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Reliable estimation of predictive performance is essential for spatial environmental modeling, where machine-learning models are used to generate maps from unevenly distributed observations. Standard cross-validation (CV) assumes that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Alexander Brenning , Thomas Suesse

We propose a practical instant question answering (QA) system on product pages of ecommerce services, where for each user query, relevant community question answer (CQA) pairs are retrieved. User queries and CQA pairs differ significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Happy Mittal , Aniket Chakrabarti , Belhassen Bayar , Animesh Anant Sharma , Nikhil Rasiwasia

Uncertainty quantification in time series prediction is challenging due to the temporal dependence and distribution shift on sequential data. Conformal inference provides a pivotal and flexible instrument for assessing the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Junxi Wu , Dongjian Hu , Yajie Bao , Shu-Tao Xia , Changliang Zou

In Sequential Recommendation Systems (SRecsys), traditional training approaches that rely on Cross-Entropy (CE) loss often prioritize accuracy but fail to align well with user satisfaction metrics. CE loss focuses on maximizing the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Chen Wang , Fangxin Wang , Ruocheng Guo , Yueqing Liang , Philip S. Yu

Conformal prediction is a distribution-free method that wraps a given machine learning model and returns a set of plausible labels that contain the true label with a prescribed coverage rate. In practice, the empirical coverage achieved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-08 Zhou Wang , Xingye Qiao

Ranking product recommendations to optimize for a high click-through rate (CTR) or for high conversion, such as add-to-cart rate (ACR) and Order-Submit-Rate (OSR, view-to-purchase conversion) are standard practices in e-commerce. Optimizing…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Michael Weiss , Robert Rosenbach , Christian Eggenberger

Cross-validation (CV) is one of the most popular tools for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, standard CV suffers from high computational cost when the number of folds is large. Recently, under the empirical risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Yuetian Luo , Zhimei Ren , Rina Foygel Barber

User response prediction, which aims to predict the probability that a user will provide a predefined positive response in a given context such as clicking on an ad or purchasing an item, is crucial to many industrial applications such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Zekai Chen , Fangtian Zhong , Zhumin Chen , Xiao Zhang , Robert Pless , Xiuzhen Cheng

We study the Non-Stationary Reinforcement Learning (RL) under distribution shifts in both finite-horizon episodic and infinite-horizon discounted Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). In the finite-horizon case, the transition functions may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Ha Manh Bui , Felix Parker , Kimia Ghobadi , Anqi Liu

The label scarcity problem is the main challenge that hinders the wide application of deep learning systems in automatic cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) detection using electrocardiography (ECG). Tuning pre-trained models alleviates this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Rushuang Zhou , Lei Clifton , Zijun Liu , Kannie W. Y. Chan , David A. Clifton , Yuan-Ting Zhang , Yining Dong

In this paper, we propose a unified analysis of variants of distributed SGD with arbitrary compressions and delayed updates. Our framework is general enough to cover different variants of quantized SGD, Error-Compensated SGD (EC-SGD) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Eduard Gorbunov , Dmitry Kovalev , Dmitry Makarenko , Peter Richtárik

Blind deconvolution aims to recover an original image from a blurred version in the case where the blurring kernel is unknown. It has wide applications in diverse fields such as astronomy, microscopy, and medical imaging. Blind…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Markus Haltmeier , Gyeongha Hwang

Click-through rate (CTR) Prediction is of great importance in real-world online ads systems. One challenge for the CTR prediction task is to capture the real interest of users from their clicked items, which is inherently biased by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Congcong Liu , Yuejiang Li , Jian Zhu , Xiwei Zhao , Changping Peng , Zhangang Lin , Jingping Shao

We propose RUDDER, a novel reinforcement learning approach for delayed rewards in finite Markov decision processes (MDPs). In MDPs the Q-values are equal to the expected immediate reward plus the expected future rewards. The latter are…

Deep reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms suffer severe performance degradation when the interaction data is scarce, which limits their real-world application. Recently, visual representation learning has been shown to be effective and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Yang Yue , Bingyi Kang , Zhongwen Xu , Gao Huang , Shuicheng Yan

Sequential recommendation is a popular paradigm in modern recommender systems. In particular, one challenging problem in this space is cross-domain sequential recommendation (CDSR), which aims to predict future behaviors given user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Clark Mingxuan Ju , Leonardo Neves , Bhuvesh Kumar , Liam Collins , Tong Zhao , Yuwei Qiu , Qing Dou , Sohail Nizam , Sen Yang , Neil Shah

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Click-through rate (CTR) prediction plays an indispensable role in online platforms. Numerous models have been proposed to capture users' shifting preferences by leveraging user behavior sequences. However, these historical sequences often…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Junjie Huang , Guohao Cai , Jieming Zhu , Zhenhua Dong , Ruiming Tang , Weinan Zhang , Yong Yu

Hindsight rationality is an approach to playing general-sum games that prescribes no-regret learning dynamics for individual agents with respect to a set of deviations, and further describes jointly rational behavior among multiple agents…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-24 Dustin Morrill , Ryan D'Orazio , Marc Lanctot , James R. Wright , Michael Bowling , Amy Greenwald

Safety is a critical concern in learning-enabled autonomous systems especially when deploying these systems in real-world scenarios. An important challenge is accurately quantifying the uncertainty of unknown models to generate provably…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo