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The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

In the social sciences we are often interested in comparing models specified by parametric equality or inequality constraints. For instance, when examining three group means $\{ \mu_1, \mu_2, \mu_3\}$ through an analysis of variance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Guido Consonni , Roberta Paroli

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

Markov decision processes are useful models of concurrency optimisation problems, but are often intractable for exhaustive verification methods. Recent work has introduced lightweight approximative techniques that sample directly from…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-03-24 Axel Legay , Sean Sedwards , Louis-Marie Traonouez

In this note we prove a spectral gap for various Markov chains on various functional spaces. While proving that a spectral gap exists is relatively common, explicit estimates seems somewhat rare.These estimates are then used to apply the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-02-19 Benoît Kloeckner

Interest in targeted disease prevention has stimulated development of models that assign risks to individuals, using their personal covariates. We need to evaluate these models, and to quantify the gains achieved by expanding a model with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-16 Alice S. Whittemore

This paper proposes a new sharpened version of the Jensen's inequality. The proposed new bound is simple and insightful, is broadly applicable by imposing minimum assumptions, and provides fairly accurate result in spite of its simple form.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-26 J. G. Liao , Arthur Berg

The aim of this short note is to give an alternative proof, which applies to functions of bounded variation in arbitrary domains, of an inequality by Maz'ya that improves Friedrichs inequality. A remarkable feature of such a proof is that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Luca Rondi

A {\em maximal inequality} seeks to estimate $\mathbb{E}\max_i X_i$ in terms of properties of the $X_i$. When the latter are independent, the union bound (in its various guises) can yield tight upper bounds. If, however, the $X_i$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Aryeh Kontorovich

This paper studies a Markov network model for unbalanced data, aiming to solve the problems of classification bias and insufficient minority class recognition ability of traditional machine learning models in environments with uneven class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Junliang Du , Shiyu Dou , Bohuan Yang , Jiacheng Hu , Tai An

The well-known Bennett-Hoeffding bound for sums of independent random variables is refined, by taking into account truncated third moments, and at that also improved by using, instead of the class of all increasing exponential functions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

This paper addresses a key limitation in existing counterfactual inference methods for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). Current approaches assume a specific causal model to make counterfactuals identifiable. However, there are usually many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jessica Lally , Milad Kazemi , Nicola Paoletti

We consider killed Markov decision processes for countable models on a finite time-interval. Existence of a uniform $\varepsilon$-optimal policy is proven. We show the correctness of the fundamental equation. The optimal control problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-10 Nestor Parolya , Yaroslav Yeleyko

Markov kernels play a decisive role in probability and mathematical statistics theories, and are an extension of the concepts of sigma-field and statistic. Concepts such as independence, sufficiency, completeness, ancillarity or conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-28 Agustín G. Nogales

Euclidean Markov decision processes are a powerful tool for modeling control problems under uncertainty over continuous domains. Finite state imprecise, Markov decision processes can be used to approximate the behavior of these infinite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Manfred Jaeger , Giorgio Bacci , Giovanni Bacci , Kim Guldstrand Larsen , Peter Gjøl Jensen

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

A version of Markov's estimate for the derivative of a polynomial is proved with the interval [-1,1] replaced by an arbitrary continuum in the complex plane.

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2008-08-08 Alexandre Eremenko

Convergence bounds are one of the main tools to obtain information on the performance of a distributed machine learning task, before running the task itself. In this work, we perform a set of experiments to assess to which extent, and in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Francesco Malandrino , Carla Fabiana Chiasserini

Regression models are essential for a wide range of real-world applications. However, in practice, target values are not always precisely known; instead, they may be represented as intervals of acceptable values. This challenge has led to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Tung L Nguyen , Toby Dylan Hocking

We establish a simple variance inequality for U-statistics whose underlying sequence of random variables is an ergodic Markov Chain. The constants in this inequality are explicit and depend on computable bounds on the mixing rate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-05 Gersende Fort , Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , Pierre Vandekerkhove