfies equal treatment of equals, ex post efficiency, and strategyproofness. For $n \le 3$,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-12 Felix Brandt , Matthias Greger , René Romen

Randomly censored survival data are frequently encountered in applied sciences including biomedical or reliability applications and clinical trial analyses. Testing the significance of statistical hypotheses is crucial in such analyses to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-08 Abhik Ghosh , Ayanendranath Basu , Leandro Pardo

Using both single-index measures and stochastic dominance concepts, we show how Bayesian inference can be used to make multivariate welfare comparisons. A four-dimensional distribution for the well-being attributes income, mental health,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-21 David Gunawan , William Griffiths , Duangkamon Chotikapanich

Selective inference is a subfield of statistics that enables valid inference after selection of a data-dependent question. In this paper, we introduce selectively dominant p-values, a class of p-values that allow practitioners to easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Anav Sood

In this paper, a new and convenient $\chi^2$ wald test based on MCMC outputs is proposed for hypothesis testing. The new statistic can be explained as MCMC version of Wald test and has several important advantages that make it very…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-01-04 Yong Li , Xiaobin Liu , Jun Yu , Tao Zeng

The concept of "stochastic precedence" between two real-valued random variables has often emerged in different applied frameworks. In this paper we consider a slightly more general, and completely natural, concept of stochastic precedence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Fantozzi , Fabio Spizzichino

We present a new uncertainty principle for risk-aware statistical estimation, effectively quantifying the inherent trade-off between mean squared error ($\mse$) and risk, the latter measured by the associated average predictive squared…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Nikolas P. Koumpis , Dionysios S. Kalogerias